scholarly journals Modelling the long-run economic impact of leaving the European Union

2016 ◽  
Vol 59 ◽  
pp. 196-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monique Ebell ◽  
Ian Hurst ◽  
James Warren
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Economic Impact ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Long Run

scholarly journals POTENTIAL AND ROLE OF UNDERSERVED FOREIGN MARKETS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE’S TRADE WITH THE EU

2020 ◽  
pp. 62-71
Author(s):  
O. Shnyrkov ◽  
D. Pliushch
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Foreign Markets ◽  
International Partnership ◽  
Trade Relations ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Eu

The article identifies the volume of underserved markets for the development of Ukraine's foreign trade with the EU. The Ukraine's export potential on the EU underserved market is analyzed. It is established that the intensification of trade relations between the Ukraine and EU is a mutually beneficial process, and export potential of Ukraine in the EU market for goods whose exports to the Russian Federation have decreased is of particular importance. The main foreign markets of Ukraine for the export of agricultural and industrial goods from Ukraine have been identified. The main commodity groups of underserved markets to the EU have been identified, the exports of which to the Russian Federation have decreased the most. According to the results of the study, it has been concluded that the underserved markets of the European Union play an important role in the development of Ukraine's trade: first, they allow reorientation of exports of Ukrainian goods, the import of which is prohibited into the customs territory of the Russian Federation, to EU markets; secondly, they help to identify directions for the modernization of Ukrainian production in accordance with the unmet needs of the European goods market. It is concluded that the process of deepening mutual trade in underserved markets in a free trade area is mutually beneficial for Ukraine and the European Union, as trading partners can benefit from increased trade flows, and establishing international partnership between the parties can bring additional benefits in the long run.

scholarly journals Unemployment and the European Union, 2000–2017: structural exploration of distant past economic experience and future prosperity

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Enn Lun Yong
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Analogical Reasoning ◽  
Causal Chain ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Economic Experience ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Lag Structure ◽  
The Eu

Abstract Distant past experience of economic performance is hypothesized to govern long-run employment performance across 28 European Union (EU) state members. Economic studies usually include lag structure for causality analysis, such as the Wold causal chain and recursive vector autoregression. The inquiry of this paper is different from the literature for two reasons: first, it intends to explain theoretically and empirically how long an influence of significant economic experience in the distant past on long-run unemployment would last. Second, the focus is on the EU due to the ongoing debate over economic integration and independent economies, of which Brexit is one prominent example. Based on panel data, a diagrammatic theory conveys the meaning of the distant past economic experience and its relationship with long-run unemployment in the EU. Empirical investigations include causality tests and long-lasting economic influences, where a new simple approach toward Cholesky decomposition is also demonstrated. The effect of an unexpected shock to inflation on unemployment can remain literally substantive for up to nearly four decades, while unemployment effects of some trade-related innovations can last even longer. The results are supported using analogical reasoning of macroeconomic behaviors incorporated in the original concept of this research.

The Elements of a Constitutional Settlement for the European Union

2001 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Alan Dashwood
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Legal Status ◽  
Fundamental Rights ◽  
European Council ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Future ◽  
Charter Of Fundamental Rights

A debate is under way about the future of the European Union. It was started by the Declaration adopted by the European Council of Nice in December 2000, was given more substance by the Declaration of Laeken in December 2001, and received a formal focus in the Convention which has been brought together in Brussels under the chairmanship of former President Giscard d’Estaing. The Nice Declaration referred to, among other things, ‘the simplification of the Treaties with a view to making them clearer and better understood without changing their meaning’, but the Laeken Declaration goes considerably further. There is a section in the Declaration entitled, ‘Towards a constitution for European citizens’, which contemplates possible changes to the structure not only of the Treaties but of the Union itself, including perhaps the abolition of the division into three so-called ‘pillars’, and the distinction between the European Union and the European Communities. The Declaration also raises the matter of the legal status of the Charter of Fundamental Rights which was proclaimed in Nice, and speculates as to the possible adoption ‘in the long run’ of what it calls a ‘constitutional text’. A reordering of the primary instruments of the Union is, therefore, very much on the agenda of the Convention, and the idea has heavyweight political supporters.

Accumulation and Growth in the Shadow of Conflicts

2012 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter J. Stauvermann
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Production Technology ◽  
The European Union ◽  
International Conflicts ◽  
War And Peace ◽  
Normative Reasoning ◽  
Sustainable Peace ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Intertemporal Preferences ◽  
Simple Growth

We introduce a simple growth model to investigate how the evolution of a society is influenced by international conflicts. We come to the result that in the long run three equilibria are possible; a war equilibrium, a peace equilibrium or cycles between war and peace. Which kind of equilibrium will be achieved depends on the effectiveness of weapons, the distribution of capital, intertemporal preferences and the production technology. In general, we conclude that the achievement of a long-lasting sustainable peace is possible, if we restrict the degree of economic inequality. The model delivers a normative reasoning for the foundation and the conservation of the European Union, even if redistribution of national incomes must take place to conserve it.

Establishing the health and economic impact of influenza vaccination within the European Union 25 countries

Vaccine ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (47-48) ◽  
pp. 6812-6822 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Ryan ◽  
York Zoellner ◽  
Birgit Gradl ◽  
Bram Palache ◽  
Jeroen Medema
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Influenza Vaccination ◽  
Economic Impact ◽  
The European Union

“My European feelings are not only based on the fact that I live in Europe”

2002 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 175-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michał Krzyżanowski
Keyword(s):  
Social Sciences ◽  
European Union ◽  
European Integration ◽  
Economic Impact ◽  
National Identities ◽  
European Identity ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Collective Identities ◽  
European Citizenship ◽  
Identification Processes

Identity has recently become one of the most frequently theorised and explored topics within various sub-branches of social sciences. Collective identities in general, and their ancestry and construction in particular, are being perceived in different ways by historians, anthropologists, sociologists, political scientists and, last but not least, discourse-analysts. This article aims at shedding a new light on the concept of European identity, which, so far, has been most frequently analysed within the context of the European Union and its political and economic impact on European space. Despite drawing theoretically on some well-grounded traditions of research on European identity, such as, e.g., analysis of its contradiction and suplementariness with national identities, or, its interconnection with such concepts as European citizenship or European integration, the analysis of European identity presented here is put in the context of globally understood identification processes. Empirically, the article draws on the analysis of TV talk show thematically bound by the topics concerning European Union’s impact on national identities.

scholarly journals 13. Europeanization and Political Parties

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Ladrech
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Political Parties ◽  
Domestic Politics ◽  
Party Competition ◽  
The Political ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Member States ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Multi Level ◽  
Types Of Change

This chapter examines the ways in which the European Union and the political parties of member states interact and cause change. It considers various types of change, causal mechanisms, and the differences between parties and the EU in both older and newer member states. The chapter first provides an overview of the different partisan actors that operate in the multi-level system of domestic and EU politics before discussing the manner in which domestic political parties can be said to have ‘Europeanized’. It then shows how parties in older and newer member states differ and concludes with an assessment of the wider effects of Europeanization on domestic politics in general and party politics in particular. The chapter suggests that the EU’s influence, in both east and west, may be more significant in the long run in terms of its indirect impact on patterns of party competition.

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