Purchasing power parity and uncovered interest parity: The Spanish case

1998 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 335-348
Author(s):  
Francisco J. Ledesma ◽  
Manuel Navarro ◽  
Jorge V. Perez ◽  
Simón Sosvilla
Author(s):  
Siti Aisyah Tri Rahayu ◽  
Lukman Hakim

In order to strengthening cooperation regional and form the strength regional in ASEAN, likely require to relate at successful European Union in forming financial and economic market integration (EMU). ME become the “model" a success economic integration. We can conclude that to reach monetary union have to beforehand realized by economic union supported by union and strong politics willingness, where this matter have been blazed the way old in such a way by leaders of European countries of West which is merged into EMU. Intention of this research is to see the international parity condition of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and rate of interest parity (UIP) of among currency in ASEAN-5 with the currency of United States. Result of this research obtained is show that the goodness of theory of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and rate of interest parity (UIP) cannot be holded for the nations of ASEAN-5. In general, hypothesis ß 1=1 refused by existing data. This fact is indication that PPP and UIP cannot be holded during period 1980.01 until 2004.12. With do not hold of two the parity (PPP and UIP) hence possibility to existing of monetary uni ASEAN likely still will passing sufficient process.


2019 ◽  
Vol 109 (3) ◽  
pp. 810-843 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lukas Kremens ◽  
Ian Martin

We present a new identity that relates expected exchange rate appreciation to a risk-neutral covariance term, and use it to motivate a currency forecasting variable based on the prices of quanto index contracts. We show via panel regressions that the quanto forecast variable is an economically and statistically significant predictor of currency appreciation and of excess returns on currency trades. Out of sample, the quanto variable outperforms predictions based on uncovered interest parity, on purchasing power parity, and on a random walk as a forecaster of differential (dollar-neutral) currency appreciation. (JEL C53, E43, F31, F37, G12, G15)


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