The influence of historic land use changes and future planned land use scenarios on floods in the Oder catchment

2003 ◽  
Vol 28 (33-36) ◽  
pp. 1291-1300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ad De Roo ◽  
Guido Schmuck ◽  
Vanda Perdigao ◽  
Jutta Thielen
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Historic Land Use ◽  
Land Use Scenarios

The influence of historic land-use changes on hillslope erosion and sediment redistribution

The Holocene ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 1248-1261 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annegret Larsen ◽  
Vincent Robin ◽  
Tobias Heckmann ◽  
Alexander Fülling ◽  
Joshua R Larsen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Historic Land Use ◽  
Sediment Redistribution

scholarly journals Climate Impacts of Deforestation/Land-Use Changes in Central South America in the PRECIS Regional Climate Model: Mean Precipitation and Temperature Response to Present and Future Deforestation Scenarios

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo O. Canziani ◽  
Gerardo Carbajal Benitez
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
South America ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Gran Chaco ◽  
Land Use Scenarios ◽  
Central South

Deforestation/land-use changes are major drivers of regional climate change in central South America, impacting upon Amazonia and Gran Chaco ecoregions. Most experimental and modeling studies have focused on the resulting perturbations within Amazonia. Using the Regional Climate Model PRECIS, driven by ERA-40 reanalysis and ECHAM4 Baseline model for the period 1961–2000 (40-year runs), potential effects of deforestation/land-use changes in these and other neighboring ecoregions are evaluated. Current 2002 and estimated 2030 land-use scenarios are used to assess PRECIS's response during 1960–2000. ERA-40 and ECHAM4 Baseline driven runs yield similar results. Precipitation changes for 2002 and 2030 land-use scenarios, while significant within deforested areas, do not result in significant regional changes. For temperature significant changes are found within deforested areas and beyond, with major temperature enhancements during winter and spring. Given the current climate, primary effects of deforestation/land-use changes remain mostly confined to the tropical latitudes of Gran Chaco, and Amazonia.

scholarly journals Scenario-based impacts of land use and climate changes on the hydrology of a lowland rainforest catchment in Ghana, West Africa

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael S. Aduah ◽  
Graham P. W. Jewitt ◽  
Michele L. W. Toucher
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
West Africa ◽  
Spatial Variability ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Control Period ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Land Use Scenarios

Abstract. This study analysed the separate and the combined impacts of climate and land use changes on hydrology on the Bonsa catchment in Ghana, West Africa, using the ACRU hydrological model. The study used five RCP8.5 climate change scenarios (wet, 25th percentile, 75th percentile, dry and a multi-model median of nine GCMs) from the CMIP5 AR5 models for near (2020–2039) and far (2060–2079) future time slices. Change factors were used to downscale the GCM scenarios to the local scale, using observed climate data for the control period of 1990 to 2009. The land use of 1991 and 2011 were used as the baseline and current land use as well as three future land use scenarios (BAU, EG, EGR) for two time slices (2030 and 2070) were used. The study showed that under all separate climate change scenarios, overall flows reduced, but under combined climate and land use changes, streamflows increased. Under the combined scenarios, streamflow responses due to the different future land use scenarios were not substantially different. Also, land use is the dominant controlling factor in streamflow changes in the Bonsa catchment under a dry climate change, but under a wet climate change, climate controls streamflow changes. The spatial variability of catchment streamflow changes under combined land use and climate changes were greater than the spatial variability of streamflow changes under climate change. The range of plausible future streamflows changes derived in this study provides natural resources and environmental managers of the Bonsa catchment, the first ever and the most current information to develop suitable adaptation and mitigation strategies, to prepare adequately for climate and land use changes.

scholarly journals Response of Runoff to Extreme Land Use Change in the Permafrost Region of Northeastern China

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1021
Author(s):  
Peng Hu ◽  
Tijiu Cai ◽  
Fengxiang Sui ◽  
Liangliang Duan ◽  
Xiuling Man ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Integrated Management ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Northeastern China ◽  
Permafrost Region ◽  
Land Use Scenarios

To study the response of runoff to extreme changes in land use, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to construct historical, extreme, and future scenarios for several major landscape types in a permafrost region of northeastern China. The results show that the SWAT model is applicable in the Tahe River Basin; forestlands, shrublands, wetlands, and grasslands are the main land-use types in this basin, and the transfers among them from 1980–2015 have impacted runoff by less than 5%. Under extreme land use-change scenarios, the simulated runoff decreased from grasslands, to wetlands, shrublands, and finally, forestlands. The conversion of extreme land-use scenarios produces different hydrological effects. When forestland is converted to grassland, runoff increases by 25.32%, when forestland is converted to wetland, runoff increases by 13.34%, and the conversion of shrubland to forestland reduces runoff by 13.25%. In addition, the sensitivity of runoff to different land-use changes was much greater during flood seasons than in dry seasons. Compared to the reference year of 2015, the annual simulated runoff under the two future land-use scenarios (shrublands to forestlands and shrublands to wetland) was less. Also, both future land-use scenarios showed effects to decrease flooding and increased dryness, This study provided important insight into the integrated management of land use and water resources in the Tahe River Basin and the permafrost region of northeastern China.

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