Are the applications of wildland fire behaviour models getting ahead of their evaluation again?

2013 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
pp. 65-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin E. Alexander ◽  
Miguel G. Cruz
Keyword(s):  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Behaviour Models

scholarly journals Clarifying the meaning of mantras in wildland fire behaviour modelling: reply to Cruz et al. (2017)

2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (11) ◽  
pp. 770 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Mell ◽  
Albert Simeoni ◽  
Dominique Morvan ◽  
J. Kevin Hiers ◽  
Nicholas Skowronski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Research Activity ◽  
Current Research Activity ◽  
Worthy Goal ◽  
Behaviour Models ◽  
Empirical Approaches ◽  
Potential Use

In a recent communication, Cruz et al. (2017) called attention to several recurring statements (mantras) in the wildland fire literature regarding empirical and physical fire behaviour models. Motivated by concern that these mantras have not been fully vetted and are repeated blindly, Cruz et al. (2017) sought to verify five mantras they identify. This is a worthy goal and here we seek to extend the discussion and provide clarification to several confusing aspects of the Cruz et al. (2017) communication. In particular, their treatment of what they call physical models is inconsistent, neglects to reference current research activity focussed on combined experimentation and model development, and misses an opportunity to discuss the potential use of physical models to fire behaviour outside the scope of empirical approaches.

Mantras of wildland fire behaviour modelling: facts or fallacies?

2017 ◽  
Vol 26 (11) ◽  
pp. 973 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel G. Cruz ◽  
Martin E. Alexander ◽  
Andrew L. Sullivan
Keyword(s):  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Empirical Models ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Fire Science ◽  
Current State ◽  
Valid Data ◽  
Insight Into

Generalised statements about the state of fire science are often used to provide a simplified context for new work. This paper explores the validity of five frequently repeated statements regarding empirical and physical models for predicting wildland fire behaviour. For empirical models, these include statements that they: (1) work well over the range of their original data; and (2) are not appropriate for and should not be applied to conditions outside the range of the original data. For physical models, common statements include that they: (3) provide insight into the mechanisms that drive wildland fire spread and other aspects of fire behaviour; (4) give a better understanding of how fuel treatments modify fire behaviour; and (5) can be used to derive simplified models to predict fire behaviour operationally. The first statement was judged to be true only under certain conditions, whereas the second was shown not to be necessarily correct if valid data and appropriate modelling forms are used. Statements three through five, although theoretically valid, were considered not to be true given the current state of knowledge regarding fundamental wildland fire processes.

Atmospheric interactions with wildland fire behaviour - I. Basic surface interactions, vertical profiles and synoptic structures

2012 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 779 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian E. Potter
Keyword(s):  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
Surface Interactions ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Vertical Profiles ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Plume Dynamics ◽  
Atmospheric Profiles ◽  
Atmospheric Interactions

This paper is the first of two reviewing scientific literature from 100 years of research addressing interactions between the atmosphere and fire behaviour. These papers consider research on the interactions between the fuels burning at any instant and the atmosphere, and the interactions between the atmosphere and those fuels that will eventually burn in a given fire. This first paper reviews the progression from the surface atmospheric properties of temperature, humidity and wind to horizontal and vertical synoptic structures and ends with vertical atmospheric profiles. (The companion paper addresses plume dynamics and vortices.) The review reveals several unanswered questions, as well as findings from previous studies that appear forgotten in current research and concludes with suggestions for areas of future research.

Sensitivity of a surface fire spread model and associated fire behaviour fuel models to changes in live fuel moisture

2007 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 503 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Matt Jolly
Keyword(s):  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Fuel Model ◽  
Spread Model ◽  
Fuel Models ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Behaviour Models ◽  
Fire Spread Model

Fire behaviour models are used to assess the potential characteristics of wildland fires such as rates of spread, fireline intensity and flame length. These calculations help support fire management strategies while keeping fireline personnel safe. Live fuel moisture is an important component of fire behaviour models but the sensitivity of existing models to live fuel moisture has not been thoroughly evaluated. The Rothermel surface fire spread model was used to estimate key surface fire behaviour values over a range of live fuel moistures for all 53 standard fuel models. Fire behaviour characteristics are shown to be highly sensitive to live fuel moisture but the response is fuel model dependent. In many cases, small changes in live fuel moisture elicit drastic changes in predicted fire behaviour. These large changes are a result of a combination of the model-calculated live fuel moisture of extinction, the effective wind speed limit and the dynamic load transfer function of some of the fuel models tested. Surface fire spread model sensitivity to live fuel moisture changes is discussed in the context of predicted fire fighter safety zone area because the area of a predicted safety zone may increase by an order of magnitude for a 10% decrease in live fuel moisture depending on the fuel model chosen.

