scholarly journals Decadal-scale sensitivity of Northeast Greenland ice flow to errors in surface mass balance using ISSM

2013 ◽  
Vol 118 (2) ◽  
pp. 667-680 ◽  
Author(s):  
N-J. Schlegel ◽  
E. Larour ◽  
H. Seroussi ◽  
M. Morlighem ◽  
J. E. Box
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Decadal Scale ◽  
Scale Sensitivity

THE STUDIES OF SURFACE MASS BALANCE AND ICE FLOW ON GLACIERS AUSTRELOVéNBREEN AND PEDERSENBREEN, SVALBARD, ARCTIC

2010 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingxing Xu ◽  
Ming Yan ◽  
Jiawen Ren ◽  
Songtao Ai ◽  
Jiancheng Kang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass

scholarly journals Temporally stable surface mass balance asymmetry across an ice rise derived from radar internal reflection horizons through inverse modeling

2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (233) ◽  
pp. 525-534 ◽  
Author(s):  
DENIS CALLENS ◽  
REINHARD DREWS ◽  
EMMANUEL WITRANT ◽  
MORGANE PHILIPPE ◽  
FRANK PATTYN
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Optimization Technique ◽  
Internal Reflection ◽  
Asymmetric Distribution ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Atmospheric Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Shelves

ABSTRACTIce rises are locally grounded parts of Antarctic ice shelves that play an important role in regulating ice flow from the continent towards the ocean. Because they protrude out of the otherwise horizontal ice shelves, ice rises induce an orographic uplift of the atmospheric flow, resulting in an asymmetric distribution of the surface mass balance (SMB). Here, we combine younger and older internal reflection horizons (IRHs) from radar to quantify this distribution in time and space across Derwael Ice Rise (DIR), Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. We employ two methods depending on the age of the IRHs, i.e. the shallow layer approximation for the younger IRHs near the surface and an optimization technique based on an ice flow model for the older IRHs. We identify an SMB ratio of 2.5 between the flanks and the ice divide with the SMB ranging between 300 and 750 kg m−2 a−1. The SMB maximum is located on the upwind side, ~4 km offset to today's topographic divide. The large-scale asymmetry is consistently observed in time until 1966. The SMB from older IRHs is less-well constrained, but the asymmetry has likely persisted for >ka, indicating that DIR has been a stable features over long time spans.

scholarly journals Modelling the future evolution of glaciers in the European Alps under the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry Zekollari ◽  
Matthias Huss ◽  
Daniel Farinotti
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
European Alps ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Future Evolution ◽  
The Future

Abstract. Glaciers in the European Alps play an important role in the hydrological cycle, act as a source for hydroelectricity and have a large touristic importance. The future evolution of these glaciers is driven by surface mass balance and ice flow processes, which the latter is to date not included in regional glacier projections for the Alps. Here, we model the future evolution of glaciers in the European Alps with GloGEMflow, an extended version of the Global Glacier Evolution Model (GloGEM), in which both surface mass balance and ice flow are explicitly accounted for. The mass balance model is calibrated with glacier-specific geodetic mass balances, and forced with high-resolution regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the EURO-CORDEX ensemble. The evolution of the total glacier volume in the coming decades is relatively similar under the various representative concentrations pathways (RCP2.6, 4.5 and 8.5), with volume losses of about 47–52 % in 2050 with respect to 2017. We find that under RCP2.6, the ice loss in the second part of the 21st century is relatively limited and that about one-third (36.8 % ± 11.1 %) of the present-day (2017) ice volume will still present in 2100. Under a strong warming (RCP8.5) the future evolution of the glaciers is dictated by a substantial increase in surface melt, and glaciers are projected to largely disappear by 2100 (94.4 ± 4.4 % volume loss vs. 2017). For a given RCP, differences in future changes are mainly determined by the driving global climate model, rather than by the RCM that is coupled to it, and these differences are larger than those arising from various model parameters. We find that under a limited warming, the inclusion of ice dynamics reduces the projected mass loss and that this effect increases with the glacier elevation range, implying that the inclusion of ice dynamics is likely to be important for global glacier evolution projections.

scholarly journals Simulating ice thickness and velocity evolution of Upernavik Isstrøm 1849–2012 by forcing prescribed terminus positions in ISSM

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1511-1522 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstanze Haubner ◽  
Jason E. Box ◽  
Nicole J. Schlegel ◽  
Eric Y. Larour ◽  
Mathieu Morlighem ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Position Change ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Total Mass Loss ◽  
Negative Surface ◽  
Ice Velocity ◽  
Glacier Velocity

