scholarly journals Increasing temperature threatens an already endangered coastal dune plant

Ecosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aldo Compagnoni ◽  
Eleanor Pardini ◽  
Tiffany M. Knight
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Dune ◽  
Dune Plant ◽  
Increasing Temperature

scholarly journals Multi-scale phylogenetic structure in coastal dune plant communities across the globe

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-114 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. K. Brunbjerg ◽  
J. Cavender-Bares ◽  
W. L. Eiserhardt ◽  
R. Ejrnaes ◽  
L. W. Aarssen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Plant Communities ◽  
Coastal Dune ◽  
Phylogenetic Structure ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Dune Plant

Strong genetic differentiation but not local adaptation toward the range limit of a coastal dune plant

Evolution ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 70 (11) ◽  
pp. 2520-2536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karen E. Samis ◽  
Adriana López-Villalobos ◽  
Christopher G. Eckert
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Differentiation ◽  
Local Adaptation ◽  
Coastal Dune ◽  
Range Limit ◽  
Dune Plant

scholarly journals Increasing temperature threatens an already endangered coastal dune plant

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aldo Compagnoni ◽  
Eleanor Pardini ◽  
Tiffany M. Knight
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Conservation Status ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Species Conservation ◽  
Coastal Dune ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Data Intensive ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Dune Plant

ABSTRACTClimate change has the potential to reduce the abundance and distribution of species and threaten global biodiversity, but it is typically not listed as a threat in classifying species conservation status. This likely occurs because demonstrating climate change as a threat requires data-intensive demographic information. Moreover, the threat from climate change is often studied in specific biomes, such as polar or arid ones. Other biomes, such as coastal ones, have received little attention, despite being currently exposed to substantial climate change effects. We forecast the effect of climate change on the demography and population size of a federally endangered coastal dune plant (Lupinus tidestromii). We use data from a 14-year demographic study across seven extant populations of this endangered plant. Using model selection, we found that survival and fertility measures responded negatively to temperature anomalies. We then produced forecasts based on stochastic individual based population models that account for uncertainty in demographic outcomes. Despite large uncertainties, we predict that all populations will decline if temperatures increase by 1° Celsius. Considering the total number of individuals across all seven populations, the most likely outcome is a population decline of 90%. Moreover, we predict extinction is certain for one of our seven populations. These results demonstrate that climate change will profoundly decrease the current and future population growth rates of this plant, and its chance of persistence. Thus, our study provides the first evidence that climate change is an extinction threat for a plant species classified as endangered under the USA Endangered Species Act.

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