Influence of atmospheric circulation changes and regional climate variability on river flow and suspended sediment fluxes in southern Iceland

2003 ◽  
Vol 17 (16) ◽  
pp. 3195-3223 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. M. Lawler ◽  
G. R. McGregor ◽  
I. D. Phillips
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Sediment Fluxes ◽  
Circulation Changes

scholarly journals River Flow Alterations Caused by Intense Anthropogenic Uses and Future Climate Variability Implications in the Balkans

Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 7
Author(s):  
Christina Papadaki ◽  
Elias Dimitriou
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Models ◽  
Environmental Flow ◽  
The Balkans ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Sustainable Water Resources Management

River flow alterations, caused by climate variability/change and intense anthropogenic uses (e.g., flow regulation by dams) are considered among the main global challenges of which hydrologists should be dealing with. For the purpose of this study, environmental flow and potential hydrological alterations are made for the extended Drin river basin, with limited historical hydrological information available. To overcome this limitation environmental flow assessment is made using simulated streamflow data from a watershed hydrological model. Descriptive statistics applied to streamflow values indicate that median monthly flows with no anthropogenic uses are consistently greater than those with anthropogenic uses by 0–37.4 m3/s in all subbasins. Moreover, an investigation of potential climate variability/change impact on river flow regime is made using streamflow simulations from a global hydrological model. Results indicate that hydrologic alteration is intense between nonregulated and regulated streamflow conditions. More specifically, for all Global Circulation Models and Regional Climate Models combinations, and both regulated and unregulated streamflow conditions, the minimum discharge values had statistically significant decreasing trends, except one combination (RCP 4.5–RCA4/ECEARTH) for unregulated conditions. Finally, results from this preliminary analysis could enhance the necessary conversations among all relevant stakeholders to discuss and decide on sustainable water resources management issues for the development of a Drin Basin Management Plan in the future.

scholarly journals Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher H. O’Reilly ◽  
Daniel J. Befort ◽  
Antje Weisheimer ◽  
Tim Woollings ◽  
Andrew Ballinger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Internal Variability ◽  
Uncertainty Range ◽  
Coupled Climate Models ◽  
Large Scale Atmospheric Circulation

AbstractInternal climate variability will play a major role in determining change on regional scales under global warming. In the extratropics, large-scale atmospheric circulation is responsible for much of observed regional climate variability, from seasonal to multidecadal timescales. However, the extratropical circulation variability on multidecadal timescales is systematically weaker in coupled climate models. Here we show that projections of future extratropical climate from coupled model simulations significantly underestimate the projected uncertainty range originating from large-scale atmospheric circulation variability. Using observational datasets and large ensembles of coupled climate models, we produce synthetic ensemble projections constrained to have variability consistent with the large-scale atmospheric circulation in observations. Compared to the raw model projections, the synthetic observationally-constrained projections exhibit an increased uncertainty in projected 21st century temperature and precipitation changes across much of the Northern extratropics. This increased uncertainty is also associated with an increase of the projected occurrence of future extreme seasons.

Impact of local and regional climate variability on fungi production from Pinus sylvestris forests in Soria, Spain

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena García‐Bustamante ◽  
J. Fidel Fidel González‐Rouco ◽  
Elena García‐Lozano ◽  
Fernando Martinez‐Peña ◽  
Jorge Navarro
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Pinus Sylvestris ◽  
Regional Climate

scholarly journals Long-term changes of river discharge regime in Latvia

2008 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maris Klavins ◽  
Valery Rodinov
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Hydrological Regime ◽  
High Water ◽  
Regime Changes ◽  
Long Term Changes ◽  
Discharge Regime

The study of changes in river discharge is important for regional climate variability characterization and for development of an efficient water resource management system. The hydrological regime of rivers and their long-term changes in Latvia were investigated. Four major types of river hydrological regimes, which depend on climatic and physicogeographic factors, were characterized. These factors are linked to the changes observed in river discharge. Periodic oscillations of discharge, and low- and high-water flow years are common for the major rivers in Latvia. A main frequency of river discharge regime changes of about 20 and 13 years was estimated for the studied rivers. A significant impact of climate variability on the river discharge regime has been found.

scholarly journals South Asia river-flow projections and their implications for water resources

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 4783-4810 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Mathison ◽  
A. J. Wiltshire ◽  
P. Falloon ◽  
A. J. Challinor
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
South Asia ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
The South ◽  
River Flows

Abstract. South Asia is a region with a large and rising population, a high dependence on water intense industries, such as agriculture and a highly variable climate. In recent years, fears over the changing Asian summer monsoon (ASM) and rapidly retreating glaciers together with increasing demands for water resources have caused concern over the reliability of water resources and the potential impact on intensely irrigated crops in this region. Despite these concerns, there is a lack of climate simulations with a high enough resolution to capture the complex orography, and water resource analysis is limited by a lack of observations of the water cycle for the region. In this paper we present the first 25 km resolution regional climate projections of river flow for the South Asia region. Two global climate models (GCMs), which represent the ASM reasonably well are downscaled (1960–2100) using a regional climate model (RCM). In the absence of robust observations, ERA-Interim reanalysis is also downscaled providing a constrained estimate of the water balance for the region for comparison against the GCMs (1990–2006). The RCM river flow is routed using a river-routing model to allow analysis of present-day and future river flows through comparison with available river gauge observations. We examine how useful these simulations are for understanding potential changes in water resources for the South Asia region. In general the downscaled GCMs capture the seasonality of the river flows but overestimate the maximum river flows compared to the observations probably due to a positive rainfall bias and a lack of abstraction in the model. The simulations suggest an increasing trend in annual mean river flows for some of the river gauges in this analysis, in some cases almost doubling by the end of the century. The future maximum river-flow rates still occur during the ASM period, with a magnitude in some cases, greater than the present-day natural variability. Increases in river flow could mean additional water resources for irrigation, the largest usage of water in this region, but has implications in terms of inundation risk. These projected increases could be more than countered by changes in demand due to depleted groundwater, increases in domestic use or expansion of water intense industries. Including missing hydrological processes in the model would make these projections more robust but could also change the sign of the projections.

scholarly journals The Long-Term Effects of Land Use and Climate Changes on the Hydro-Morphology of the Reno River Catchment (Northern Italy)

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1831 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donatella Pavanelli ◽  
Claudio Cavazza ◽  
Stevo Lavrnić ◽  
Attilio Toscano
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
Flow Rate ◽  
Sediment Yield ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Single Channel ◽  
Northern Italy ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
Suspended Sediment Yield

Anthropogenic activities, and in particular land use/land cover (LULC) changes, have a considerable effect on rivers’ flow rates and their morphologies. A representative example of those changes and resulting impacts on the fluvial environment is the Reno Mountain Basin (RMB), located in Northern Italy. Characterized by forest exploitation and agricultural production until World War II, today the RMB consists predominantly of meadows, forests and uncultivated land, as a result of agricultural land abandonment. This study focuses on the changes of the Reno river’s morphology since the 1950s, with an objective of analyzing the factors that caused and influenced those changes. The factors considered were LULC changes, the Reno river flow rate and suspended sediment yield, and local climate data (precipitation and temperature). It was concluded that LUCL changes caused some important modifications in the riparian corridor, riverbed size, and river flow rate. A 40–80% reduction in the river bed area was observed, vegetation developed in the riparian buffer strips, and the river channel changed from braided to a single channel. The main causes identified are reductions in the river flow rate and suspended sediment yield (−36% and −38%, respectively), while climate change did not have a significant effect.

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