The impact of public investment on private investment spending in Latin America: 1980–95

2000 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 210-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel D. Ramirez
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Investment Spending ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Public and Foreign Investment Spending in the Argentine Case. A Cointegration Analysis with Structural Breaks, 1960-2015.

2020 ◽  
pp. 49-76
Author(s):  
Miguel Ramirez
Keyword(s):  
Labor Force ◽  
Labor Productivity ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Productivity Growth ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Labor Productivity Growth ◽  
Investment Spending ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines whether public investment spending and inward foreign direct investment (FDI) enhance labor productivity growth in Argentina. Using annual data, it estimates a dynamic labor productivity function for the 1960-2015 period that incorporates the impact of public and private investment spending, education expenditures, the labor force, and export growth. It tests for both single and two-break unit root tests, as well as performing cointegration tests with an endogenously determined regime shift over the 1960-2015 period. Cointegration analysis suggests that a long-term relationship exists among the relevant variables. The error correction (EC) models suggest that (lagged) increases in public investment spending and education have a positive and significant effect on the rate of labor productivity growth Also, the model is estimated for a shorter period (1970-2015) to capture the impact of inward FDI flows. The estimates suggest that (lagged) FDI flows have a positive and significant impact on labor productivity growth, while increases in the labor force have a negative effect. From a policy standpoint, the findings call into question the politically expedient policy in many Latin American countries, including Argentina during the 1990s and 2000s, of disproportionately reducing public capital expenditures on education and infrastructure to meet reductions in the fiscal deficit as a proportion of GDP. The results give further support to pro-investment and pro-growth policies designed to promote public investment spending and attract inward FDI flows.

scholarly journals A FMOLS Analysis of FDI Flows to Latin America

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Miguel D. Ramirez
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Institutional Determinants ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Investment Spending

This paper estimates a panel FDI investment function that seeks to identify some of the major economic and institutional determinants of net FDI flows to nine major Latin American countries during the 1980-2014 period. First, it utilizes Dunning’s OLI model to identify some of the major economic and institutional determinants of FDI. Second, the paper provides an overview of FDI flows to Latin America during the 1990-2017 period, with particular emphasis on their contribution to the financing of gross fixed capital formation. Third, an economic rationale is provided for the included variables and their expected signs. Fourth, the paper reports estimates for a Fully Modified Ordinary least Squares (FMOLS) panel regression designed to explain the variation in FDI flows to Latin America during the 1980-2014 period. The estimates suggest that real GDP (a proxy for market size), credit provided by the private banking sector, government expenditures on education, and the level of economic freedom as measured by the Fraser Institute have a positive and significant effect. On the other hand, public investment spending, the volatility of real GDP and the real exchange rate have a negative and significant effect on FDI flows. The panel unit root and (Pedroni) panel cointegration tests suggest that there is a stable, long-term relationship among the included variables; i.e., the selected variables in the reported regressions are cointegrated over the relevant time period.

Impact of Public and Private Infrastructure Investment on Economic Growth: Evidence from India

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-138
Author(s):  
Nishija Unnikrishnan ◽  
Thomas Paul Kattookaran
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Literature presents contradictory views regarding the impact of public and private investment on the economic growth of a country. India being a developing country, where the major share of investment is by public sector, the question which props up is what among public and private investment is contributing more towards the economic growth of the country. In this framework, the gross domestic product (GDP) can be fairly explained as a function of public infrastructure investment and private infrastructure investment. Johansen’s co-integration was used to test the long-run relationship between the variables over the period from 1961–1962 to 2016–2017. A vector error correction model (VECM) along with an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis was done to measure the impact of public infrastructure investment and private infrastructure investment on the GDP. Based on the empirical evidence discussed earlier, it was evident that both public and private infrastructure investments have a significant impact on the economic growth of the nation. Findings which came up in this study correlate to majority findings of past literature that, when compared with public investment, it is private investment which is capable of giving a better impetus to economic growth.

scholarly journals The Impact of Public Investment on Private Investment: Evidence from India

2016 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 288-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradyumna Dash
Keyword(s):  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Crowding Out ◽  
Base Line ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Executive Summary ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Executive Summary This paper estimates the impact of public investment on private investment in India during 1970-2013 using ARDL procedure developed by Pesaran and Shin (1999) and Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001) by incorporating endogenously determined structural break in the model. The base line result implies that a 1 per cent increase in public investment as a ratio to GDP leads to 0.81 per cent and 0.53 per cent decrease in private investment as a ratio to GDP in the long run (about 4 to 5 years) and short run (about 2 to 3 years), respectively, after controlling for economic conditions. To address the concern that the results may be driven by government consumption expenditure, fiscal deficit, or inadequate infrastructure, the analysis was repeated by estimating the investment function after including these variables and similar results were obtained. The investment regression was also estimated for a shorter sample period (1978–2013) to get the same result. It is observed that the crowding out effect of public investment on private investment has dampened during the post-liberalization period. The results also reveal that a “market friendly” incumbent and an increase in foreign direct investment dampen the magnitude of the crowding out effect of public investment. Formal tests were conducted to examine whether the crowding out effect was driven by political uncertainty and political business cycle channels but no evidence for the same is found. The results also reveal that public infrastructure (represented by kms of roads per capita) has a positive effect on private investment in the short run. This is similar to the findings by Blejer and Khan (1984) that while public infrastructure investment is complementary to private investment, other kinds of public investment lead to crowding out of private investment. This suggests that public investment should be more focused on goods and services which are enjoyed or consumed by many consumers simultaneously and non-excludable in nature with significant positive externalities. In this model, a single endogenously determined structural break was included and the possibility of multiple breaks was excluded. There is a scope to increase multiple structural breaks and re-investigate the impact of public investment on private investment in India in future studies.