Abstract. Tidewater glacier velocity and mass balance are known to be highly responsive to terminus position change. Yet it remains challenging for ice flow models to reproduce observed ice margin changes. Here, using the Ice Sheet System Model (Larour et al., 2012), we simulate the ice velocity and thickness changes of Upernavik Isstrøm (north-western Greenland) by prescribing a collection of 27 observed terminus positions spanning 164 years (1849–2012). The simulation shows increased ice velocity during the 1930s, the late 1970s and between 1995 and 2012 when terminus retreat was observed along with negative surface mass balance anomalies. Three distinct mass balance states are evident in the reconstruction: (1849–1932) with near zero mass balance, (1932–1992) with ice mass loss dominated by ice dynamical flow, and (1998–2012), when increased retreat and negative surface mass balance anomalies led to mass loss that was twice that of any earlier period. Over the multi-decadal simulation, mass loss was dominated by thinning and acceleration responsible for 70 % of the total mass loss induced by prescribed change in terminus position. The remaining 30 % of the total ice mass loss resulted directly from prescribed terminus retreat and decreasing surface mass balance. Although the method can not explain the cause of glacier retreat, it enables the reconstruction of ice flow and geometry during 1849–2012. Given annual or seasonal observed terminus front positions, this method could be a useful tool for evaluating simulations investigating the effect of calving laws.

scholarly journals The Equation of Continuity and its Application to the Ice Sheet Near “byrd” Station, Antarctica

1977 ◽  
Vol 18 (80) ◽  
pp. 359-371 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. M. Whillans
Keyword(s):  
Steady State ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Velocity Measurements ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Measured Velocity ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Velocity

Abstract The continuity relationship that is often used in the study of ice sheets and ice shelves is developed by integrating the equation of continuity through the ice thickness. This equation is then integrated again with respect to horizontal distance from an ice divide, showing that the difference between the true ice velocity and the balance velocity, which is defined, is a measure of the time chance of the mass of a column through the ice thickness. The relationship is applied using data from along the “Byrd” station strain network, Antarctica. This region is found to be thinning slowly (0.03 m a−1 of ice of mean density) and uniformly, but it is still close to steady-state. The calculations would show a larger thinning rate if bottom sliding contributed more to the ice movement and integral shear contributed less, but the “Byrd” station bore-hole tilting results of Garfield and Ueda (1975, 1976), together with surface velocity measurements at “Byrd” station, indicate that most of the ice flow is by deformation within the ice mass. This large amount of internal deformation is more than that predicted by most “flow laws”, probably because of the strongly oriented ice-crystal fabric in the ice sheet. The cause of ice thinning is probably decreased surface mass balance beginning before A.D. 1550. The consistent relationship between measured velocity and balance velocity indicates that the ice flow is simple and that flow lines are in the same direction at depth as at the surface when considered smoothed over a distance of 10 km. Because the ice sheet is at present thinning, the balance velocity, calculated only from flow line and surface mass-balance data, and the somewhat mistaken assumption of steady-state is 15% less than the true ice velocity. This rather small difference confirms the use of balance-velocity estimates where velocity measurements are not available.

scholarly journals Ice flow modelling to constrain the surface mass balance and ice discharge of San Rafael Glacier, Northern Patagonia Icefield

2018 ◽  
Vol 64 (246) ◽  
pp. 568-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
GABRIELA COLLAO-BARRIOS ◽  
FABIEN GILLET-CHAULET ◽  
VINCENT FAVIER ◽  
GINO CASASSA ◽  
ETIENNE BERTHIER ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Shear Stresses ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Northern Patagonia ◽  
San Rafael

ABSTRACTWe simulate the ice dynamics of the San Rafael Glacier (SRG) in the Northern Patagonia Icefield (46.7°S, 73.5°W), using glacier geometry obtained by airborne gravity measurements. The full-Stokes ice flow model (Elmer/Ice) is initialized using an inverse method to infer the basal friction coefficient from a satellite-derived surface velocity mosaic. The high surface velocities (7.6 km a−1) near the glacier front are explained by low basal shear stresses (<25 kPa). The modelling results suggest that 98% of the surface velocities are due to basal sliding in the fast-flowing glacier tongue (>1 km a−1). We force the model using different surface mass-balance scenarios taken or adapted from previous studies and geodetic elevation changes between 2000 and 2012. Our results suggest that previous estimates of average surface mass balance over the entire glacier (Ḃ) were likely too high, mainly due to an overestimation in the accumulation area. We propose that most of SRG imbalance is due to the large ice discharge (−0.83 ± 0.08 Gt a−1) and a slightly positiveḂ(0.08 ± 0.06 Gt a−1). The committed mass-loss estimate over the next century is −0.34 ± 0.03 Gt a−1. This study demonstrates that surface mass-balance estimates and glacier wastage projections can be improved using a physically based ice flow model.

scholarly journals Runaway thinning of the low-elevation Yakutat Glacier, Alaska, and its sensitivity to climate change

2015 ◽  
Vol 61 (225) ◽  
pp. 65-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara L. Trüssel ◽  
Martin Truffer ◽  
Regine Hock ◽  
Roman J. Motyka ◽  
Matthias Huss ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Mass Change ◽  
Balance Model ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Elevation Change ◽  
Southeast Alaska ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Decadal Scale

