scholarly journals Signal Extraction and Forecasting of the UK Tourism Income Time Series: A Singular Spectrum Analysis Approach

2011 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 391-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina Beneki ◽  
Bruno Eeckels ◽  
Costas Leon
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 214
Author(s):  
Herni Utami ◽  
Yunita Wulan Sari ◽  
Subanar Subanar ◽  
Abdurakhman Abdurakhman ◽  
Gunardi Gunardi

This paper will study forecasting model for electricity demand in Yogyakarta and forecast it for 2019 until 2024. Usually, electricity demand data contain seasonal. We propose Singular Spectral Analysis-Linear Recurrent Formula (SSA-LRF) method. The SSA process consists of decomposing a time series for signal extraction and then reconstructing a less noisy series which is used for forecasting. The SSA-LRF method will be used to forecast h-step ahead. In this study, we use monthly electricity demand in Yogyakarta for 11 year (2008 to 2018). The forecasting results indicates that the forecast using window length of L=26 have good performance with MAPE of 1.9%.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 295-302
Author(s):  
Chuandong Zhu ◽  
Wei Zhan ◽  
Jinzhao Liu ◽  
Ming Chen

AbstractThe mixture effect of the long-term variations is a main challenge in single channel singular spectrum analysis (SSA) for the reconstruction of the annual signal from GRACE data. In this paper, a nonlinear long-term variations deduction method is used to improve the accuracy of annual signal reconstructed from GRACE data using SSA. Our method can identify and eliminate the nonlinear long-term variations of the equivalent water height time series recovered from GRACE. Therefore the mixture effect of the long-term variations can be avoided in the annual modes of SSA. For the global terrestrial water recovered from GRACE, the peak to peak value of the annual signal is between 1.4 cm and 126.9 cm, with an average of 11.7 cm. After the long-term and the annual term have been deducted, the standard deviation of residual time series is between 0.9 cm and 9.9 cm, with an average of 2.1 cm. Compared with the traditional least squares fitting method, our method can reflect the dynamic change of the annual signal in global terrestrial water, more accurately with an uncertainty of between 0.3 cm and 2.9 cm.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 1850017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Kalantari ◽  
Masoud Yarmohammadi ◽  
Hossein Hassani ◽  
Emmanuel Sirimal Silva

Missing values in time series data is a well-known and important problem which many researchers have studied extensively in various fields. In this paper, a new nonparametric approach for missing value imputation in time series is proposed. The main novelty of this research is applying the [Formula: see text] norm-based version of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), namely [Formula: see text]-SSA which is robust against outliers. The performance of the new imputation method has been compared with many other established methods. The comparison is done by applying them to various real and simulated time series. The obtained results confirm that the SSA-based methods, especially [Formula: see text]-SSA can provide better imputation in comparison to other methods.


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