scholarly journals Prognostic factors and survival prediction in HER2‐positive breast cancer with bone metastases: A retrospective cohort study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoshuang Lyu ◽  
Bin Luo
2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuanxu Luo ◽  
Xiaorong Zhong ◽  
Zhu Wang ◽  
Yu Wang ◽  
Yanping Wang ◽  
...  

Purpose: A nomogram is a reliable tool to generate individualized risk prediction by combining prognostic factors. We aimed to construct a nomogram for predicting the survival in patients with non-metastatic human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive breast cancer in a prospective cohort. Methods: We analyzed 1304 consecutive patients who were diagnosed with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer between January 2008 and December 2016 in our institution. Independent prognostic factors were identified to build a nomogram using the COX proportional hazard regression model. The prediction of the nomogram was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration and subgroup analysis. External validation was performed in a cohort of 6379 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Results: Through the COX proportional hazard regression model, five independent prognostic factors were identified. The nomogram predicting overall survival achieved a C-index of 0.78 in the training cohort and 0.74 in the SEER cohort. The calibration plot displayed favorable accordance between the nomogram prediction and the actual observation for 3-year overall survival in both cohorts. The quartiles of the nomogram score classified patients into subgroups with distinct overall survival. Conclusion: We developed and validated a novel nomogram for predicting overall survival in patients with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer, which presented a favorable discrimination ability. This model may assist clinical decision making and patient–clinician communication in clinical practice.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (Supplement_3) ◽  
pp. iii12-iii12
Author(s):  
Anders Erickson ◽  
Steven Habbous ◽  
Frances Wright ◽  
Aisha Lofters ◽  
Katarzyna Jerzak ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Targeted therapies have been hypothesized to prolong survival in the management of patients with intracranial metastatic disease (IMD), but, paradoxically, to increase IMD incidence by improving systemic disease control and prolonging survival from the primary tumor. The real-world benefits of targeted therapy in management of patients with IMD are unclear, as clinical trials have excluded patients with IMD and lacked endpoints reporting intracranial outcomes. Methods This retrospective cohort study included all patients in Ontario, Canada, diagnosed with IMD from 2005 to 2018 with primary diagnoses of breast cancer, lung or bronchus cancer, or melanoma, and control patients matched by primary disease without IMD. Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to compare overall survival (OS) between patient sub-cohorts divided by primary disease and stratified by targeted therapy receipt or IMD status. Results Post-IMD targeted therapy was associated with prolonged OS in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer (HR 0.41; 95% CI, 0.33–0.5), EGFR-positive lung cancer (HR 0.28; 95% CI, 0.23–0.34), and BRAF-positive melanoma (HR 0.2; 95% CI, 0.14–0.29), compared to those who did not receive post-IMD targeted therapy. Presence of IMD was associated with shorter OS in patients with metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer (HR 1.8; 95% CI, 1.56–2.08) and metastatic EGFR-positive lung cancer (HR 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08–1.39) but not metastatic BRAF-positive melanoma (HR 1.11; 95% CI, 0.77–1.61), compared to those without IMD. Conclusions Our findings show that real-world use of targeted therapies was associated with prolonged OS in patients with IMD in the setting of HER2-positive breast cancer, EGFR-positive lung cancer, and BRAF-positive melanoma. Inclusion of patients with IMD in clinical trials and use of endpoints that interrogate IMD will be critical to determine the role of targeted therapies in the management of patients with IMD.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e22033-e22033
Author(s):  
R. S. Mehta ◽  
D. Jackson ◽  
T. Schubbert ◽  
D. Hsiang