scholarly journals Econometric Study of the Impact of Public and Private Investment on Economic Growth in Algeria during the Period (1970-2017)

2020 ◽  
pp. 58-69
Author(s):  
Hadjoudj Abdallah ◽  
TchiKo Faouzi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Percent Increase ◽  
The Impact

This article examines the impact of public and private investment on economic growth in Algeria covering the period from 1970 to 2017. By applying the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag model (ARDL)-(bounds testing approach). The key findings of the study concluded that there is a long-run relationship between public and private investment and economic growth in Algeria. The result of the Augmented Dickey Fuller unit root test (ADF) showed that the variables are stationary at the level and at the first difference. In addition, the results of the cointegration test indicated that the variables are cointegrated and therefore have the ability to move together over the long term. The parsimonious error correction mechanism showed that private investment is significantly related to economic growth. The result indicated that a 1 percent increase in the present value of private investment, on average, stimulates economic growth by 0.09 percent. Similarly, the value of public investment is positively related to economic growth. On average, a 1 percent increase in public investment stimulates growth in Algeria by 0.05 percent. the results of short-run dynamics reveal that, the error correction term (ECM) is negative and significant (-0.54), which means that 54% of the disequilibrium will be adjusted annually.

scholarly journals The Impact of Public Investment on Private Investment: A Disaggregated Analysis

2006 ◽  
Vol 45 (4II) ◽  
pp. 639-663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noman Saeed ◽  
Kalim Hyder ◽  
Asghar Ali
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Economic Literature ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Multiplier Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Statistical Results

The impact of public investment on private investment has been a matter of great interest in economic literature. Classical economists believed that public investment crowds out private investment. While Keynesian economists counter this argument and argued that public investment increases or crowds in private investment because of the multiplier effect. Many of the empirical studies have directly examined this by testing whether a statistically significant relationship exists or not, between public investment and private investment. The empirical work appears with mixed statistical results on the relationship between public and private investment. Results of Erenburg and Wohar (1995), Pereira (2001, 2003), Pereira and Roca-Sagales (2001), Hyder (2002) and Naqvi (2002) showed that public investment crowds in private investment while Pradhan, Ratha and Sarma (1990), Haque and Montiel (1993), Ahmed (1994), Voss (2002) and Narayan (2004) showed that public investment crowds out private investment.

scholarly journals Investment and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis for Tanzania

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manamba Epaphra ◽  
John Massawe
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Control Variables ◽  
Lm Test ◽  
The Impact

This paper analyzes the causal effect between domestic private investment, public investment, foreign direct investment and economic growth in Tanzania during the 1970-2014 period. The modified neo-classical growth model that includes control variables such as trade liberalization, life expectancy and macroeconomic stability proxied by inflation is used to estimate the impact of investment on economic growth. Also, the economic growth models based on Phetsavong and Ichihashi (2012), and Le and Suruga (2005) are used to estimate the crowding out effect of public investment on private domestic investment on one hand and foreign direct investment on the other hand. A correlation test is applied to check the correlation among independent variables, and the results show that there is very low correlation suggesting that multicollinearity is not a serious problem. Moreover, the diagnostic tests including RESET regression errors specification test, Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation LM test, Jacque-Bera-normality test and white heteroskedasticity test reveal that the model has no signs of misspecification and that, the residuals are serially uncorrelated, normally distributed and homoskedastic. Generally, the empirical results show that the domestic private investment plays an important role in economic growth in Tanzania. FDI also tends to affect growth positively, while control variables such as high population growth and inflation appear to harm economic growth. Results also reveal that control variables such as trade openness and life expectancy improvement tend to increase real GDP growth. Moreover, a revealed negative, albeit weak, association between public and private investment suggests that the positive effect of domestic private investment on economic growth reduces when public investment-to-GDP ratio exceeds 8-10 percent. Thus, there is a great need for promoting domestic saving so as to encourage domestic investment for economic growth.

scholarly journals The Linkage between Public, Private Investment and Economic Growth—Evidence for the Developing ASEAN and Asian Countries

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 580 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nguyen Thi Canh, PhD. Prof. ◽  
Nguyen Anh Phong, PhD.
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Public Private Partnership ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Private Partnership ◽  
The Impact

<p><em>This study used a quantitative method to assess the impact of public investment on private investment and economic growth based on data from 18 developing countries over a 21-year period (1995-2015) by applying PVAR model combined with GMM. The findings show that all public investment and public-private partnership investments affect private investment as well as affect economic growth but the effects vary cyclically, by time period, and by group of countries.</em></p><p><em>For the ASEAN developing countries, public investment crowds out private investment in short term and crowds in private investment in the medium and long term, but it crowds out public-private partnership investment. For the developing countries in Asia, public investment has a positive impact on economic growth with the inverted U-shaped pattern which stimulates growth in the short and medium term, but in the long-term effects of stimulation growth tend to decrease.</em></p>

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