The future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction

1992 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 279-298 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith Beven ◽  
Andrew Binley
1997 ◽  
Vol 36 (8-9) ◽  
pp. 283-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. K. Price ◽  
G. J. Catterson

A holistic appreciation of the performance of an urban drainage network is needed to understand how best to extend, operate and maintain the asset. These functions are best achieved through the recognition of the complementary roles of monitoring and modelling. A model is needed for planning structural changes to a network. Confirmation of both model asset data and model calibration requires long term as well as short term monitored data. In the future, engineers will make better use of the synergy between monitoring and modelling.


Author(s):  
Mehmet Cüneyd Demirel ◽  
Alparslan Özen ◽  
Selen Orta ◽  
Emir Toker ◽  
Hatice Kübra Demir ◽  
...  

Although the complexity of physically based models continues to increase, they still need to be calibrated. In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in using new satellite technologies and products with high resolution in model evaluations and decision-making. The aim of this study is to investigate the value of different remote sensing products and groundwater level measurements in the temporal calibration of a well-known hydrologic model i.e. HBV. This has been rarely done for conceptual models as satellite data are often used in spatial calibration of the distributed models. Three different soil moisture products from ESA CCI SM v04.4, AMSR-E and SMAP, and total water storage anomalies from GRACE are collected and spatially averaged over the Moselle River Basin in Germany and France. Different combinations of objective functions and search algorithms all targeting a good fit between observed and simulated streamflow, groundwater and soil moisture are used to analyse the contribution of each individual source of information. Firstly, the most important parameters are selected using sensitivity analysis and then, these parameters are included in a subsequent model calibration. The results of our multi-objective calibration reveal substantial contribution of remote sensing products to the lumped model calibration even if their spatially distributed information is lost during the spatial aggregation. Inclusion of new observations such as groundwater levels from wells and remotely sensed soil moisture to the calibration improves the model’s physical behaviour while it keeps a reasonable water balance that is the key objective of every hydrologic model.


1961 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 29-41
Author(s):  
Wm. Markowitz
Keyword(s):  

A symposium on the future of the International Latitude Service (I. L. S.) is to be held in Helsinki in July 1960. My report for the symposium consists of two parts. Part I, denoded (Mk I) was published [1] earlier in 1960 under the title “Latitude and Longitude, and the Secular Motion of the Pole”. Part II is the present paper, denoded (Mk II).


1978 ◽  
Vol 48 ◽  
pp. 387-388
Author(s):  
A. R. Klemola
Keyword(s):  

Second-epoch photographs have now been obtained for nearly 850 of the 1246 fields of the proper motion program with centers at declination -20° and northwards. For the sky at 0° and northward only 130 fields remain to be taken in the next year or two. The 270 southern fields with centers at -5° to -20° remain for the future.


Author(s):  
Godfrey C. Hoskins ◽  
Betty B. Hoskins

Metaphase chromosomes from human and mouse cells in vitro are isolated by micrurgy, fixed, and placed on grids for electron microscopy. Interpretations of electron micrographs by current methods indicate the following structural features.Chromosomal spindle fibrils about 200Å thick form fascicles about 600Å thick, wrapped by dense spiraling fibrils (DSF) less than 100Å thick as they near the kinomere. Such a fascicle joins the future daughter kinomere of each metaphase chromatid with those of adjacent non-homologous chromatids to either side. Thus, four fascicles (SF, 1-4) attach to each metaphase kinomere (K). It is thought that fascicles extend from the kinomere poleward, fray out to let chromosomal fibrils act as traction fibrils against polar fibrils, then regroup to join the adjacent kinomere.


Author(s):  
Nicholas J Severs

In his pioneering demonstration of the potential of freeze-etching in biological systems, Russell Steere assessed the future promise and limitations of the technique with remarkable foresight. Item 2 in his list of inherent difficulties as they then stood stated “The chemical nature of the objects seen in the replica cannot be determined”. This defined a major goal for practitioners of freeze-fracture which, for more than a decade, seemed unattainable. It was not until the introduction of the label-fracture-etch technique in the early 1970s that the mould was broken, and not until the following decade that the full scope of modern freeze-fracture cytochemistry took shape. The culmination of these developments in the 1990s now equips the researcher with a set of effective techniques for routine application in cell and membrane biology.Freeze-fracture cytochemical techniques are all designed to provide information on the chemical nature of structural components revealed by freeze-fracture, but differ in how this is achieved, in precisely what type of information is obtained, and in which types of specimen can be studied.


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