A rich family of generalized Poisson regression models with applications

2005 ◽  
Vol 69 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 4-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Bae ◽  
F. Famoye ◽  
J.T. Wulu ◽  
A.A. Bartolucci ◽  
K.P. Singh
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Generalized Poisson ◽  
Rich Family ◽  
Generalized Poisson Regression

scholarly journals Modeling COVID-19 Cases in Nigeria Using Some Selected Count Data Regression Models

2020 ◽  
pp. 64-73
Author(s):  
Samuel Olorunfemi Adams ◽  
Muhammad Ardo Bamanga ◽  
Samuel Olayemi Olanrewaju ◽  
Haruna Umar Yahaya ◽  
Rafiu Olayinka Akano
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Generalized Poisson ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Selection Test ◽  
Generalized Poisson Regression

COVID-19 is currently threatening countries in the world. Presently in Nigeria, there are about 29,286 confirmed cases, 11,828 discharged and 654 deaths as of 6th July 2020. It is against this background that this study was targeted at modeling daily cases of COVID-19’s deaths in Nigeria using count regression models like; Poisson Regression (PR), Negative Binomial Regression (NBR) and Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) model. The study aim at fitting an appropriate count Regression model to the confirmed, active and critical cases of COVID-19 in Nigeria after 118 days. The data for the study was extracted from the daily COVID-19 cases update released by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) online database from February 28th, 2020 – 6th, July 2020. The extracted data were used in the simulation of Poisson, Negative Binomial, and Generalized Poisson Regression model with a program written in STATA version 14 and fitted to the data at a 5% significance level. The best model was selected based on the values of -2logL, AIC, and BIC selection test/criteria. The results obtained from the analysis revealed that the Poisson regression could not capture over-dispersion, so other forms of Poisson Regression models such as the Negative Binomial Regression and Generalized Poisson Regression were used in the estimation. Of the three count Regression models, Generalized Poisson Regression was the best model for fitting daily cumulative confirmed, active and critical COVID-19 cases in Nigeria when overdispersion is present in the predictors because it had the least -2log-Likelihood, AIC, and BIC. It was also discovered that active and critical cases have a positive and significant effect on the number of COVID-19 related deaths in Nigeria.

scholarly journals A Multivariate Poisson Deep Learning Model for Genomic Prediction of Count Data

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 4177-4190
Author(s):  
Osval Antonio Montesinos-López ◽  
José Cricelio Montesinos-López ◽  
Pawan Singh ◽  
Nerida Lozano-Ramirez ◽  
Alberto Barrón-López ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Count Data ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Activation Function ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Generalized Poisson ◽  
Generalized Poisson Regression

The paradigm called genomic selection (GS) is a revolutionary way of developing new plants and animals. This is a predictive methodology, since it uses learning methods to perform its task. Unfortunately, there is no universal model that can be used for all types of predictions; for this reason, specific methodologies are required for each type of output (response variables). Since there is a lack of efficient methodologies for multivariate count data outcomes, in this paper, a multivariate Poisson deep neural network (MPDN) model is proposed for the genomic prediction of various count outcomes simultaneously. The MPDN model uses the minus log-likelihood of a Poisson distribution as a loss function, in hidden layers for capturing nonlinear patterns using the rectified linear unit (RELU) activation function and, in the output layer, the exponential activation function was used for producing outputs on the same scale of counts. The proposed MPDN model was compared to conventional generalized Poisson regression models and univariate Poisson deep learning models in two experimental data sets of count data. We found that the proposed MPDL outperformed univariate Poisson deep neural network models, but did not outperform, in terms of prediction, the univariate generalized Poisson regression models. All deep learning models were implemented in Tensorflow as back-end and Keras as front-end, which allows implementing these models on moderate and large data sets, which is a significant advantage over previous GS models for multivariate count data.

scholarly journals Mean-parametrized Conway–Maxwell–Poisson regression models for dispersed counts

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 359-380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alan Huang
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Asymptotic Properties ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Generalized Poisson ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Generalized Poisson Regression ◽  
Log Linear

Conway–Maxwell–Poisson (CMP) distributions are flexible generalizations of the Poisson distribution for modelling overdispersed or underdispersed counts. The main hindrance to their wider use in practice seems to be the inability to directly model the mean of counts, making them not compatible with nor comparable to competing count regression models, such as the log-linear Poisson, negative-binomial or generalized Poisson regression models. This note illustrates how CMP distributions can be parametrized via the mean, so that simpler and more easily interpretable mean-models can be used, such as a log-linear model. Other link functions are also available, of course. In addition to establishing attractive theoretical and asymptotic properties of the proposed model, its good finite-sample performance is exhibited through various examples and a simulation study based on real datasets. Moreover, the MATLAB routine to fit the model to data is demonstrated to be up to an order of magnitude faster than the current software to fit standard CMP models, and over two orders of magnitude faster than the recently proposed hyper-Poisson model.

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