A martingale approach to first passage problems and a new condition for Wald's identity

Author(s):  
A. A. Novikov
1964 ◽  
Vol 1 (01) ◽  
pp. 85-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Keilson

Homogeneous additive processes on a finite or semi-infinite interval have been studied in many forms. Wald's identity for the first passage process on the finite interval (see for example Miller, 1961), the waiting time process of Lindley (1952), and a variety of problems in the theory of queues, dams, and inventories come to mind. These processes have been treated by and large by methods in the complex plane. Lindley's discrete parameter process on the continuum, for example, described by where the ξ n are independent identically distributed random variables, has been discussed by Wiener-Hopf methods in recent years by Lindley (1952), Smith (1953), Kemperman (1961), Keilson (1961), and many others. A review of earlier studies is given by Kemperman.


1964 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Keilson

Homogeneous additive processes on a finite or semi-infinite interval have been studied in many forms. Wald's identity for the first passage process on the finite interval (see for example Miller, 1961), the waiting time process of Lindley (1952), and a variety of problems in the theory of queues, dams, and inventories come to mind. These processes have been treated by and large by methods in the complex plane. Lindley's discrete parameter process on the continuum, for example, described by where the ξn are independent identically distributed random variables, has been discussed by Wiener-Hopf methods in recent years by Lindley (1952), Smith (1953), Kemperman (1961), Keilson (1961), and many others. A review of earlier studies is given by Kemperman.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1742
Author(s):  
Tautvydas Kuras ◽  
Jonas Sprindys ◽  
Jonas Šiaulys

In this paper, we find the upper bound for the tail probability Psupn⩾0∑I=1nξI>x with random summands ξ1,ξ2,… having light-tailed distributions. We find conditions under which the tail probability of supremum of sums can be estimated by quantity ϱ1exp{−ϱ2x} with some positive constants ϱ1 and ϱ2. For the proof we use the martingale approach together with the fundamental Wald’s identity. As the application we derive a few Lundberg-type inequalities for the ultimate ruin probability of the inhomogeneous renewal risk model.


1988 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 138-140
Author(s):  
H. S. Thomsen ◽  
K. Rasmussen ◽  
F. Burcharth ◽  
S. L. Nielsen

1980 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 777-782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milan Šolc

The establishment of chemical equilibrium in a system with a reversible first order reaction is characterized in terms of the distribution of first passage times for the state of exact chemical equilibrium. The mean first passage time of this state is a linear function of the logarithm of the total number of particles in the system. The equilibrium fluctuations of composition in the system are characterized by the distribution of the recurrence times for the state of exact chemical equilibrium. The mean recurrence time is inversely proportional to the square root of the total number of particles in the system.


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