Variations and changes of annual precipitation in Central Asia over the last century

2017 ◽  
Vol 37 ◽  
pp. 157-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zengyun Hu ◽  
Qiming Zhou ◽  
Xi Chen ◽  
Cheng Qian ◽  
Shanshan Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Annual Precipitation

scholarly journals Influence of Earthquakes on Landslide Susceptibility in a Seismic Prone Catchment in Central Asia

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 3768
Author(s):  
Fengqing Li ◽  
Isakbek Torgoev ◽  
Damir Zaredinov ◽  
Marina Li ◽  
Bekhzod Talipov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Environmental Variables ◽  
Limit Equilibrium ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Equilibrium Analysis ◽  
Annual Precipitation ◽  
Earthquake Scenario ◽  
Earthquake Scenarios ◽  
Local Decision

Central Asia is one of the most challenged places, prone to suffering from various natural hazards, where seismically triggered landslides have caused severe secondary losses. Research on this problem is especially important in the cross-border Mailuu-Suu catchment in Kyrgyzstan, since it is burdened by radioactive legacy sites and frequently affected by earthquakes and landslides. To identify the landslide-prone areas and to quantify the volume of landslide (VOL), Scoops3D was selected to evaluate the slope stability throughout a digital landscape in the Mailuu-Suu catchment. By performing the limit equilibrium analysis, both of landslide susceptibility index (LSI) and VOL were estimated under five earthquake scenarios. The results show that the upstream areas were more seismically vulnerable than the downstream areas. The susceptibility level rose significantly with the increase in earthquake strength, whereas the VOL was significantly higher under the extreme earthquake scenario than under the other four scenarios. After splitting the environmental variables into sub-classes, the spatial variations of LSI and VOL became more clear: the LSI reduced with the increase in elevation, slope, annual precipitation, and distances to faults, roads, and streams, whereas the highest VOL was observed in the areas with moderate elevations, high precipitation, grasslands, and mosaic vegetation. The relative importance analysis indicated that the explanatory power reduced with the increase in earthquake level and it was significant higher for LSI than for VOL. Among nine environmental variables, the distance to faults, annual precipitation, slope, and elevation were identified as important triggers of landslides. By a simultaneous assessment of both LSI and VOL and the identification of important triggers, the proposed modelling approaches can support local decision-makers and householders to identify landslide-prone areas, further design proper landslide hazard and risk management plans and, consequently, contribute to the resolution of transboundary pollution conflicts.

scholarly journals Changes of the Annual Precipitation over Central Asia in the Twenty-First Century Projected by Multimodels of CMIP5

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (17) ◽  
pp. 6627-6646 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anning Huang ◽  
Yang Zhou ◽  
Yaocun Zhang ◽  
Danqing Huang ◽  
Yong Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
First Century ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Annual Precipitation ◽  
Emission Scenarios ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Twenty First Century

Abstract Based on the outputs of historical and future representative concentration pathway (RCP) experiments produced by 28 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), future changes in climatic mean, interannual standard deviation (ISD), and long-term trends of the annual precipitation over central Asia (CA) have been estimated. Under different emission scenarios during the twenty-first century, the climatic mean and ISD (long-term trends) of the annual precipitation over CA projected by the five best models’ ensemble mean show very similar (quite different) spatial patterns to those in the twentieth century. Relatively stronger increasing rates (over 3 mm decade−1 in RCP2.6 and over 6 mm decade−1 in RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) are located over northern CA and the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Compared to the situations in the twentieth century, the climatic mean, ISD, and long-term trends of the projected annual precipitation over most of CA under different emission scenarios exhibit robust increasing changes during the twenty-first century. The projected increasing changes in the climatic mean (ISD) of the CA annual mean range from 10% to 35% (10%–90%) under different emission scenarios with relatively large increases over Xinjiang, China (northern CA and Xinjiang). The increasing trends of the annual precipitation over most of CA are projected to intensify with relatively large increases (over 3–9 mm decade−1) located over northern CA, the Tian Shan Mountains, and northern Tibet during the twenty-first century. In addition, the intensities of the increasing changes in the climatic mean, ISD, and trends of CA annual precipitation are intensified with the emissions increased correspondingly. Further analyses of the possible mechanisms related to the projected changes in precipitation indicate that the increases of the annual precipitation over CA in the twenty-first century are mainly attributed to the enhanced precipitable water that results from strengthened water vapor transport and surface evaporation.

