Supply-side effects of exchange rates, exchange rate expectations and induced currency depreciation

2011 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 1650-1672 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Zahid Ali ◽  
Sajid Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Side Effects ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Supply Side ◽  
Currency Depreciation ◽  
Exchange Rate Expectations

scholarly journals Has the exchange depreciation contributed to exports? The Japanese case

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 47-54
Author(s):  
Yutaka Kurihara
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Domestic Markets ◽  
Currency Depreciation ◽  
Total Percentage ◽  
Japanese Yen ◽  
Trade Partners

Many people believe that depreciation of exchange rate promotes exports and leads to economic growth. Export-oriented countries sometimes become very nervous about currency appreciation. This study examines whether or not the Japanese yen’s depreciation has increased volume of exports after Abenomics, which flowed a large amount of capital into the domestic markets to boost the economy. The Japanese yen has depreciated according to quantitative easing, however, whether or not the volume of exports has increased is not certain. Empirical results of this study show that there is not a strong relationship between currency depreciation of the yen and Japanese exports. Also, elasticity, the total percentage changes in trade divided by the total percentage changes in exchange rates, is calculated for main international trade partners for Japan. The results are different for each country. The shock on the exchange rate appears and continues after some time passes.

The Policy Assignment Principle with Wage Indexation

2002 ◽  
Vol 46 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-87
Author(s):  
Wen-Ya Chang ◽  
Ching-Chong Lai
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Supply Side ◽  
Foreign Reserves ◽  
Fixed Exchange Rates ◽  
Managed Floating ◽  
Wage Indexation

This paper is the first attempt to examine the role of alternative wage indexation schemes in coordination between fiscal and exchange rate policies to achieve given desirable macroeconomic targets under fixed exchange rates with perfect capital mobility. By introducing an explicit specification of the supply side similar to Sachs (1980) and Pitchford (1990) into the Mundell (1963) framework, we show that the crucial factor determining whether the mixture of fiscal and exchange rate policies will successfully work to stabilize output and official foreign reserves is the degree of wage indexation. Furthermore, we also show that such a finding under fixed exchange rates is robust when the analysis shifts to the system of a managed floating regime.

scholarly journals A Predictive Effect of Exchange Rates on Value-Added Free Trade

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (21) ◽  
pp. 9146
Author(s):  
Myoung Shik Choi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Trade Flows ◽  
Currency Depreciation ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Positive Effect

The study investigates a predictive exchange rate effect on value-added trade flows on global value chains. We theoretically review the role of exchange rates on international trade based on insular, open, and global value chained economies. This paper empirically confirms a retro forecasting rule of the exchange rate on exports and trade balance using the value-added data for the period from 1995 to 2015. The first result is that real effective exchange rates have predictive elasticity information for the value-added trade flows. The second is that exchange rates have two practical effects on trade flows. The value-added exchange rate hurts the value-added trade balance due to increased intermediate trades, but the exchange rate has a positive effect on the gross trade balance. We would expect that value-added exports with trade balance can be improved in all sample countries when the value-added exchange rate is increasing. The main contribution is further evidence on distinguishing the currency depreciation on the value-added trade from the depreciation on the gross trade to achieve higher growth.

Fear of Free Floating or Forced Exchange Rate Fixing

2004 ◽  
pp. 112-122
Author(s):  
O. Osipova
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Float Exchange Rate ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Arrangements ◽  
Pass Through

After the financial crisis at the end of the 1990 s many countries rejected fixed exchange rate policy. However actually they failed to proceed to announced "independent float" exchange rate arrangement. This might be due to the "fear of floating" or an irreversible result of inflation targeting central bank policy. In the article advantages and drawbacks of fixed and floating exchange rate arrangements are systematized. Features of new returning to exchange rates stabilization and possible risks of such policy for Russia are considered. Special attention is paid to the issue of choice of a "target" currency composite which can minimize external inflation pass-through.

ANALISIS EKSPOSUR EKONOMI DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHINYA PADA PERUSAHAAN ROKOK YANG TERCATAT DI BEI

Wahana ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 98-109
Author(s):  
Ida Musdafia Ibrahim ◽  
Arif Haryono
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Tobacco Industry ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Exchange Rate Risk ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Rate Risk

This study aims to analyze economic exposures and its factors namely exchange rates and inflation, that influence firm value as reflected through firm cash flow. Analytical method used Ordinary Least Square and eviews as analytical tool. This study used secondary data and cigarette industry companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as samples along 2008 to 2017. Samples choosing method used purposive sampling based on determined criterias. The results showed that partially economic exposure had positive effects on firm value but insignificant. These could be seen from the economic exposure factors influncenced namely exchange rates and inflations.The exchange rate risk has low influenced cash flow was caused of the tobacco industry has low level of export/import.Enhance,inflation also had low effect on cash flow was caused of the tendency of cigarette consumers will continue to buy cigarettes even though its price increases. In short, economic exposure in the tobacco industry has low influence toward firms value. Hence, simultaneously changes in exchange rates and inflation which are economic exposure indicators have a significant effect on cash flows.  Keywords: Economic Exposure, Exchange Rate Risk, Inflation Risk, Firms Value, Cash Flow

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