scholarly journals Current and time‐lagged effects of climate on innate immunity in two sympatric snake species

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 3239-3250
Author(s):  
Lucia L. Combrink ◽  
Anne M. Bronikowski ◽  
David A. W. Miller ◽  
Amanda M. Sparkman
Keyword(s):  
Innate Immunity ◽  
Snake Species ◽  
Lagged Effects ◽  
Time Lagged

Prediction of COVID-19 outbreak based on time-lagged relationship between outbound traffic from Wuhan and COVID-19 incidence in China: A time-series analysis (Preprint)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zaixing Shi ◽  
Ya Fang
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Function ◽  
Cross Correlation ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Traffic Volume ◽  
Cross Correlation Function ◽  
Mass Migration ◽  
Lagged Effects ◽  
Time Lagged

BACKGROUND Mass migration during the holiday season may have accelerated the spread of the 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak across China. But the complex role of migration has not been fully accounted for in most epidemic models of COVID-19. OBJECTIVE To develop a simple and practical prediction model of COVID-19 based on the geo-temporal relationship between daily outbound traffic from Wuhan and the incidence of COVID-19 in 31 Chinese provinces during January-February 2020. METHODS We collected incidence of confirmed COVID-19 cases from National and Provincial Health Committee reports from January 10 to February 29, 2020. Volume of outbound traffic from Wuhan to other provinces was measured by Baidu Migration Index, a widely used metric that tracks migration based on cellphone location. We used cross-correlation function and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to examine time-lagged association between traffic volume and COVID-19 incidence by province. Contributors to the provincial variation in the temporal associations were investigated. Additionally, we estimated the reduction in cumulative incidence of COVID-19 cases following the travel ban for Wuhan. RESULTS Cross-correlation function analyses suggested that the volume of outbound traffic from Wuhan was positively associated with COVID-19 incidence in all provinces, with correlation coefficients between 0.22-0.78 (all P<0.05). Approximately 42% of provinces showed <1 week of lag between traffic volume and COVID-19 incidence, 39% with 1 week, and 19% with 2-3 weeks. Migration had more prolonged impacts in provinces closer to Wuhan and with more passenger influx from Wuhan, but affected economically advantaged provinces to a lesser extent. We further estimated that the travel ban may have prevented approximately 19,768 COVID-19 cases (95% CI: 13,589, 25,946) outside of Wuhan by February 29, 2020. CONCLUSIONS Outflowing migration from Wuhan facilitated the COVID-19 transmission to other parts of China with varying time-lagged effects dependent on provincial characteristics. The travel ban led to a significant reduction in COVID-19 outside of Wuhan.

Time-lagged effects of spring Tibetan Plateau soil moisture on the monsoon over China in early summer

2007 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. C. Chow ◽  
Johnny C. L. Chan ◽  
Xueli Shi ◽  
Yiming Liu ◽  
Yihui Ding
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Lagged Effects ◽  
Time Lagged

scholarly journals Promoting Multifoci Citizenship Behavior: Time-Lagged Effects of Procedural Justice, Trust, and Commitment

2012 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
pp. 454-485 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nale Lehmann-Willenbrock ◽  
Anna Grohmann ◽  
Simone Kauffeld
Keyword(s):  
Procedural Justice ◽  
Citizenship Behavior ◽  
Lagged Effects ◽  
Time Lagged

scholarly journals Concurrent and Time-Lagged Effects of Social Disorganization on Chlamydia Rate Trajectories Among United States Counties and the District of Columbia, 2010–2015

2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 364-369
Author(s):  
Diana M. Sheehan ◽  
Merhawi T. Gebrezgi ◽  
Mariana Sanchez ◽  
Tan Li ◽  
Kristopher P. Fennie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Social Disorganization ◽  
District Of Columbia ◽  
Lagged Effects ◽  
Time Lagged

scholarly journals Time-lagged effects of weather on plant demography: drought andAstragalus scaphoides

Ecology ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 99 (4) ◽  
pp. 915-925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brigitte Tenhumberg ◽  
Elizabeth E. Crone ◽  
Satu Ramula ◽  
Andrew J. Tyre
Keyword(s):  
Plant Demography ◽  
Lagged Effects ◽  
Time Lagged
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