The Russian Conquest of Central Asia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Morrison
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia

ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR MINAT NASABAH MEMILIKI KARTU KREDIT BCA PADA PT. BANK CENTRAL ASIA CABANG MANGGA BESAR RAYA

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2B) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Asna Manullang ◽  
Debih Arliana
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Product Price ◽  
Physical Evidence ◽  
Place Promotion ◽  
Promotion Process

Tingkat pencapaian minat nasabah untuk memiliki kartu kredit BCA dipengaruhi oleh delapan kelompok variabel yang dikenal sebagai 8P yaitu Product, Price, Place, Promotion, Process, Physical evidence, People dan Produktivity and quality. Penelitian dilakukan di PT.Bank Central Asia, Jalan Mangga Besar Raya No. 128 Jakarta Pusat. Tujuan dari penelitian adalah untuk mengetahui bagaimana pengaruh faktor-faktor minat nasabah memiliki kartu kredit BCA. Penelitian ini menggunakan 2 metoda yaitu metoda deskriptif yaitu mengembangkan produk dan jasa yang sudah ada dan analisa kuantitatif dibagi menjadi dua analisa yang pertama analisa uji validitas dan analisa uji reabilitas. Data yang dianalisa yaitu analisis faktorfaktor yang menjadi daya tarik konsumen untuk memiliki kartu kredit BCA dapat dihitung dan diteliti langsung, data dianalisis dengan menggunakan SPSS versi 16.0. Responden telah mengisi 33 pertanyaan yang disebut dengan variabel dengan nilai skor dan dibagi berdasarkan kelompok sebagai faktornya. Hasil analisis dapat disimpulkan daya tarik konsumen untuk memiliki kartu kredit BCA ada 7 faktor utama. Faktor pertama Produk dengan nilai varians (11,74), faktor ke dua adalah Harga dengan nilai varians (10,73%), faktor ke tiga adalah Distribusi dengan nilai varians (8%), faktor ke empat adalah Promosi dengan nilai varians (7,77%), faktor ke lima adalah Proses dengan nilai varians (6,75%), faktor ke enam adalah Fisik dengan nilai varians (6,28%) dan faktor ke tujuh adalah Kualitas dengan nilai varians (5,76%). Faktor produk merupakan faktor yang paling mempengaruhi konsumen untuk memiliki kartu kredit BCA. Faktor ini dapat menerangkan keragaman data (varians) sebesar 11,74%. Dari beberapa analisis yang diperoleh bahwa faktor produk sangat berpengaruhi positif terhadap keputusan konsumen dalam memiliki kartu kredit BCA karena konsumen menginginkan produk yang baik agar dapat mempermudah transaksi dimana saja dan kapan saja. Kata Kunci: BCA, kartu kredit, Keputusan Nasabah

The Elachistidae of southern Siberia and Central Asia, with descriptions of five new species (Lepidoptera)¹

1992 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 177-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lauri Kaila
Keyword(s):  
New Species ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Baikal Region ◽  
Tianshan Mountains ◽  
Previous Literature ◽  
Altai Mountains ◽  
Southern Siberia

The Elachistidae material collected during the joint Soviet-Finnish entomological expeditions to the Altai mountains, Baikal region and Tianshan mountains of the previous USSR is listed. Previous literature dealing with the Elachistidae in Central Asia is reviewed. A total of 40 species are dealt with, including descriptions of five new species: Stephensia jalmarella sp. n. (Altai), Elachista baikalica sp. n. (Baikal), E. talgarella sp. n. (southern Kazakhstan), E. esmeralda sp. n. (southern Kazakhstan) and E. filicornella sp. n. (southern Kazakhstan). The previously unknown females of E. bimaculata Parenti, 1981 and Biselachista zonulae Sruoga, 1992 are described.

Regions and regional variations in Hellenistic Central Asia: what pottery assemblages can tell us

Afghanistan ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-140
Author(s):  
Gabriele Puschnigg ◽  
Jean-Baptiste Houal
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Surface Appearance ◽  
Regional Variations ◽  
Regional Characteristics ◽  
Political Relationships

Regions play an important part in scholarly discussions on Hellenistic Central Asia. Most commonly the concept of regions is determined by historically testified administrative entities. They also form the basis for many art-historical and archaeological considerations which seek to define specific regional characteristics. At the same time, such qualities are often used to define regional boundaries or elucidate political relationships. Taking the perspective of ceramic evidence, we highlight the complexities of interpreting pottery assemblages with regard to regional identities and inter-regional variations. Examining the different properties of ceramics, including their form, surface appearance and decoration, we demonstrate how changeable the notion of ‘region’ can be in this context. Distinct criteria and even minor chronological variations lead to the description of different regions, showing that we should use such definitions with care.

Khandut revisited: Monuments, shrines, and newly discovered rock art in Wakhan District

Afghanistan ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 282-301
Author(s):  
John Mock
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Rock Art ◽  
Field Work ◽  
Present Condition ◽  
Current Article

In 1972, a brief article titled “Khandud, Village de la Vallée du Wakhan” appeared in Afghanistan 25. The subsequent decades of conflict precluded any follow-up research in Wakhan. The current article, based on field work from 2004 to 2016, examines the present condition of the sites described in 1972, offers a revised analysis of their significance, and introduces newly discovered rock art that connects Wakhan with the Saka culture of Central Asia and illustrates indigenous traditions of the Pamir-Hindukush ethnolinguistic region.

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