Introduction: Integrating high-resolution past climate records for future prediction in the Australasian region

2006 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 679-680 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris S. M. Turney ◽  
A. Peter Kershaw ◽  
Amanda Lynch
2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Masayoshi Ishii ◽  
Nobuhito Mori

Abstract A large-ensemble climate simulation database, which is known as the database for policy decision-making for future climate changes (d4PDF), was designed for climate change risk assessments. Since the completion of the first set of climate simulations in 2015, the database has been growing continuously. It contains the results of ensemble simulations conducted over a total of thousands years respectively for past and future climates using high-resolution global (60 km horizontal mesh) and regional (20 km mesh) atmospheric models. Several sets of future climate simulations are available, in which global mean surface air temperatures are forced to be higher by 4 K, 2 K, and 1.5 K relative to preindustrial levels. Nonwarming past climate simulations are incorporated in d4PDF along with the past climate simulations. The total data volume is approximately 2 petabytes. The atmospheric models satisfactorily simulate the past climate in terms of climatology, natural variations, and extreme events such as heavy precipitation and tropical cyclones. In addition, data users can obtain statistically significant changes in mean states or weather and climate extremes of interest between the past and future climates via a simple arithmetic computation without any statistical assumptions. The database is helpful in understanding future changes in climate states and in attributing past climate events to global warming. Impact assessment studies for climate changes have concurrently been performed in various research areas such as natural hazard, hydrology, civil engineering, agriculture, health, and insurance. The database has now become essential for promoting climate and risk assessment studies and for devising climate adaptation policies. Moreover, it has helped in establishing an interdisciplinary research community on global warming across Japan.


2009 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 46-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Thurow ◽  
L. C. Peterson ◽  
U. Harms ◽  
D. A. Hodell ◽  
H. Cheshire ◽  
...  

No abstract available. <br><br> doi:<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.2204/iodp.sd.8.08.2009" target="_blank">10.2204/iodp.sd.8.08.2009</a>


Geology ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 34 (10) ◽  
pp. 849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Stevens ◽  
Simon J. Armitage ◽  
Huayu Lu ◽  
David S.G. Thomas

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soon Do Hur ◽  
Sang-Bum Hong ◽  
Heejin Hwang ◽  
Khanghyun Lee ◽  
Yeongcheol Han ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1645-1662 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuele Russo ◽  
Ulrich Cubasch

Abstract. The improvement in resolution of climate models has always been mentioned as one of the most important factors when investigating past climatic conditions, especially in order to evaluate and compare the results against proxy data. Despite this, only a few studies have tried to directly estimate the possible advantages of highly resolved simulations for the study of past climate change. Motivated by such considerations, in this paper we present a set of high-resolution simulations for different time slices of the mid-to-late Holocene performed over Europe using the state-of-the-art regional climate model COSMO-CLM. After proposing and testing a model configuration suitable for paleoclimate applications, the aforementioned mid-to-late Holocene simulations are compared against a new pollen-based climate reconstruction data set, covering almost all of Europe, with two main objectives: testing the advantages of high-resolution simulations for paleoclimatic applications, and investigating the response of temperature to variations in the seasonal cycle of insolation during the mid-to-late Holocene. With the aim of giving physically plausible interpretations of the mismatches between model and reconstructions, possible uncertainties of the pollen-based reconstructions are taken into consideration. Focusing our analysis on near-surface temperature, we can demonstrate that concrete advantages arise in the use of highly resolved data for the comparison against proxy-reconstructions and the investigation of past climate change. Additionally, our results reinforce previous findings showing that summertime temperatures during the mid-to-late Holocene were driven mainly by changes in insolation and that the model is too sensitive to such changes over Southern Europe, resulting in drier and warmer conditions. However, in winter, the model does not correctly reproduce the same amplitude of changes evident in the reconstructions, even if it captures the main pattern of the pollen data set over most of the domain for the time periods under investigation. Through the analysis of variations in atmospheric circulation we suggest that, even though the wintertime discrepancies between the two data sets in some areas are most likely due to high pollen uncertainties, in general the model seems to underestimate the changes in the amplitude of the North Atlantic Oscillation, overestimating the contribution of secondary modes of variability.


Radiocarbon ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 59 (6) ◽  
pp. 1873-1890 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quan Hua ◽  
Duncan Cook ◽  
Jens Fohlmeister ◽  
Dan Penny ◽  
Paul Bishop ◽  
...  

AbstractWe report the chronological construction for the top portion of a speleothem, PC1, from southern Cambodia with the aim of reconstructing a continuous high-resolution climate record covering the fluorescence and decline of the medieval Khmer kingdom and its capital at Angkor (~9th–15th centuries AD). Earlier attempts to date PC1 by the standard U-Th method proved unsuccessful. We have therefore dated this speleothem using radiocarbon. Fifty carbonate samples along the growth axis of PC1 were collected for accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) analysis. Chronological reconstruction for PC1 was achieved using two different approaches described by Hua et al. (2012a) and Lechleitner et al. (2016a). Excellent concordance between the two age-depth models indicates that the top ~47 mm of PC1 grew during the last millennium with a growth hiatus during ~1250–1650 AD, resulting from a large change in measured 14C values at 34.4–35.2 mm depth. The timing of the growth hiatus covers the period of decades-long droughts during the 14th–16th centuries AD indicated in regional climate records.


Episodes ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 112-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhang Meiliang ◽  
Cheng Hai ◽  
Yuan Daoxian ◽  
Lin Yushi ◽  
Qin Jiaming ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document