scholarly journals Optimal control measures for a susceptible‐carrier‐infectious‐recovered‐susceptible malware propagation model

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 691-702 ◽  
Author(s):  
João N.C. Gonçalves ◽  
Helena Sofia Rodrigues ◽  
M. Teresa T. Monteiro
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Propagation Model ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Malware Propagation

scholarly journals On the Optimal Control of a Malware Propagation Model

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1518
Author(s):  
Jose Diamantino Hernández Guillén ◽  
Ángel Martín del Rey ◽  
Roberto Casado Vara
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Control Measure ◽  
Propagation Model ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Basic Reproductive Number ◽  
Reproductive Number ◽  
Security Measures ◽  
Epidemic Process ◽  
Malware Propagation ◽  
Prevention Measure

An important way considered to control malware epidemic processes is to take into account security measures that are associated to the systems of ordinary differential equations that governs the dynamics of such systems. We can observe two types of control measures: the analysis of the basic reproductive number and the study of control measure functions. The first one is taken at the beginning of the epidemic process and, therefore, we can consider this to be a prevention measure. The second one is taken during the epidemic process. In this work, we use the theory of optimal control that is associated to systems of ordinary equations in order to find a new function to control malware epidemic through time. Specifically, this approach is evaluate on a particular compartmental malware model that considers carrier devices.

scholarly journals Modeling and Analysis of the Spread of Malware with the Influence of User Awareness

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Qingyi Zhu ◽  
Xuhang Luo ◽  
Yuhang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Propagation Model ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Basic Reproductive Number ◽  
Reproductive Number ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sis Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Modeling And Analysis ◽  
Malware Propagation ◽  
User Awareness

By incorporating the security awareness of computer users into the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model, this study proposes a new malware propagation model, named the SID model, where D compartment denotes the group of nodes with user awareness. Through qualitative analysis, the basic reproductive number R 0 is given. Furthermore, it is proved that the virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R 0 is less than one, whereas the viral equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R 0 is greater than one. Then, some numerical examples are given to demonstrate the analytical results. Finally, we put forward some efficient control measures according to the theoretical and experimental analysis.

scholarly journals Parameter-dependent transmission dynamics and optimal control of foot and mouth disease in a contaminated environment

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Francis Mugabi ◽  
Joseph Mugisha ◽  
Betty Nannyonga ◽  
Henry Kasumba ◽  
Margaret Tusiime
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Deterministic Model ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Decay Rates ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Optimality System ◽  
Foot And Mouth ◽  
Environmental Decontamination

AbstractThe problem of foot and mouth disease (FMD) is of serious concern to the livestock sector in most nations, especially in developing countries. This paper presents the formulation and analysis of a deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of FMD through a contaminated environment. It is shown that the key parameters that drive the transmission of FMD in a contaminated environment are the shedding, transmission, and decay rates of the virus. Using numerical results, it is depicted that the host-to-host route is more severe than the environmental-to-host route. The model is then transformed into an optimal control problem. Using the Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle, the optimality system is determined. Utilizing a gradient type algorithm with projection, the optimality system is solved for three control strategies: optimal use of vaccination, environmental decontamination, and a combination of vaccination and environmental decontamination. Results show that a combination of vaccination and environmental decontamination is the most optimal strategy. These results indicate that if vaccination and environmental decontamination are used optimally during an outbreak, then FMD transmission can be controlled. Future studies focusing on the control measures for the transmission of FMD in a contaminated environment should aim at reducing the transmission and the shedding rates, while increasing the decay rate.

scholarly journals Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control for a SEIR Model Based on Virus Mutation in WSNs

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 929
Author(s):  
Guiyun Liu ◽  
Jieyong Chen ◽  
Zhongwei Liang ◽  
Zhimin Peng ◽  
Junqiang Li
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Hamiltonian Function ◽  
Propagation Model ◽  
Dynamical Analysis ◽  
Optimal Control Strategy ◽  
Epidemic Dynamics ◽  
Optimization Control ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Pontryagin Maximum Principle

With the rapid development of science and technology, the application of wireless sensor networks (WSNs) is more and more widely. It has been widely concerned by scholars. Viruses are one of the main threats to WSNs. In this paper, based on the principle of epidemic dynamics, we build a SEIR propagation model with the mutated virus in WSNs, where E nodes are infectious and cannot be repaired to S nodes or R nodes. Subsequently, the basic reproduction number R0, the local stability and global stability of the system are analyzed. The cost function and Hamiltonian function are constructed by taking the repair ratio of infected nodes and the repair ratio of mutated infected nodes as optimization control variables. Based on the Pontryagin maximum principle, an optimal control strategy is designed to effectively control the spread of the virus and minimize the total cost. The simulation results show that the model has a guiding significance to curb the spread of mutated virus in WSNs.

