Who you know: Local party presidents and minority candidate emergence

2019 ◽  
Vol 58 ◽  
pp. 70-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erin Tolley
Keyword(s):  
Candidate Emergence ◽  
Minority Candidate ◽  
Local Party

A Logical Model for Predicting Minority Representation: Application to Redistricting and Voting Rights Cases

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
YUKI ATSUSAKA
Keyword(s):  
Voting Rights ◽  
Voting Rights Act ◽  
Minority Representation ◽  
Logical Model ◽  
Exact Probability ◽  
Electoral Success ◽  
Candidate Emergence ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Minority Candidate ◽  
State Legislative

Understanding when and why minority candidates emerge and win in particular districts entails critical implications for redistricting and the Voting Rights Act. I introduce a quantitatively predictive logical model of minority candidate emergence and electoral success—a mathematical formula based on deductive logic that can logically explain and accurately predict the exact probability at which minority candidates run for office and win in given districts. I show that the logical model can predict about 90% of minority candidate emergence and 95% of electoral success by leveraging unique data of mayoral elections in Louisiana from 1986 to 2016 and state legislative general elections in 36 states in 2012 and 2014. I demonstrate that the logical model can be used to answer many important questions about minority representation in redistricting and voting rights cases. All applications of the model can be easily implemented via an open-source software logical.

More Shadow than Substance

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leah Wright Rigueur
Keyword(s):  
African American ◽  
African Americans ◽  
Substance P ◽  
National Committee ◽  
Party Leaders ◽  
Political Ideas ◽  
Black Republicans ◽  
State And Local ◽  
American Party ◽  
Local Party

This chapter studies how, as the 1970s progressed, black Republicans were able to claim clear victories in their march toward equality: the expansion of the National Black Republican Council (NBRC); the incorporation of African Americans into the Republican National Committee (RNC) hierarchy; scores of black Republicans integrating state and local party hierarchies; and individual examples of black Republican success. African American party leaders could even point to their ability to forge a consensus voice among the disparate political ideas of black Republicans. Despite their ideological differences, they collectively rejected white hierarchies of power, demanding change for blacks both within the Grand Old Party (GOP) and throughout the country. Nevertheless, black Republicans quickly realized that their strategy did not reform the party institution.

A Trump Effect? Women and the 2018 Midterm Elections

The Forum ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 569-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer L. Lawless ◽  
Richard L. Fox
Keyword(s):  
Gender Gap ◽  
Political Institutions ◽  
Political Engagement ◽  
Political Ambition ◽  
Candidate Emergence ◽  
Female Candidates ◽  
Midterm Elections ◽  
Election Results ◽  
The Moment ◽  
Negative Feelings

Abstract From the moment Donald Trump took the oath of office, women’s political engagement skyrocketed. This groundswell of activism almost immediately led to widespread reporting that Trump’s victory was inspiring a large new crop of female candidates across the country. We rely on a May 2017 national survey of “potential candidates” and the 2018 midterm election results to assess whether this “Trump Effect” materialized. Our analysis uncovers some evidence for it. Democrats – especially women – held very negative feelings toward Trump, and those feelings generated heightened political interest and activity during the 2018 election cycle. That activism, however, was not accompanied by a broad scale surge in women’s interest in running for office. In fact, the overall gender gap in political ambition today is quite similar to the gap we’ve uncovered throughout the last 20 years. Notably, though, about one quarter of the Democratic women who expressed interest in running for office first started thinking about it only after Trump was elected. That relatively small group of newly interested candidates was sufficient to result in a record number of Democratic women seeking and winning election to Congress. With no commensurate increase in Republican women’s political engagement or candidate emergence, however, prospects for gender parity in US political institutions remain bleak.

scholarly journals “Every Family Has Its Freak”: Perceptions of Collaboration in Occupied Soviet Russia, 1943–1948

Slavic Review ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 64 (4) ◽  
pp. 747-770 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey W. Jones
Keyword(s):  
Cold War ◽  
Significant Degree ◽  
Soviet Society ◽  
Complex Issue ◽  
Post Cold War ◽  
Public Meetings ◽  
Southern Russia ◽  
Party Press ◽  
Soviet Russia ◽  
Local Party

Based on archival and other materials from Rostov-on-Don, a major industrial center in southern Russia, Jeffrey W.Jones examines the different representations of collaboration apparent in Soviet society during and after the war. Jones analyzes several different levels of discourse: inner party deliberations and reports on the subject, depictions of collaborators and their actions in the local party press, questions and comments of workers and others at public meetings as recorded by party officials, and Cold War and post-Cold War era memoirs and interviews. These sources overlap to a significant degree but deal with the complex issue of collaboration in nuanced ways, stressing different themes and asking different questions. The evidence reveals a subtle divide in the perception and representation of this issue between party leaders and the population at large while also showing that the party's public assurances of cossack loyalty contrasted with a widely shared assumption of cossack disloyalty.

Research on the Best Assessment Subjects for the Environmental Protection Performance of Local Party and Government Officials

2011 ◽  
Vol 228-229 ◽  
pp. 963-967
Author(s):  
Jing Kun Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Performance Assessment ◽  
Environmental Protection ◽  
Analytical Model ◽  
Government Officials ◽  
Political Rationality ◽  
Professional Assessment ◽  
Guiding Principles ◽  
Relative Analysis ◽  
Local Party

This paper first of all provides the guiding principles for choosing assessment subjects for the environmental protection performance of local party and government officials: effectiveness, scientificalness and objectivity. Effectiveness includes usefulness, inexpensiveness, and urgency; scientificalness includes professionality, systematicness and representativeness; objectivity includes independence, political rationality and authority. After that, starting from these guiding principles, this paper discusses the process of how to choose the best performance assessment subjects according to the analytical model of stakeholder assessment subjects. And then characteristics of potential assessment subjects for the environmental protection performance of local party and government officials are analyzed. At last, through the analytical model of stakeholder assessment subjects and characteristics of potential assessment subjects for the environmental protection performance of local party and government officials, this paper makes a relative analysis of the best assessment subjects for the environmental protection performance of local party and government officials, and gets a conclusion that professional assessment institutions are the best choice.

scholarly journals Afiliasi Partai Aceh Ke Partai Nasional (Studi Kasus: Keikutsertaan Kader Partai Aceh Dalam Partai Nasional Pada Pemilu Legislatif DPR RI 2019)

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Rahmad Saputra ◽  
Muradi Muradi ◽  
Leo Agustino
Keyword(s):  
National Level ◽  
Qualitative Approach ◽  
The Political ◽  
Political Affiliation ◽  
National Party ◽  
Party Affiliation ◽  
Structured Interviews ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Local Party

The purpose of this study is to look at how the relationship between local parties and national parties has not been revealed publicly, analyze the objectives of Aceh Party affiliation with national parties in the 2019 legislative elections and Analyze what strategies Aceh parties play in affiliating with national parties in the 2019 legislative elections. This study uses a qualitative approach with descriptive methods. Data collection techniques to be carried out in this study consisted of semi-structured interviews, observations, and documentation studies to find out the purpose of the political affiliation of Aceh party cadres to national parties. Through this research, it was found that the Aceh Party continues to strive to consistently fight for the interests of Aceh, especially in the issue of special autonomy that has not yet been realized. Then the Aceh Party as a local party that won the General Election in Aceh since 2009 has continued to try to maintain the acquisition of seats and expand the interests of the party, especially at the national level by placing its cadres in the national party.

Stability and Change in Local Party Politics

1961 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard T. Frost
Keyword(s):  
Party Politics ◽  
Stability And Change ◽  
Local Party
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