Trading volume and prediction of stock return reversals: Conditioning on investor types' trading

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Numan Ülkü ◽  
Olena Onishchenko
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Return Reversals

Downside Risk and Long-Horizon Stock Return Reversals

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaos Artavanis ◽  
Gregory B. Kadlec ◽  
Raman Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Return ◽  
Downside Risk ◽  
Return Reversals

scholarly journals MENGGUNAKAN MD&A UNTUK MENINGKATKAN PERKIRAAN PENDAPATAN DAN REAKSI INVESTOR (STUDI EMPIRIS PERUSAHAAN GO PUBLIC DI INDEKS SAHAM SYARIAH INDONESIA)

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 309-332
Author(s):  
Mila Alim Bahri
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Annual Report ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
T Test ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
Purposive Sampling

Abstract This study aims to provide empirical evidence of investors' reactions to disclosure management discussion and analysis (MD&A) and Trading Volume Activity (TVA) in companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2013 to 2018. The motivation for this research is that there are not many studies in Indonesia. which investigated the effects of MD&A on investor decisions which are illustrated by the market reaction to stock returns and volume of trading activity (TVA). This research is a quantitative study using secondary data as a source of data collection with the population of companies registered in ISSI for the 2013-2018 period. With the purposive sampling technique, 30 companies were obtained based on the highest average daily transaction value in the regular market listed in the JII (Jakarta Islamic Index). The final data used in this study are those obtained from the Annual Report of companies listed on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) and JII, the Corporate Governance Perception Index (CGPI) data from the survey results of The Indonesian Institute of Corporate Governance (IICG) for the period 2013-2018. Yahoo Finance Historical Prices list for the period 2013-2018, and SWA Magazine for the period 2013-2018. Then, hypothesis testing is carried out using multiple linear regression tests and partial non-parametric correlation. The results show that (1) there is a significant positive relationship of MD&A disclosure on stock returns and (2) there is a disclosure of a significant positive effect of MD&A on trading volume activities (TVA). This study also adds a paired sample t-test to find out the difference before and after the stock price and TVA. Keywords: Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), Market Reaction, Stock Return, Trading Volume Activity.   Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memberikan bukti empiris dari reaksi investor terhadap pengungkapan manajemen diskusi dan analisis (MD&A) dan Trading Volume Activity (TVA) pada perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada tahun 2013 sampai dengan 2018. Motivasi penelitian ini adalah belum banyaknya studi di Indonesia yang menyelidiki efek MD&A pada keputusan investor yang diilustrasikan oleh reaksi pasar terhadap pengembalian saham dan volume aktivitas perdagangan (TVA). Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian kuantitatif dengan menggunakan data sekunder sebagai sumber pengumpulan data dengan populasi perusahaan yang terdaftar di ISSI periode 2013-2018. Dengan teknik Purposive Sampling sehingga diperoleh 30 perusahaan berdasarkan rata-rata nilai transaksi harian di pasar regular tertinggi yang terdaftar dalam JII (Jakarta Islamic Indeks). Data akhir yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah yang diperoleh dari Annual Report perusahaan yang terdaftar di Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI) dan JII, data Corporate Governance Perception Index (CGPI) hasil survei The Indonesian Institute of Corporate Governance (IICG) periode 2013-2018, daftar Historical Prices Yahoo Finance periode 2013-2018, dan Majalah SWA periode 2013-2018. Kemudian, pengujian hipotesis dilakukan dengan menggunakan beberapa uji regresi linear dan korelasi non-parametrik parsial. Hasilnya menunjukkan bahwa (1) ada hubungan positif yang signifikan dari pengungkapan MD&A pada pengembalian saham dan (2) ada pengungkapan efek positif yang signifikan dari MD&A pada aktivitas volume perdagangan (TVA). Studi ini juga menambahkan pairedsampel t-test untuk mengetahui perbedaan sebelum dan sesudah harga saham dan TVA. Kata kunci: Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), Market Reaction, Stock Return, Trading Volume Activity.