e22033 Background: We demonstrated that pCR is correlated with increasing HER2-FISH ratio, while disease-free survival (DFS) with pCR and ER-positivity in HER2-positive breast cancer treated with trastuzumab (SABCS 2008). It is known that quantitative HER2-FISH ratio correlates with ER levels and HER2-positivity imparts a higher grade in ER-positive BC. Collectively, we hypothesized that combined ER (≥10) and a HER2 ratio cut-point may subdivide HER2-positive BC into pCR predictive subtypes.Methods: Of the 80 HER2-positive (IHC3+/FISH+) BC, quantitative HER2 FISH ratio (widely spread over 1–18.3) and ER correlation was noted (r=0.34, p=0.002). Moreover, HER2 ratio (>4) correlated with higher Ki-67 (r= 0.5, p=0.01) and grade (p trend=0.05) in ER-positive subtype, inferring a biologic cut-point. Results: Of patients with stage I-IV BC treated neoadjuvantly (92% trastuzumab-based), pCR was 0% (0/13) in ER-positive-low-HER2 compared to 77% (10/13, p=0.0001), 75% (24/32, p<0.0001) and 37.5% (3/8, p=0.043) in ER-positive-high-HER2, ER-negative-high-HER2 and ER-negative-low-HER2, respectively. DFS was 100, 90, 80% and 60% (logrank-trend p<0.05) in these 4 subtypes (excluding stage IV), respectively, at a median follow-up of 38 months (range 6–72). In ER-negative subtypes, DFS was 97% and 29% (logrank p=0.0001) in patients with or without pCR; of the six with RT, 0% DFS was noted in four with HER2-negative/HER2-reduced (HER2-R) RT, compared to 100% in the two with unchanged HER2 (p=<0.05, logrank test). In ER-positive subtypes, DFS is 95% overall, and 100% in patients with RT; 7 of 10 tested RT were HER2- R. Conclusions: pCR is crucial and high in ER-negative-high-HER2 and is crucial (but low) in ER-negative-low-HER2-positive BC for improved outcome. Improved DFS is associated with high pCR in ER-positive-high-HER2 BC, but is independent of the low pCR in ER-positive-low-HER2-subtype. Thus, combined HER2 and ER offer improved prediction. In hypothesis generating analysis, HER2-R may underlie relapse in ER-negative subtypes (HER2-basal-transitional-residual), while it may be beneficial in ER-positive subtypes (luminal-B- A-transitional) by reducing HER2-pathway mediated endocrine resistance. [Table: see text]


2016 ◽  
Vol 27 (suppl_9) ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Veenstra ◽  
S. Ellegård ◽  
G. Pérez-Tenorio ◽  
V. Fagerström ◽  
J. Gårsjö ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. iii60 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Agostinetto ◽  
G. Masci ◽  
L. Giordano ◽  
A. Losurdo ◽  
R. De Sanctis ◽  
...  

ESMO Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. e000719 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva Blondeaux ◽  
Arlindo R Ferreira ◽  
Francesca Poggio ◽  
Fabio Puglisi ◽  
Claudia Bighin ◽  
...  

BackgroundIn the prepertuzumab era, we evaluated the clinical outcomes of patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive metastatic breast cancer who underwent first-line trastuzumab-based or lapatinib-based therapy according to prior exposure to (neo)adjuvant trastuzumab.Materials and methodsIn this multicentre retrospective cohort study conducted in 14 Italian centres of the Gruppo Italiano Mammella, consecutive patients undergoing first-line trastuzumab or lapatinib-based therapy were included. Analyses were performed according to the type of first-line therapy for metastatic disease (trastuzumab or lapatinib). Dichotomous clinical outcomes were analysed using logistic regression and time-to-event outcomes using Cox proportional hazard models controlling for relevant demographic, clinicopathological and therapy characteristics.ResultsOut of 450 patients included in the study, 416 (92%) received trastuzumab and 34 (7.5%) lapatinib. As compared with the trastuzumab cohort, more patients in the lapatinib cohort had a trastuzumab-free interval <1 month (37% vs 13.9%; p=0.017) and brain metastasis as first site of relapse (38.2% vs 9.4%; p<0.001). Among the 128 patients who relapsed after prior (neo)adjuvant trastuzumab, 101 (78.9%) received first-line trastuzumab and 27 (21.1%) first-line lapatinib. The following outcomes were observed with first-line lapatinib or trastuzumab, respectively: overall response rate 45.5% vs 61.3% (p=0.184), clinical benefit rate 68.2% vs 72.5% (p=0.691), median progression-free survival (PFS) 11.4 vs 12.0 months (p=0.814) and median overall survival (OS) 34.7 vs 48.2 months (p=0.722). In patients with brain metastasis as first site of relapse, median PFS was 12.2 vs 9.9 months (p=0.093) and median OS 33.7 vs 28.5 months (p=0.280), respectively.ConclusionsIn patients with HER2-positive breast cancer relapsing after prior (neo)adjuvant trastuzumab, first-line treatment with trastuzumab or lapatinib was not associated with a significant difference in the clinical outcomes. A non-significant trend favouring the use of lapatinib was observed in patients with brain metastasis as the first site of relapse.


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