Approximate conditional-mean type smoothers and interpolators

1979 ◽  
pp. 117-143 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Douglas Martin
Keyword(s):  
Conditional Mean

scholarly journals Two-Dimensional Sampling-Recovery Algorithm of a Realization of Gaussian Processes on the Input and Output of Linear Systems

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (10) ◽  
pp. 1079
Author(s):  
Vladimir Kazakov ◽  
Mauro A. Enciso ◽  
Francisco Mendoza
Keyword(s):  
Gaussian Processes ◽  
Research Method ◽  
General Algorithm ◽  
Two Dimensional ◽  
Recovery Algorithm ◽  
Conditional Mean ◽  
Quality Of Recovery ◽  
Input And Output ◽  
Statistical Relationships

Based on the application of the conditional mean rule, a sampling-recovery algorithm is studied for a Gaussian two-dimensional process. The components of such a process are the input and output processes of an arbitrary linear system, which are characterized by their statistical relationships. Realizations are sampled in both processes, and the number and location of samples in the general case are arbitrary for each component. As a result, general expressions are found that determine the optimal structure of the recovery devices, as well as evaluate the quality of recovery of each component of the two-dimensional process. The main feature of the obtained algorithm is that the realizations of both components or one of them is recovered based on two sets of samples related to the input and output processes. This means that the recovery involves not only its own samples of the restored realization, but also the samples of the realization of another component, statistically related to the first one. This type of general algorithm is characterized by a significantly improved recovery quality, as evidenced by the results of six non-trivial examples with different versions of the algorithms. The research method used and the proposed general algorithm for the reconstruction of multidimensional Gaussian processes have not been discussed in the literature.

scholarly journals Comparing Bayesian Spatial Conditional Overdispersion and the Besag–York–Mollié Models: Application to Infant Mortality Rates

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 282
Author(s):  
Mabel Morales-Otero ◽  
Vicente Núñez-Antón
Keyword(s):  
Infant Mortality ◽  
Count Data ◽  
Spatial Dependence ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Neighborhood Structure ◽  
Specific Context ◽  
Count Data Models ◽  
Conditional Mean

In this paper, we review overdispersed Bayesian generalized spatial conditional count data models. Their usefulness is illustrated with their application to infant mortality rates from Colombian regions and by comparing them with the widely used Besag–York–Mollié (BYM) models. These overdispersed models assume that excess of dispersion in the data may be partially caused from the possible spatial dependence existing among the different spatial units. Thus, specific regression structures are then proposed both for the conditional mean and for the dispersion parameter in the models, including covariates, as well as an assumed spatial neighborhood structure. We focus on the case of response variables following a Poisson distribution, specifically concentrating on the spatial generalized conditional normal overdispersion Poisson model. Models were fitted by making use of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) algorithms in the specific context of Bayesian estimation methods.

A kernel-based measure for conditional mean dependence

2021 ◽  
pp. 107246
Author(s):  
Tingyu Lai ◽  
Zhongzhan Zhang ◽  
Yafei Wang
Keyword(s):  
Conditional Mean

scholarly journals Conditional-mean initialization using neighboring objects in deformable model segmentation

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ja-Yeon Jeong ◽  
Joshua V. Stough ◽  
J. Steve Marron ◽  
Stephen M. Pizer
Keyword(s):  
Deformable Model ◽  
Conditional Mean ◽  
Model Segmentation

A Heteroskedasticity Test Robust to Conditional Mean Misspecification

Econometrica ◽  
1992 ◽  
Vol 60 (1) ◽  
pp. 159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byung-Joo Lee
Keyword(s):  
Conditional Mean

Estimation of nonstationary nonparametric regression model with multiplicative structure

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Likai Chen ◽  
Ekaterina Smetanina ◽  
Wei Biao Wu
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Nonparametric Regression ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Convergence Rates ◽  
Broad Class ◽  
Estimation Procedure ◽  
Small Samples ◽  
Nonparametric Regression Model ◽  
Conditional Mean ◽  
Mean Function

Abstract This paper presents a multiplicative nonstationary nonparametric regression model which allows for a broad class of nonstationary processes. We propose a three-step estimation procedure to uncover the conditional mean function and establish uniform convergence rates and asymptotic normality of our estimators. The new model can also be seen as a dimension-reduction technique for a general two-dimensional time-varying nonparametric regression model, which is especially useful in small samples and for estimating explicitly multiplicative structural models. We consider two applications: estimating a pricing equation for the US aggregate economy to model consumption growth, and estimating the shape of the monthly risk premium for S&P 500 Index data.

scholarly journals Risk, Return and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Jensen ◽  
John Maheu
Keyword(s):  
Dirichlet Process ◽  
Joint Distribution ◽  
Nonparametric Model ◽  
Bayesian Nonparametric ◽  
Excess Returns ◽  
Dirichlet Process Prior ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Conditional Mean ◽  
Risk Return ◽  
Volatility Feedback

In this paper, we let the data speak for itself about the existence of volatility feedback and the often debated risk–return relationship. We do this by modeling the contemporaneous relationship between market excess returns and log-realized variances with a nonparametric, infinitely-ordered, mixture representation of the observables’ joint distribution. Our nonparametric estimator allows for deviation from conditional Gaussianity through non-zero, higher ordered, moments, like asymmetric, fat-tailed behavior, along with smooth, nonlinear, risk–return relationships. We use the parsimonious and relatively uninformative Bayesian Dirichlet process prior to overcoming the problem of having too many unknowns and not enough observations. Applying our Bayesian nonparametric model to more than a century’s worth of monthly US stock market returns and realized variances, we find strong, robust evidence of volatility feedback. Once volatility feedback is accounted for, we find an unambiguous positive, nonlinear, relationship between expected excess returns and expected log-realized variance. In addition to the conditional mean, volatility feedback impacts the entire joint distribution.

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