Assessing mackerel scad, Decapterus macarellus, in Cape Verde: Using a Bayesian approach to biomass dynamic modelling in a data-limited situation

2006 ◽  
Vol 82 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 194-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kim A. Stobberup ◽  
Karim Erzini
2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 191-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leire Ibaibarriaga ◽  
Carmen Fernández ◽  
Andrés Uriarte ◽  
Beatriz A. Roel

Abstract Ibaibarriaga, L., Fernández, C., Uriarte, A., and Roel, B. A. 2008. A two-stage biomass dynamic model for Bay of Biscay anchovy: a Bayesian approach. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 65: 191–205. A two-stage biomass-based state-space model with stochastic recruitment processes and deterministic dynamics was developed for the Bay of Biscay anchovy population. It is fitted in a Bayesian context with posterior computations carried out using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. The model is tested first on a simulated dataset and the effects of different modelling assumptions and of missing values evaluated. Then, it is applied to a real historical series of commercial catch and survey data from 1987 to 2006. Results are compared with those obtained by the standard assessment model for this stock, integrated catch-at-age analysis (ICA). From the posterior distribution of biomass in the latest year (2006), the distribution of unexploited biomass in 2007 can be derived assuming the distribution of recruitment in 2007 to be a mixture of the posterior distributions of past series recruitment. Hence, the effect of different catch options on future biomass levels can be quantified in probabilistic terms. Finally, directions for possible further improvements are indicated.


1897 ◽  
Vol 26 (128) ◽  
pp. 260-316
Author(s):  
Charles Bright ◽  
W.H. Preece ◽  
E. March Webb ◽  
Wilson-Barker ◽  
H.C. Donovan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

Planta Medica ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 75 (09) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Grosso ◽  
G Teixeira ◽  
I Gomes ◽  
ES Martins ◽  
JG Barroso ◽  
...  

1991 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 251-254
Author(s):  
SUSANNE SALINGER ◽  
HARRO STREHLOW
Keyword(s):  

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