scholarly journals Real-time forecasts of economic activity for Latin American economies

2012 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 1090-1098 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip Liu ◽  
Troy Matheson ◽  
Rafael Romeu
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Economic Activity

scholarly journals Real-Time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (98) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip Liu ◽  
Rafael Romeu ◽  
Troy Matheson ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Economic Activity

Monitoring Economic Activity in Real Time Using Diffusion Indices: Evidence from the Fifth District

2016 ◽  
Vol 101 (04) ◽  
pp. 275-301
Author(s):  
Santiago Pinto ◽  
◽  
Sonya Waddell ◽  
Pierre-Daniel Sarte ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Economic Activity

scholarly journals COVID-19 as a Global Crisis in the New Socio-Economic Reality

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (513) ◽  
pp. 29-35
Author(s):  
M. I. Chepeliuk ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Pacific Region ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The World

The COVID-19 pandemic has become a challenge for the global community and has led to a sharp downturn in the economies of many countries around the world. In January 2020, the IMF said that the world is heading towards a new Great Depression, as there is a trend similar to the situation of the 1920s. Hence, according to forecasts, the rate of economic growth in East Asia and the Pacific region by the end of 2020 will decrease to 0.5% and will reach the lowest level since 1967, being a reflection of the shocks associated with the pandemic. In China, extremely restrictive measures have led to an almost complete halt in business activity in some sectors and regions. China’s economic growth is expected to slow to 1% in 2020. Economic activity in the rest of East Asia and the Pacific region is projected to decline by 1.2% in 2020 and will recover to 5.4% in 2021. The economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic have had a detrimental impact on the countries of Europe and Central Asia, with the overall recession to 4.7% as forecasted for 2020. In the Middle East and North Africa, a 4.2% decline in economic activity is forecasted, because of the development of the pandemic and the collapsed oil market. In South Asia, as a result of measures to mitigate the effects of pandemics and collapse of global demand, have sharply fallen the volumes of industry, services and trade activities. The effects of the pandemic and the drastic fall in global commodity prices was a crushing blow for Latin American and Caribbean countries. A sharp slowdown in the economies of U.S. and China has disrupted supply chains to Mexico and Brazil and caused a stark drop in exports from Chile and Peru. The downturn in tourism has also had negative consequences. Such statistics confirm the opinion of many leading scholars in the world that the result of the COVID-19 pandemic will be a decrease in the level of hyperglobization of the world economy. In addition, a move away from U.S.-oriented globalization and a shift toward China-oriented globalization will also be likely.

scholarly journals Yield Spreads As Predictors of Economic Activity: A Real-Time VAR Analysis

2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 (1008) ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Kundan Kishor ◽  
◽  
Evan F. Koenig ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Yield Spreads ◽  
Var Analysis

Latin American Migrations to the U.S. Heartland

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott Carter
Keyword(s):  
Latin American ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Hispanic Population ◽  
New Destinations ◽  
Gender Profile ◽  
Rates Of Growth ◽  
The U.S

This chapter offers a descriptive analysis of the demographic presence and economic activity of the Hispanic population in six core Heartland states: Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, and Oklahoma; hereafter referred to collectively as the Heartland 6 (HL6). It gives an overall view of the underlying trends in Hispanic demography, productivity, employment, and other relevant socioeconomic variables from 2000–2007. It shows that the HL6 experienced increased rates of growth in its Hispanic population, a trend consistent with evidence reported in the recent “new destinations” literature. At the same time, traditional growth states vis-à-vis Hispanic presence report decreasing trends in their growth rate. This represents a diffusion, or convergence, of Latin American migrations throughout the United States. Economic performance, income distribution, employment, and the age-gender profile are also descriptively presented.

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