A methodology for developing simulation models of complex systems

2007 ◽  
Vol 202 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 385-396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Craig A. Aumann
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Ping Chen ◽  
Kuei-Yuan Chan

Abstract Simulation models play crucial roles in efficient product development cycles, therefore many studies aim to improve the confidence of a model during the validation stage. In this research, we proposed a dynamic model validation to provide accurate parameter settings for minimal output errors between simulation models and real model experiments. The optimal operations for setting parameters are developed to maximize the effects by specific model parameters while minimizing interactions. To manage the excessive costs associated with simulations of complex systems, we propose a procedure with three main features: the optimal excitation based on global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is done via metamodel techniques, for estimating parameters with the polynomial chaos-based Kalman filter, and validating the updated model based on hypothesis testing. An illustrative mathematical model was used to demonstrate the detail processes in our proposed method. We also apply our method on a vehicle dynamic case with a composite maneuver for exciting unknown model parameters such as inertial and coefficients of the tire model; the unknown model parameters were successfully estimated within a 95% credible interval. The contributions of this research are also underscored through multiple cases.


Cybernetics ◽  
1977 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 862-870
Author(s):  
N. P. Buslenko

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Juste Raimbault

AbstractThe generation of synthetic data is an essential tool to study complex systems, allowing for example to test models of these in precisely controlled settings, or to parametrize simulation models when data is missing. This paper focuses on the generation of synthetic data with an emphasis on correlation structure. We introduce a new methodology to generate such correlated synthetic data. It is implemented in the field of socio-spatial systems, more precisely by coupling an urban growth model with a transportation network generation model. We also show the genericity of the method with an application on financial time-series. The simulation results show that the generation of correlated synthetic data for such systems is indeed feasible within a broad range of correlations, and suggest applications of such synthetic datasets.


Author(s):  
Yury I. Brodsky ◽  
Leonid V. Kruglov

The paper offers a new programming paradigm, which implements CAD methods in programming, The level of encapsulation in model-oriented programming is higher than in the object-oriented approach. The key features of the MO-programming are declarative style (no imperative programs), and focusing on the distributed and high-performance calculations. The method proposed is based on the structural theory of multi-component complex systems, and is applicable for a rather wide class of tasks including the elaboration of simulation models of such systems.


Author(s):  
C. A. Callender ◽  
Wm. C. Dawson ◽  
J. J. Funk

The geometric structure of pore space in some carbonate rocks can be correlated with petrophysical measurements by quantitatively analyzing binaries generated from SEM images. Reservoirs with similar porosities can have markedly different permeabilities. Image analysis identifies which characteristics of a rock are responsible for the permeability differences. Imaging data can explain unusual fluid flow patterns which, in turn, can improve production simulation models.Analytical SchemeOur sample suite consists of 30 Middle East carbonates having porosities ranging from 21 to 28% and permeabilities from 92 to 2153 md. Engineering tests reveal the lack of a consistent (predictable) relationship between porosity and permeability (Fig. 1). Finely polished thin sections were studied petrographically to determine rock texture. The studied thin sections represent four petrographically distinct carbonate rock types ranging from compacted, poorly-sorted, dolomitized, intraclastic grainstones to well-sorted, foraminiferal,ooid, peloidal grainstones. The samples were analyzed for pore structure by a Tracor Northern 5500 IPP 5B/80 image analyzer and a 80386 microprocessor-based imaging system. Between 30 and 50 SEM-generated backscattered electron images (frames) were collected per thin section. Binaries were created from the gray level that represents the pore space. Calculated values were averaged and the data analyzed to determine which geological pore structure characteristics actually affect permeability.


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