Prediction of physical and chemical qualities of crude-oil using statistical time series analysis

2001 ◽  
Vol 369 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 704-708
Author(s):  
B. Dębska ◽  
Grzegorz Iwaszek

The UK has emerged as one of the largest producers of petroleum in the world. A significant amount of petroleum is used for fulfilling the energy demand within the country. However, the country witnessed a different trend from 2015. This is mainly due to the increase in imports of petroleum in order to meet domestic needs. To this, there is a need to identify the impact of changes exist in petrol and crude oil prices in the UK. In this context, the researcher has undertaken primary research to derive conclusions which are case specific and can comply with the research aim. The study used secondary data for the year 2015-2018 and conducted multivariate time series analysis. A series of tests including unit root, ARIMA, and co-integration tests were used to derive the results. The study found that there was an asymmetric relationship between the movements of prices of crude oil with respect to retail fuel prices in the long run. However, the study is not without limitations which are represented at the end of the study following with its future scope


Author(s):  
Mofazzal H. Khondekar ◽  
Dipendra N. Ghosh ◽  
Koushik Ghosh ◽  
Anup Kumar Bhattacharya

The present work is an attempt to analyze the various researches already carried out from the theoretical perspective in the field of soft computing based time series analysis, characterization of chaos, and theory of fractals. Emphasis has been given in the analysis on soft computing based study in prediction, data compression, explanatory analysis, signal processing, filter design, tracing chaotic behaviour, and estimation of fractal dimension of time series. The present work is a study as a whole revealing the effectiveness as well as the shortcomings of the various techniques adapted in this regard.


Technometrics ◽  
1990 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 353-354
Author(s):  
Michael A. Wincek

1990 ◽  
Vol 85 (409) ◽  
pp. 258
Author(s):  
William W. S. Wei ◽  
Robert H. Shumway

Energy ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 109 ◽  
pp. 29-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis A. Gil-Alana ◽  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Olusanya E. Olubusoye ◽  
OlaOluwa S. Yaya

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