Analisis Pengaruh Tingkat Harga Saham, Return Saham, dan Volume Perdagangan Saham terhadap Stock Split ISSI Periode 2015– 2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 234-245
Author(s):  
Farhan Maulana ◽  
Ahmad Mulyadi Kosim ◽  
Abrista Devi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Normality Test ◽  
Stock Split ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Sample Test

For companies that collect funds from the public through capital from capital market, it can be used to meet capital needs and finance the company’s operation. So that company is expected not to rely on commercial debt financing both from within the country and abroad. With stock split, it is hoped that it will increase investors’ interest in buying affordable shares. This study aims to determine whether the stock split has an effect on stock prices, trading volume, and stock return. The method used by the researcher uses quantitative secondary data methods by using descriptive statistical data test, then use the kolgomorov smirnov normality test, and using theaverage paired sample test. The results of this research is that: 1) stock price have a significant effect after the stock split occurs, 2) while the trading volume has no significant effect after the stock split occours, 3)  then stock return has a siginificant impact before and after the stock split because it is expected to have a positive impact for issuers and investors.

The Mirror of Malaysia Real Estate Investment Trust Stock Return in the Short-Run Dynamics

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 547-562
Author(s):  
William Choo Keng Soon Et.al
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Empirical Finding ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The formation of Islamic capital market under the subcomponent of Islamic financial system scratch a milestones development of Islamic finance in Malaysia. The Islamic capital market operates in mirror with convention capital market in expending, deepening and broadening Malaysia financial system. Malaysia is one of the REIT markets that value both the Islamic and conventional practices, such flexibility makes the attract not only to the local investor but also Islamic investors and foreign investor. The major source that generates income for REIT is the rental of the commercial real estate invested and hold as portfolio by the REIT management company. Furthermore, Malaysia REIT is known to be defensive stocks which consist of cyclic income producing assets that has some potential of asset appreciation. On the other hand, it witnessed by the moderation of Malaysia government bond yields created a lower pressure on the REIT stock price and analyst’s report highlighted the uncertainties on global crude oil prices and inflation is main concerned to REIT investors. In addition, the revision of 2019 tax system in Malaysia furnished a long run affected the dividend payout and volatility of REIT stock price. Therefore, this impact on the REIT stock liquidity and trading volume experiencing anil liquid trading. Therefore, the impact of external forces towards the mirror of two type of Malaysia REITs is significant to the investors, policy makers and government to outline the short-run relationship and facilitate future growth. The Vector auto regression model, granger causality and variance decomposition employed in this study to analyze the mirror of two types Malaysia REIT stock return. The empirical finding shows that the variability of dividend yield is vital explanatory variables to explain the both type of REIT stock return in Malaysia followed by interest rate for Islamic REIT stock return. The mirror of conventional REIT further implicated that trading volume and global crude oil price are useful to forecasting the changes in the stock return. Nutshell, this study provides a discussion of Malaysia REIT stock return behavior and it should be given necessary attention by researchers in ensuring the newly develop Islamic REIT are competitive and stability as the conventional REIT.

scholarly journals Bad Friday, Monday Effect and Political Issue: Application of ARCH-GARCH Model to Analyze Seasonal Pattern of Stock Return

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.30) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Maria Rio Rita ◽  
Sugeng Wahyudi ◽  
Harjum Muharam
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Seasonal Pattern ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Political Issue ◽  
Political Issues ◽  
Monday Effect ◽  
The Garch Model

At the end of 2016, Indonesia was shaken by a demonstration of the election of the Governor of Jakarta Capital Special Region and political issues related to religious defamation. Does this condition have an impact on stock prices and returns? The aim of this study is to test the week day pattern in IDX using LQ-45 stocks during selected observation period of August 2016-January 2017. Then a GARCH model is used to investigate the presence of week day pattern in the stock market. Therefore, the GARCH model is able to describe observed statistical characteristics of many time series of financial assets return. The test results show that there is a difference in average stock return during the trading day. The lowest and the highest return are observed on Monday and Wednesday, respectively. Meanwhile, the average negative return on Friday is not proven to significantly drive the occurrence of Monday effect. Return on Monday is influenced by the frequency of trading, not by trading volume. Is there anything to do with the psychological aspect of investors solely in assessing risk acceptance to stocks? Research agenda related to this is very relevant to do in the future.  

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