Efficient estimation of factor models with time and cross-sectional dependence

2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (6) ◽  
pp. 1107-1122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Heinemann
2020 ◽  
Vol 218 (2) ◽  
pp. 476-495 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sílvia Gonçalves ◽  
Benoit Perron

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-41
Author(s):  
Stanislav Anatolyev ◽  
Anna Mikusheva

Abstract This paper establishes central limit theorems (CLTs) and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global parameter includes aggregation of a cross-section of heterogeneous microparameters estimated separately for each entity. The CLT applies for quantities involving both cross-sectional and time series aggregation, as well as for quadratic forms in time-aggregated errors. This paper studies the conditions when one can consistently estimate the asymptotic variance, and proposes a bootstrap scheme for cases when one cannot. A small simulation study illustrates performance of the asymptotic and bootstrap procedures. The results are useful for making inferences in two-step estimation procedures related to factor models, as well as in other related contexts. Our treatment avoids structural modeling of cross-sectional dependence but imposes time-series independence.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiti Gao ◽  
Guangming Pan ◽  
Yanrong Yang ◽  
Bo Zhang

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra Soberon ◽  
Juan M Rodriguez-Poo ◽  
Peter M Robinson

Abstract In this paper, we consider efficiency improvement in a nonparametric panel data model with cross-sectional dependence. A Generalized Least Squares (GLS)-type estimator is proposed by taking into account this dependence structure. Parameterizing the cross-sectional dependence, a local linear estimator is shown to be dominated by this type of GLS estimator. Also, possible gains in terms of rate of convergence are studied. Asymptotically optimal bandwidth choice is justified. To assess the finite sample performance of the proposed estimators, a Monte Carlo study is carried out. Further, some empirical applications are conducted with the aim of analyzing the implications of the European Monetary Union for its member countries.


2021 ◽  
pp. 008117502110463
Author(s):  
Ryan P. Thombs ◽  
Xiaorui Huang ◽  
Jared Berry Fitzgerald

Modeling asymmetric relationships is an emerging subject of interest among sociologists. York and Light advanced a method to estimate asymmetric models with panel data, which was further developed by Allison. However, little attention has been given to the large- N, large- T case, wherein autoregression, slope heterogeneity, and cross-sectional dependence are important issues to consider. The authors fill this gap by conducting Monte Carlo experiments comparing the bias and power of the fixed-effects estimator to a set of heterogeneous panel estimators. The authors find that dynamic misspecification can produce substantial biases in the coefficients. Furthermore, even when the dynamics are correctly specified, the fixed-effects estimator will produce inconsistent and unstable estimates of the long-run effects in the presence of slope heterogeneity. The authors demonstrate these findings by testing for directional asymmetry in the economic development–CO2 emissions relationship, a key question in macro sociology, using data for 66 countries from 1971 to 2015. The authors conclude with a set of methodological recommendations on modeling directional asymmetry.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lajos Horváth ◽  
Zhenya Liu ◽  
Gregory Rice ◽  
Yuqian Zhao

Abstract The problem of detecting change points in the mean of high dimensional panel data with potentially strong cross–sectional dependence is considered. Under the assumption that the cross–sectional dependence is captured by an unknown number of common factors, a new CUSUM type statistic is proposed. We derive its asymptotic properties under three scenarios depending on to what extent the common factors are asymptotically dominant. With panel data consisting of N cross sectional time series of length T, the asymptotic results hold under the mild assumption that min {N, T} → ∞, with an otherwise arbitrary relationship between N and T, allowing the results to apply to most panel data examples. Bootstrap procedures are proposed to approximate the sampling distribution of the test statistics. A Monte Carlo simulation study showed that our test outperforms several other existing tests in finite samples in a number of cases, particularly when N is much larger than T. The practical application of the proposed results are demonstrated with real data applications to detecting and estimating change points in the high dimensional FRED-MD macroeconomic data set.


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