Population dynamics of Ips typographus in the Bohemian Forest (Czech Republic): Validation of the phenology model PHENIPS and impacts of climate change

2013 ◽  
Vol 292 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luděk Berec ◽  
Petr Doležal ◽  
Martin Hais
2009 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 327-333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miroslava Barančeková ◽  
Jarmila Krojerová-Prokešová ◽  
Pavel Šustr ◽  
Marco Heurich

2003 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 279-292 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frantisek Zemek ◽  
Pavel Cudli´N ◽  
Jaroslav Boha´c ◽  
Ivo Moravec ◽  
Michal Herman

Boreas ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-784 ◽  
Author(s):  
Klára Vočadlová ◽  
Libor Petr ◽  
Pavla Žáčková ◽  
Marek Křížek ◽  
Lenka Křížová ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 146 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 70-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Maria Jönsson ◽  
Susanne Harding ◽  
Lars Bärring ◽  
Hans Peter Ravn

2011 ◽  
Vol 57 (No. 6) ◽  
pp. 242-249 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Hlásny ◽  
L. Zajíčková ◽  
M. Turčáni ◽  
J. Holuša ◽  
Z. Sitková

Climate change is expected to influence the distribution and population dynamics of many insect pests, with potential severe impacts on forests. Spruce bark beetle Ips typographus (L.) (Col.: Curculionidae, Scolytinae) is the most important forest insect pest in Europe whose development is strictly regulated by air temperature. Therefore, climate change is anticipated to induce changes in the pest's distribution and development. We used the PHENIPS model to evaluate climate change impacts on the distribution and voltinism of spruce bark beetle in the Czech Republic. Two future time periods – 2025–2050 (near future) and 2075–2100 (distant future) – are addressed. The period 1961–1990 is used as the reference. We found that while a two-generation regime dominated in the Czech Republic in the reference period, significant three-generation regime regions are projected to appear in the near future. In the distant future, the three-generation regime can be expected to occur over all existing coniferous stands in the Czech Republic. The analysis of altitudinal shift of n-generation regime regions indicates noticeable expansion of Ips typographus development to higher elevations, leading for example to disappearance of one-generation regime regions in the distant future. Uncertainties and limitations of the presented findings are discussed as well.


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