Interdependencies between flame length and fireline intensity in predicting crown fire initiation and crown scorch height

2012 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin E. Alexander ◽  
Miguel G. Cruz
Keyword(s):  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Stem Bark ◽  
Flame Length ◽  
Flame Height ◽  
Crown Fire ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Crown Scorch ◽  
Fire Initiation ◽  
Bark Char

This state-of-knowledge review examines some of the underlying assumptions and limitations associated with the inter-relationships among four widely used descriptors of surface fire behaviour and post-fire impacts in wildland fire science and management, namely Byram’s fireline intensity, flame length, stem-bark char height and crown scorch height. More specifically, the following topical areas are critically examined based on a comprehensive review of the pertinent literature: (i) estimating fireline intensity from flame length; (ii) substituting flame length for fireline intensity in Van Wagner’s crown fire initiation model; (iii) the validity of linkages between the Rothermel surface fire behaviour and Van Wagner’s crown scorch height models; (iv) estimating flame height from post-fire observations of stem-bark char height; and (v) estimating fireline intensity from post-fire observations of crown scorch height. There has been an overwhelming tendency within the wildland fire community to regard Byram’s flame length–fireline intensity and Van Wagner’s crown scorch height–fireline intensity models as universal in nature. However, research has subsequently shown that such linkages among fire behaviour and post-fire impact characteristics are in fact strongly influenced by fuelbed structure, thereby necessitating consideration of fuel complex specific-type models of such relationships.

scholarly journals A response to ‘Clarifying the meaning of mantras in wildland fire behaviour modelling: reply to Cruz et al. (2017)'

2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (11) ◽  
pp. 776 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel G. Cruz ◽  
Martin E. Alexander ◽  
Andrew L. Sullivan
Keyword(s):  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Behaviour Modelling

This paper represents our response to the questioning by Mell et al. (2018) of our interpretation (Cruz et al. 2017) of five generalised statements or mantras commonly repeated in the wildland fire behaviour modelling literature. We provide further clarity on key subjects and objectively point out, using examples from relevant scientific findings, that our discussion of the identified mantras presented in Cruz et al. (2017) was indeed not ill-conceived as suggested by Mell et al. (2018).

Corrigendum to: Interdependencies between flame length and fireline intensity in predicting crown fire initiation and crown scorch height

2017 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin E. Alexander ◽  
Miguel G. Cruz
Keyword(s):  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Stem Bark ◽  
Flame Length ◽  
Flame Height ◽  
Crown Fire ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Crown Scorch ◽  
Fire Initiation ◽  
Bark Char

This state-of-knowledge review examines some of the underlying assumptions and limitations associated with the inter-relationships among four widely used descriptors of surface fire behaviour and post-fire impacts in wildland fire science and management, namely Byram's fireline intensity, flame length, stem-bark char height and crown scorch height. More specifically, the following topical areas are critically examined based on a comprehensive review of the pertinent literature: (i) estimating fireline intensity from flame length; (ii) substituting flame length for fireline intensity in Van Wagner's crown fire initiation model; (iii) the validity of linkages between the Rothermel surface fire behaviour and Van Wagner's crown scorch height models; (iv) estimating flame height from post-fire observations of stem-bark char height; and (v) estimating fireline intensity from post-fire observations of crown scorch height. There has been an overwhelming tendency within the wildland fire community to regard Byram's flame length–fireline intensity and Van Wagner's crown scorch height–fireline intensity models as universal in nature. However, research has subsequently shown that such linkages among fire behaviour and post-fire impact characteristics are in fact strongly influenced by fuelbed structure, thereby necessitating consideration of fuel complex specific-type models of such relationships.

High-resolution infrared thermography for capturing wildland fire behaviour: RxCADRE 2012

2016 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph J. O'Brien ◽  
E. Louise Loudermilk ◽  
Benjamin Hornsby ◽  
Andrew T. Hudak ◽  
Benjamin C. Bright ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Radiant Energy ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fire Effects ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Oblique View ◽  
Fire Modelling ◽  
Radiative Power ◽  
Fire Front ◽  
Research Experiment

Wildland fire radiant energy emission is one of the only measurements of combustion that can be made at wide spatial extents and high temporal and spatial resolutions. Furthermore, spatially and temporally explicit measurements are critical for making inferences about fire effects and useful for examining patterns of fire spread. In this study we describe our methods for capturing and analysing spatially and temporally explicit long-wave infrared (LWIR) imagery from the RxCADRE (Prescribed Fire Combustion and Atmospheric Dynamics Research Experiment) project and examine the usefulness of these data in investigating fire behaviour and effects. We compare LWIR imagery captured at fine and moderate spatial and temporal resolutions (from 1 cm2 to 1 m2; and from 0.12 to 1 Hz) using both nadir and oblique measurements. We analyse fine-scale spatial heterogeneity of fire radiant power and energy released in several experimental burns. There was concurrence between the measurements, although the oblique view estimates of fire radiative power were consistently higher than the nadir view estimates. The nadir measurements illustrate the significance of fuel characteristics, particularly type and connectivity, in driving spatial variability at fine scales. The nadir and oblique measurements illustrate the usefulness of the data for describing the location and movement of the fire front at discrete moments in time at these fine and moderate resolutions. Spatially and temporally resolved data from these techniques show promise to effectively link the combustion environment with post-fire processes, remote sensing at larger scales and wildland fire modelling efforts.

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