AbstractLake-calving Yakutat Glacier in southeast Alaska, USA, is undergoing rapid thinning and terminus retreat. We use a simplified glacier model to evaluate its future mass loss. In a first step we compute glacier-wide mass change with a surface mass-balance model, and add a mass loss component due to ice flux through the calving front. We then use an empirical elevation change curve to adjust for surface elevation change of the glacier and finally use a flotation criterion to account for terminus retreat due to frontal ablation. Surface mass balance is computed on a daily timescale; elevation change and retreat is adjusted on a decadal scale. We use two scenarios to simulate future mass change: (1) keeping the current (2000–10) climate and (2) forcing the model with a projected warming climate. We find that the glacier will disappear in the decade before 2110 or 2070 under constant or warming climates, respectively. For the first few decades, the glacier can maintain its current thinning rates by retreating and associated loss of high-ablating, low-elevation areas. However, once higher elevations have thinned substantially, the glacier can no longer counteract accelerated thinning by retreat and mass loss accelerates, even under constant climate conditions. We find that it would take a substantial cooling of 1.5°C to reverse the ongoing retreat. It is therefore likely that Yakutat Glacier will continue its retreat at an accelerating rate and disappear entirely.

scholarly journals Glacier thickening and decay analysis from 50 years of glaciological observations performed on Glacier d’Argentière, Mont Blanc area, France

2009 ◽  
Vol 50 (50) ◽  
pp. 73-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Vincent ◽  
A. Soruco ◽  
D. Six ◽  
E. Le Meur
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Cross Sections ◽  
Thickness Variation ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Entire Area ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Flow Change ◽  
Longitudinal Strain Rate ◽  
Flow Velocities

AbstractNumerous glaciological data have been obtained from measurements carried out on Glacier d’Argentière, Mont Blanc area, France, since the beginning of the 20th century. Moreover, data on annual mass balance, ice-flow velocity, thickness variation and length fluctuation have been obtained from yearly measurements performed since 1975. This dataset provides an excellent opportunity to analyze the relationships between surface mass balance and dynamic response over time periods during which net mass balance changed from positive to negative. Following a positive specific-net-balance period between 1960 and 1981, the ablation zone experienced a large increase in thickness and ice-flow velocities. Conversely, the highly negative specific-net-balance period since 1982 has led to strong thinning, deceleration and retreat of the tongue. The response of these observed dynamics to surface mass balance is analyzed from ice-flux calculations performed on three transverse cross-sections. Our results reveal that the ice fluxes are largely accommodated by ice-flow velocities. Velocity fluctuations are synchronous over the entire area studied. In the largest part of the glacier, no compressing/extending flow change has been observed over the last 30 years and thickness changes are solely driven by surface mass-balance changes. However, on the tongue of the glacier, thickness changes do not depend on surface mass balance but are mainly driven by changes in the longitudinal strain rate.

scholarly journals Greenland ice sheet contribution to sea-level rise from a new-generation ice-sheet model

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 1561-1576 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Gillet-Chaulet ◽  
O. Gagliardini ◽  
H. Seddik ◽  
M. Nodet ◽  
G. Durand ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
New Generation

Abstract. Over the last two decades, the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) has been losing mass at an increasing rate, enhancing its contribution to sea-level rise (SLR). The recent increases in ice loss appear to be due to changes in both the surface mass balance of the ice sheet and ice discharge (ice flux to the ocean). Rapid ice flow directly affects the discharge, but also alters ice-sheet geometry and so affects climate and surface mass balance. Present-day ice-sheet models only represent rapid ice flow in an approximate fashion and, as a consequence, have never explicitly addressed the role of ice discharge on the total GrIS mass balance, especially at the scale of individual outlet glaciers. Here, we present a new-generation prognostic ice-sheet model which reproduces the current patterns of rapid ice flow. This requires three essential developments: the complete solution of the full system of equations governing ice deformation; a variable resolution unstructured mesh to resolve outlet glaciers and the use of inverse methods to better constrain poorly known parameters using observations. The modelled ice discharge is in good agreement with observations on the continental scale and for individual outlets. From this initial state, we investigate possible bounds for the next century ice-sheet mass loss. We run sensitivity experiments of the GrIS dynamical response to perturbations in climate and basal lubrication, assuming a fixed position of the marine termini. We find that increasing ablation tends to reduce outflow and thus decreases the ice-sheet imbalance. In our experiments, the GrIS initial mass (im)balance is preserved throughout the whole century in the absence of reinforced forcing, allowing us to estimate a lower bound of 75 mm for the GrIS contribution to SLR by 2100. In one experiment, we show that the current increase in the rate of ice loss can be reproduced and maintained throughout the whole century. However, this requires a very unlikely perturbation of basal lubrication. From this result we are able to estimate an upper bound of 140 mm from dynamics only for the GrIS contribution to SLR by 2100.

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