On the Pass-Through of Exchange Rate Fluctuations to the Macroeconomy: Imports in Developing and Advanced Countries

2014 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magda Kandil
Author(s):  
Taylor Wiseman ◽  
Jeff Luckstead ◽  
Alvaro Durand-Morat

Abstract Asian countries consume approximately 90% of the world’s rice supply. Between 2007 and 2014, Thailand, Vietnam, and India accounted for 60% of the world’s exports of rice. A nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) econometric model is utilized to estimate the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on rice trade in Southeast Asia. Focusing on the largest importing countries and exporting country by volume, the analysis considers Malaysian, Indonesian, the Philippines, and Chinese rice imports from Thailand. Results show that importing countries’ state trading enterprises (STEs) generally do not follow profit-maximizing behavior in reacting to exchange rate volatility.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 35-49
Author(s):  
Imtiaz Badshah ◽  
Trond-Arne Borgersen

Exchange rate fluctuations represent a challenge for the internationalization of all firms, both big and small. This paper reflects on two aspects of the exchange rate challenge - (i) the exchange rate pass-through and (ii) hedging of exchange rate risk and how SMEs manage these two aspects of exchange rate risk. The exchange rate challenges that SMEs face might differ from the risks larger firms are exposed to, and their management of the risks might vary. In family-owned SMEs, longer planning horizons than listed firms might imply a weaker exchange rate pass-through, while smaller financial buffers might pull pass-through rules in the opposite direction for the same SMEs. When considering hedging, the paper argues for both operational hedging and external hedging to represent a management challenge for SMEs, pushing the exchange rate risk towards the forefront of the factors hampering internationalization among SMEs.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (5(J)) ◽  
pp. 187-194
Author(s):  
Harris Maduku ◽  
Irrshad Kaseeram

South Africa is currently running inflation targeting monetary policy since the year 2000 solely to achieve price stability. However, the persistent depreciation of the rand is making keeping inflation within the stipulated band very cumbersome. The objective of this paper is to find the duration taken by price indices to respond to exchange rate fluctuations. A Recursive VAR was used to investigate exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to tradable prices in South Africa. Using monthly data, we find producer prices contributing highly to inflation with an average of 22% of fluctuations passed to prices. Large and persistent ERPT, especially on import and producer prices accompanied by high wage demands and a depreciating currency, are worrying factors for South Africa. Policy makers are advised to consider targeting the exchange rate if inflation is to be kept under control


2004 ◽  
pp. 112-122
Author(s):  
O. Osipova

After the financial crisis at the end of the 1990 s many countries rejected fixed exchange rate policy. However actually they failed to proceed to announced "independent float" exchange rate arrangement. This might be due to the "fear of floating" or an irreversible result of inflation targeting central bank policy. In the article advantages and drawbacks of fixed and floating exchange rate arrangements are systematized. Features of new returning to exchange rates stabilization and possible risks of such policy for Russia are considered. Special attention is paid to the issue of choice of a "target" currency composite which can minimize external inflation pass-through.


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