scholarly journals Fractional-Order Modelling and Optimal Control of Cholera Transmission

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 261
Author(s):  
Silvério Rosa ◽  
Delfim F. M. Torres
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Optimal Control ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Fractional Order ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Variable Order ◽  
Effectiveness Analysis ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Derivative Order

A Caputo-type fractional-order mathematical model for “metapopulation cholera transmission” was recently proposed in [Chaos Solitons Fractals 117 (2018), 37–49]. A sensitivity analysis of that model is done here to show the accuracy relevance of parameter estimation. Then, a fractional optimal control (FOC) problem is formulated and numerically solved. A cost-effectiveness analysis is performed to assess the relevance of studied control measures. Moreover, such analysis allows us to assess the cost and effectiveness of the control measures during intervention. We conclude that the FOC system is more effective only in part of the time interval. For this reason, we propose a system where the derivative order varies along the time interval, being fractional or classical when more advantageous. Such variable-order fractional model, that we call a FractInt system, shows to be the most effective in the control of the disease.

scholarly journals Socially vs. Privately Optimal Control of Livestock Diseases: A Case for Integration of Epidemiology and Economics

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ângelo J. Mendes ◽  
Daniel T. Haydon ◽  
Emma McIntosh ◽  
Nick Hanley ◽  
Jo E. B. Halliday
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Disease Control ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Disease Risk ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Control Effort ◽  
Optimal Behavior ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Livestock Diseases

This paper aims to illustrate the interdependencies between key epidemiological and economic factors that influence the control of many livestock infectious diseases. The factors considered here are (i) farmer heterogeneity (i.e., differences in how farmers respond to a perceived disease risk), (ii) off-farm effects of farmers' actions to control a disease (i.e., costs and benefits borne by agents that are external to the farm), and (iii) misalignment between privately and socially optimal control efforts (i.e., privately optimal behavior not conducive to a socially optimal outcome). Endemic chronic diseases cause a wide range of adverse social and economic impacts, particularly in low-income countries. The actions taken by farmers to control livestock diseases minimize some of these impacts, and heterogeneity in those actions leads to variation in prevalence at the farm level. While some farmers respond to perceived disease risks, others free-ride on the actions of these individuals, thereby compromising the potential benefits of collective, coordinated behavior. When evaluating a plausible range of disease cost to price of control ratios and assuming that farmers choose their privately optimal control effort, we demonstrate that achievement of a socially optimal disease control target is unlikely, occurring in <25% of all price-cost combinations. To achieve a socially optimal disease control outcome (reliant on farmers' voluntary actions), control policies must consider farmer heterogeneity, off-farm effects, and the predicted uptake of control measures under the assumption of optimized behavior.

scholarly journals Modeling the Effects of Helminth Infection on the Transmission Dynamics of Mycobacterium tuberculosis under Optimal Control Strategies

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Aristide G. Lambura ◽  
Gasper G. Mwanga ◽  
Livingstone Luboobi ◽  
Dmitry Kuznetsov
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Equilibrium Point ◽  
Drug Administration ◽  
Mass Drug Administration ◽  
Helminth Infection ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Active Tuberculosis ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
The Impact

A deterministic mathematical model for the transmission and control of cointeraction of helminths and tuberculosis is presented, to examine the impact of helminth on tuberculosis and the effect of control strategies. The equilibrium point is established, and the effective reproduction number is computed. The disease-free equilibrium point is confirmed to be asymptotically stable whenever the effective reproduction number is less than the unit. The analysis of the effective reproduction number indicates that an increase in the helminth cases increases the tuberculosis cases, suggesting that the control of helminth infection has a positive impact on controlling the dynamics of tuberculosis. The possibility of bifurcation is investigated using the Center Manifold Theorem. Sensitivity analysis is performed to determine the effect of every parameter on the spread of the two diseases. The model is extended to incorporate control measures, and Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle is applied to derive the necessary conditions for optimal control. The optimal control problem is solved numerically by the iterative scheme by considering vaccination of infants for Mtb, treatment of individuals with active tuberculosis, mass drug administration with regular antihelminthic drugs, and sanitation control strategies. The results show that a combination of educational campaign, treatment of individuals with active tuberculosis, mass drug administration, and sanitation is the most effective strategy to control helminth-Mtb coinfection. Thus, to effectively control the helminth-Mtb coinfection, we suggest to public health stakeholders to apply intervention strategies that are aimed at controlling helminth infection and the combination of vaccination of infants and treatment of individuals with active tuberculosis.

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