Household Informedness and Long-Run Inflation Expectations: Experimental Evidence

2018 ◽  
Vol 85 (2) ◽  
pp. 580-598 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carola Binder ◽  
Alex Rodrigue
2019 ◽  
pp. 114-133
Author(s):  
G. I. Idrisov ◽  
Y. Yu. Ponomarev

The article shows that depending on the goals pursued by the federal government and the available interbudgetary tools a different design of infrastructure mortgage is preferable. Three variants of such mortgage in Russia are proposed, each of which is better suited for certain types of projects and uses different forms of subsidies. According to our expert assessment the active use of infrastructure mortgage in Russia can increase the average annual GDP growth rate by 0.5 p. p. on the horizon of 5—7 years. In the long run the growth of infrastructure financing through the use of infrastructure mortgage could increase long-term economic growth by 0.9 p. p., which in 20—30 years can add 20—30% of GDP to the economy. However, the change in the structure of budget expenditures in the absence of an increase in the budget deficit and public debt will cause no direct impact on monetary policy. The increase in the deficit and the build-up of public debt will have a negative effect on inflation expectations, which will require monetary tightening for a longer time to stabilize them.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gadi Barlevy ◽  
Jonas D. M. Fisher ◽  
May Tysinger

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-143
Author(s):  
Subhasankar Chattopadhyay

The withdrawal of high-denomination paper money in India—popularly termed ‘demonetization’—has generated interest among common people to understand what the usual macroeconomic consequences of such one-time monetary shock are. This article conjectures (a) that such unanticipated supply-side replacement of paper money of higher denominations may lead to a currency ‘trap’ in the short run and a permanent increase in the hoarding of lower denomination currencies in the long run and (b) that the effect on the GDP in the medium run can be ambiguous in a simple IS-LM framework once the effects of variable price level and changing inflation expectations are captured through the presence of an informal sector. JEL Classification: E 12, E 26, E 44, E 52


2016 ◽  
Vol 54 (4) ◽  
pp. 1839-1859 ◽  
Author(s):  
María laura Alzúa ◽  
Guillermo Cruces ◽  
Carolina Lopez

Author(s):  
Edward Miguel ◽  
Michael Walker ◽  
Sarah Baird ◽  
Joan Hicks

Author(s):  
Edward Miguel ◽  
Michael Walker ◽  
Sarah Baird ◽  
Joan Hicks

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