Global energy system to maintain atmospheric CO2 concentration at 550 ppm

2000 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenji Yamaji ◽  
Junichi Fujino ◽  
Koichi Osada
Keyword(s):  
Co2 Concentration ◽  
Energy System ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 ◽  
Global Energy ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 Concentration ◽  
Global Energy System

Impact assessment of the increase in fossil fuel prices on the global energy system, with and without CO2 concentration stabilization

Energy Policy ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 36 (9) ◽  
pp. 3477-3484 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ullash K. Rout ◽  
Keigo Akimoto ◽  
Fuminori Sano ◽  
Junichiro Oda ◽  
Takashi Homma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Impact Assessment ◽  
Fossil Fuel ◽  
Co2 Concentration ◽  
Energy System ◽  
Global Energy ◽  
Fuel Prices ◽  
Global Energy System

scholarly journals Response of simulated burned area to historical changes in environmental and anthropogenic factors: a comparison of seven fire models

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (19) ◽  
pp. 3883-3910 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lina Teckentrup ◽  
Sandy P. Harrison ◽  
Stijn Hantson ◽  
Angelika Heil ◽  
Joe R. Melton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Co2 Concentration ◽  
Fire Regimes ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 ◽  
Anthropogenic Factors ◽  
Burned Area ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 Concentration ◽  
Fire Models ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Understanding how fire regimes change over time is of major importance for understanding their future impact on the Earth system, including society. Large differences in simulated burned area between fire models show that there is substantial uncertainty associated with modelling global change impacts on fire regimes. We draw here on sensitivity simulations made by seven global dynamic vegetation models participating in the Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP) to understand how differences in models translate into differences in fire regime projections. The sensitivity experiments isolate the impact of the individual drivers on simulated burned area, which are prescribed in the simulations. Specifically these drivers are atmospheric CO2 concentration, population density, land-use change, lightning and climate. The seven models capture spatial patterns in burned area. However, they show considerable differences in the burned area trends since 1921. We analyse the trajectories of differences between the sensitivity and reference simulation to improve our understanding of what drives the global trends in burned area. Where it is possible, we link the inter-model differences to model assumptions. Overall, these analyses reveal that the largest uncertainties in simulating global historical burned area are related to the representation of anthropogenic ignitions and suppression and effects of land use on vegetation and fire. In line with previous studies this highlights the need to improve our understanding and model representation of the relationship between human activities and fire to improve our abilities to model fire within Earth system model applications. Only two models show a strong response to atmospheric CO2 concentration. The effects of changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration on fire are complex and quantitative information of how fuel loads and how flammability changes due to this factor is missing. The response to lightning on global scale is low. The response of burned area to climate is spatially heterogeneous and has a strong inter-annual variation. Climate is therefore likely more important than the other factors for short-term variations and extremes in burned area. This study provides a basis to understand the uncertainties in global fire modelling. Both improvements in process understanding and observational constraints reduce uncertainties in modelling burned area trends.

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