Reliability-based design optimization of computation-intensive models making use of response surface models

2010 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 555-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Steenackers ◽  
R. Versluys ◽  
M. Runacres ◽  
P. Guillaume
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Response Surface Models ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Surface Models

RELIABILITY DESIGN EVALUATION AND OPTIMIZATION OF A NITROGEN GAS BOTTLE USING RESPONSE SURFACE METHOD

2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 119-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. BHATTACHARJEE ◽  
K. RAMESH KUMAR ◽  
T. A. JANARDHAN REDDY
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Optimization Under Uncertainty ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Nitrogen Gas ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Surface Method

Optimization of any aerospace product results in increasing payload capacity of space vehicles. Essentially weight, volume and cost are the main constraints. Design optimization studies for aerospace system are increasingly gaining importance. The problem of optimum design under uncertainty has been formulated as reliability-based design optimization. The reliability based optimization, which includes robustness requirements leads to multi-objective optimization under uncertainty. In this paper Reliability, based design optimization study is carried out under linear constraint optimization to minimize the weight of a nitrogen gas bottle with specified target reliability. Response surface method considering full factorial experiment is used to establish multiple regression equation for induced hoop stress and maximum strain. Necessary data pertaining to design, manufacturing and operating conditions are collected systematically for variability study. Structural reliability is evaluated using Advanced First-Order Second-Moment Method (AFOSM). Finally, optimization formulation established and it has been discussed in this paper.

The Response Surface Single Loop Reliability-Based Design Optimization Method With Reliability Requirement on System Failure

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rami Mansour ◽  
Mårten Olsson
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Optimization Problem ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Single Loop ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Deterministic Solution

In reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), an optimal design which minimizes an objective function while satisfying a number of probabilistic constraints is found. As opposed to deterministic optimization, statistical uncertainties in design variables and design parameters have to be taken into account in the design process in order to achieve a reliable design. In the most widely used RBDO approaches, the First-Order Reliability Method (FORM) is used in the probability assessment. This involves locating the Most Probable Point (MPP) of failure, or the inverse MPP, either exactly or approximately. If exact methods are used, an optimization problem has to be solved, typically resulting in computationally expensive double loop or decoupled loop RBDO methods. On the other hand, locating the MPP approximately typically results in highly efficient single loop RBDO methods since the optimization problem is not necessary in the probability assessment. However, since all these methods are based on FORM, which in turn is based on a linearization of the deterministic constraints at the MPP, they may suffer inaccuracies associated with neglecting the nonlinearity of deterministic constraints. In a previous paper presented by the authors, the Response Surface Single Loop (RSSL) Reliability-based design optimization method was proposed. The RSSL-method takes into account the non-linearity of the deterministic constraints in the computation of the probability of failure and was therefore shown to have higher accuracy than existing RBDO methods. The RSSL-method was also shown to have high efficiency since it bypasses the concept of an MPP. In RSSL, the deterministic solution is first found by neglecting uncertainties in design variables and parameters. Thereafter quadratic response surface models are fitted to the deterministic constraints around the deterministic solution using a single set of design of experiments. The RBDO problem is thereafter solved in a single loop using a closed-form second order reliability method (SORM) which takes into account all elements of the Hessian of the quadratic constraints. In this paper, the RSSL method is used to solve the more challenging system RBDO problems where all constraints are replaced by one constraint on the system probability of failure. The probabilities of failure for the constraints are assumed independent of each other. In general, system reliability problems may be more challenging to solve since replacing all constraints by one constraint may strongly increase the non-linearity in the optimization problem. The extensively studied reliability-based design for vehicle crash-worthiness, where the provided deterministic constraints are general quadratic models describing the system in the whole region of interest, is used to demonstrate the capabilities of the RSSL method for problems with system reliability constraints.

Reliability-Based Design Optimization Using Response Surface Method With Prediction Interval Estimation

2008 ◽  
Vol 130 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chwail Kim ◽  
K. K. Choi
Keyword(s):  
Design Optimization ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Prediction Interval ◽  
Upper And Lower Bounds ◽  
Computational Time ◽  
Engineering System ◽  
Reliability Based Design Optimization ◽  
Reliability Based Design ◽  
Surface Method

Since variances in the input variables of the engineering system cause subsequent variances in the product output performance, reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is getting much attention recently. However, RBDO requires expensive computational time. Therefore, the response surface method is often used for computational efficiency in solving RBDO problems. A method to estimate the effect of the response surface error on the RBDO result is developed in this paper. The effect of the error is expressed in terms of the prediction interval, which is utilized as the error metric for the response surface used for RBDO. The prediction interval provides upper and lower bounds for the confidence level that the design engineer specified. Using the prediction interval of the response surface, the upper and lower limits of the reliability are computed. The lower limit of reliability is compared with the target reliability to obtain a conservative optimum design and thus safeguard against the inaccuracy of the response surface. On the other hand, in order to avoid obtaining a design that is too conservative, the developed method also constrains the upper limit of the reliability in the design optimization process. The proposed procedure is combined with an adaptive sampling strategy to refine the response surface. Numerical examples show the usefulness and the efficiency of the proposed method.

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