Bayesian belief modeling of climate change impacts for informing regional adaptation options

Climate change impacts and adaptation assessments have traditionally adopted a scenario-based approach, which precludes an assessment of the relative risks of particular adaptation options. Probabilistic impact assessments, especially if based on a thorough analysis of the uncertainty in an impact forecast system, enable adoption of a risk-based assessment framework. However, probabilistic impacts information is conditional and will change over time. We explore the implications of a probabilistic end-to-end risk-based framework for climate impacts assessment, using the example of water resources in the Thames River, UK. We show that a probabilistic approach provides more informative results that enable the potential risk of impacts to be quantified, but that details of the risks are dependent on the approach used in the analysis.

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Climate change impacts in Romania: Vulnerability and adaptation options

GeoJournal ◽

10.1023/b:gejo.0000003613.15101.d9 ◽

2002 ◽

Vol 57 (3) ◽

pp. 203-209 ◽

Cited By ~ 17

Author(s):

Vasile Cuculeanu ◽

Paul Tuinea ◽

Dan Bălteanu

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Adaptation Options

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A Review of the Potential Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Options for European Viticulture

Applied Sciences ◽

10.3390/app10093092 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 10 (9) ◽

pp. 3092 ◽

Cited By ~ 9

Author(s):

João A. Santos ◽

Helder Fraga ◽

Aureliano C. Malheiro ◽

José Moutinho-Pereira ◽

Lia-Tânia Dinis ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Environmental Sustainability ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Cost Effective ◽

Vital Role ◽

Wine Production ◽

Local Conditions ◽

Climate Conditions ◽

Research Activities ◽

Adaptation Options

Viticulture and winemaking are important socioeconomic sectors in many European regions. Climate plays a vital role in the terroir of a given wine region, as it strongly controls canopy microclimate, vine growth, vine physiology, yield, and berry composition, which together determine wine attributes and typicity. New challenges are, however, predicted to arise from climate change, as grapevine cultivation is deeply dependent on weather and climate conditions. Changes in viticultural suitability over the last decades, for viticulture in general or the use of specific varieties, have already been reported for many wine regions. Despite spatially heterogeneous impacts, climate change is anticipated to exacerbate these recent trends on suitability for wine production. These shifts may reshape the geographical distribution of wine regions, while wine typicity may also be threatened in most cases. Changing climates will thereby urge for the implementation of timely, suitable, and cost-effective adaptation strategies, which should also be thoroughly planned and tuned to local conditions for an effective risk reduction. Although the potential of the different adaptation options is not yet fully investigated, deserving further research activities, their adoption will be of utmost relevance to maintain the socioeconomic and environmental sustainability of the highly valued viticulture and winemaking sector in Europe.

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Evaluation of climate change impacts and effectiveness of adaptation options on nitrate loss, microbial respiration, and soil organic carbon in the Southeastern USA

Agricultural Systems ◽

10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103210 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 193 ◽

pp. 103210

Author(s):

Taras E. Lychuk ◽

Robert L. Hill ◽

Roberto C. Izaurralde ◽

Bahram Momen ◽

Allison M. Thomson

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Organic Carbon ◽

Soil Organic Carbon ◽

Microbial Respiration ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Southeastern Usa ◽

Nitrate Loss ◽

Adaptation Options

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Climate change impacts and adaptation options in the Mediterranean basin

Regional Environmental Change ◽

10.1007/s10113-016-1037-9 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 16 (7) ◽

pp. 1859-1861 ◽

Cited By ~ 8

Author(s):

Maria Loizidou ◽

Christos Giannakopoulos ◽

Marco Bindi ◽

Konstantinos Moustakas

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Mediterranean Basin ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

The Mediterranean ◽

Adaptation Options ◽

The Mediterranean Basin

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