Asymptotic properties ofa nonparametric intensity estimator of a nonhomogeneous poisson process

1996 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 74-85 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Ya. Dorogovtsev ◽  
A. G. Kukush
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Process ◽  
Asymptotic Properties ◽  
Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Intensity Estimator

scholarly journals The Confidence Interval of the Estimator of the Periodic Intensity Function in the Presence of Power Function Trend on the Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process

CAUCHY ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-83
Author(s):  
Ikhsan Maulidi ◽  
Bonno Andri Wibowo ◽  
Nina Valentika ◽  
Muhammad Syazali ◽  
Vina Apriliani
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Stochastic Processes ◽  
Poisson Process ◽  
Power Function ◽  
Intensity Function ◽  
Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Constructive Proof ◽  
Power Functions ◽  
Periodic Intensity ◽  
Intensity Estimator

The nonhomogeneous Poisson process is one of the most widely applied stochastic processes. In this article, we provide a confidence interval of the intensity estimator in the presence of a periodic multiplied by trend power function. This estimator's confidence interval is an application of the formulation of the estimator asymptotic distribution that has been given in previous studies. In addition, constructive proof of the convergent in probability has been provided for all power functions.

scholarly journals Bayesian modeling and prediction of accrual in multi-regional clinical trials

2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 752-765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Deng ◽  
Xiaoxi Zhang ◽  
Qi Long
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Poisson Process ◽  
Process Model ◽  
Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Modeling And Prediction ◽  
Accuracy And Precision ◽  
Start Up ◽  
Accrual Rate ◽  
Model Region ◽  
Over Time

In multi-regional trials, the underlying overall and region-specific accrual rates often do not hold constant over time and different regions could have different start-up times, which combined with initial jump in accrual within each region often leads to a discontinuous overall accrual rate, and these issues associated with multi-regional trials have not been adequately investigated. In this paper, we clarify the implication of the multi-regional nature on modeling and prediction of accrual in clinical trials and investigate a Bayesian approach for accrual modeling and prediction, which models region-specific accrual using a nonhomogeneous Poisson process and allows the underlying Poisson rate in each region to vary over time. The proposed approach can accommodate staggered start-up times and different initial accrual rates across regions/centers. Our numerical studies show that the proposed method improves accuracy and precision of accrual prediction compared to existing methods including the nonhomogeneous Poisson process model that does not model region-specific accrual.

Optimal Advertizing Policy for Selling a Single Asset

1991 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Assaf ◽  
Benny Levikson
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Process ◽  
Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Independent And Identically Distributed

Suppose we have a single asset that we would like to sell. As time goes by, independent and identically distributed offers with a common known distribution F are given to us. At any given moment, we may either accept the current offer or reject it, thereby losing it forever. The rate at which offers arrive follows a nonhomogeneous Poisson process whose instantaneous intensity is under our control, using advertizing in a manner to be described. Our objective is, roughly, that of maximizing the total discounted expected reward composed of the offer we decide to accept, minus the total advertizing costs.

Operator-based intensity functions for the nonhomogeneous Poisson process

2016 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 79-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. K. Bar-Lev ◽  
D. Bshouty ◽  
F. A. van der Duyn Schouten
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Process ◽  
Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Intensity Functions

scholarly journals Probability distributions of COVID-19 tweet posted trends use a nonhomogeneous Poisson process

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 229-238
Author(s):  
Devi Munandar ◽  
Sudradjat Supian ◽  
Subiyanto Subiyanto
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Poisson Process ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Initial State ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Time Parameters ◽  
Parameter Values

The influence of social media in disseminating information, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic, can be observed with time interval, so that the probability of number of tweets discussed by netizens on social media can be observed. The nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) is a Poisson process dependent on time parameters and the exponential distribution having unequal parameter values and, independently of each other. The probability of no occurrence an event in the initial state is one and the probability of an event in initial state is zero. Using of non-homogeneous Poisson in this paper aims to predict and count the number of tweet posts with the keyword coronavirus, COVID-19 with set time intervals every day. Posting of tweets from one time each day to the next do not affect each other and the number of tweets is not the same. The dataset used in this study is crawling of COVID-19 tweets three times a day with duration of 20 minutes each crawled for 13 days or 39 time intervals. The result of this study obtained predictions and calculated for the probability of the number of tweets for the tendency of netizens to post on the situation of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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