scholarly journals Upper-ocean singular vectors of the North Atlantic climate with implications for linear predictability and variability

2011 ◽  
Vol 138 (663) ◽  
pp. 500-513 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Zanna ◽  
P. Heimbach ◽  
A. M. Moore ◽  
E. Tziperman
2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 2135-2151 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Marzin ◽  
N. Kallel ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
J.-C. Duplessy ◽  
P. Braconnot

Abstract. Several paleoclimate records such as from Chinese loess, speleothems or upwelling indicators in marine sediments present large variations of the Asian monsoon system during the last glaciation. Here, we present a new record from the northern Andaman Sea (core MD77-176) which shows the variations of the hydrological cycle of the Bay of Bengal. The high-resolution record of surface water δ18O dominantly reflects salinity changes and displays large millennial-scale oscillations over the period 40 000 to 11 000 yr BP. Their timing and sequence suggests that events of high (resp. low) salinity in the Bay of Bengal, i.e. weak (resp. strong) Indian monsoon, correspond to cold (resp. warm) events in the North Atlantic and Arctic, as documented by the Greenland ice core record. We use the IPSL_CM4 Atmosphere-Ocean coupled General Circulation Model to study the processes that could explain the teleconnection between the Indian monsoon and the North Atlantic climate. We first analyse a numerical experiment in which such a rapid event in the North Atlantic is obtained under glacial conditions by increasing the freshwater flux in the North Atlantic, which results in a reduction of the intensity of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. This freshwater hosing results in a weakening of the Indian monsoon rainfall and circulation. The changes in the continental runoff and local hydrological cycle are responsible for an increase in salinity in the Bay of Bengal. This therefore compares favourably with the new sea water δ18O record presented here and the hypothesis of synchronous cold North Atlantic and weak Indian monsoon events. Additional sensitivity experiments are produced with the LMDZ atmospheric model to analyse the teleconnection mechanisms between the North Atlantic and the Indian monsoon. The changes over the tropical Atlantic are shown to be essential in triggering perturbations of the subtropical jet over Africa and Eurasia, that in turn affect the intensity of the Indian monsoon. These relationships are also found to be valid in additional coupled model simulations in which the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is forced to resume.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arnold Taylor

Despite global warming, a region of the North Atlantic has been observed to cool, a phenomenon known as theáNorth Atlantic Warming Holeá(NAWH). The causes of the NAWH remain under debate but its emergence has been linked to a slowdown of the meridional circulation leading to a reduced ocean heat transport into the warming hole region. This note uses previously published evidence to suggest that the pattern of temperature change is not unique but may have been a recurring feature during the last century and a half, fluctuating between a positive and negative phase. It appears global warming has amplified one of these phases in the North Atlantic climate.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Griffiths ◽  
James Keeble ◽  
Fiona O'Connor ◽  
Alexander Archibald ◽  
John Pyle ◽  
...  

<div> <div> <div> <p>A grand challenge in the field of chemistry-climate modelling is understanding the connection between anthropogenic emissions, atmospheric composition and the radiative forcing of trace gases and aerosols.</p> <p>The 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) includes a number of climate model experiments that can be used for this purpose.  AerChemMIP [Collins et al.2017] focuses on calculating the radiative forcing of gases and aerosol particles over the period 1850 to 2100, and comprises several tiers of experiments designed to attribute the effect of changes in emissions. </p> <p>The UK Earth System Model, UKESM-1, is a novel climate model developed for CMIP6  [Sellar et al., 2019] and is a community research tool for studying past and future climate.  It includes a detailed treatment of tropospheric chemistry, interactive BVOC emissions and extensive stratospheric chemistry.</p> <p>The North Atlantic Climate System is an area of current interest [Robson et al., 2020] and is the focus of the UKRI 'ACSIS' project.  ACSIS brings together scientists from a range of different specialisms to understand complex changes in the North Atlantic climate system.    By understanding how these changes relate to external drivers of climate, such as human activity, or natural variability, ACSIS aims to improve our capability to detect, explain and predict changes in the North Atlantic climate system.</p> <p>We present an analysis of the evolution of atmospheric composition over the period 1950-2015. The work is based on a recent global multi-model evaluation of tropospheric ozone for CMIP6 [Griffiths et al., 2020] , but focuses on changes over the North Atlantic region in UKESM-1.  We draw on CMIP and AerChemMIP simulations to provide an initial survey of the response of this region to changing emissions , focusing on atmospheric composition and attempting attribution from a series of targeted experiments involving perturbed emissions .</p> </div> </div> </div>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diana Iakovleva ◽  
Igor Bashmachnikov

<p>Interannual variations in the upper ocean heat and freshwater contents in the subpolar North Atlantic has important climatic effect. It affects the intensity of deep convection, which, in turn, forms the link between upper and deep ocean circulation of the global ocean Conveyor Belt.</p><p>The upper ocean heat content is primarily affected by two main process: by the ocean-atmosphere heat exchange and by oceanic heat advection. The intensity of both fluxes in the subpolar gyre is linked to the character of atmospheric circulation, largely determined by the phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).</p><p>To study the interannual variability of the oceanic heat advection (in the upper 500<sup>th</sup> meters layer) we compare the results from four different data-sets: ARMOR-3D (1993-2018), SODA3.4.2 and SODA3.12.2 (1980-2017), and ORAS5 (1958-2017). The ocean-atmosphere heat exchange is accessed as the sum of the latent and the sensible heat fluxes, obtained from OAFlux data-set (1958-2016).</p><p>The oceanic heat advection to the Labrador and to the Irminger seas has high negative correlation (-0.79) with that into the Nordic Seas. During the years with high winter NAO Index (NAOI) the oceanic heat advection into the Subpolar Gyre decreases, while to the Nordic Seas – increases. These variations go in parallel with the intensification of the Norwegian, the West Spitsbergen and the slope East Greenland currents and weakening of the West Greenland and the Irminger Currents. During the years with high NAOI, the ocean heat release (both sensible and latent) over the Labrador and Irminger seas increases, but over the Norwegian Sea it decreases.</p><p>In summary, the results show that, during the positive NAO phase, the observed decrease of the heat content in the upper Labrador and Irminger seas is linked to both, a higher oceanic het release and a lower intensity of advection of warm water from the south. In the Norwegian Sea, the opposite sign of variations of the fluxes above leads to a simultaneous warming of the upper ocean.</p><p>The investigation is supported by the Russian Scientific Foundation (RSF), number of project 17-17-01151.</p><p> </p><p> </p>


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