Foreign exchange rate volatility smiles and smirks

Author(s):  
Sun‐Yong Choi ◽  
Jeong‐Hoon Kim ◽  
Ji‐Hun Yoon
2010 ◽  
Vol 230 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Pierdzioch ◽  
Georg Stadtmann

SummaryExchange rates have been found to be more volatile than underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. Researchers have argued that the empirically observed high exchange-rate volatility may result from herd behavior of foreign-exchange traders and forecasters. We sketch a standard model that illustrates that herd behavior of foreign-exchange-rate forecasters may be rational. We then use survey data to test for herd behavior of forecasters. Our results suggest that exchange-rate-forecasters anti-herd and “lean against the wind” when forecasting exchange rates.


Author(s):  
Masayuki Susai

Highly developed IT technology can be the source of volatility spillover between markets located in other countries. In this chapter, we investigate the interrelationship between stock returns in North East Asian countries and the effect of foreign exchange rate volatility on the interrelationship between stock returns. We bring out clear simultaneous interrelationship between stock return and foreign exchange volatility. Focusing on covariance of each asset returns, if we do not take foreign exchange rate volatility into account when we evaluate our international portfolio, the portfolio risk might be underevaluated. The analysis shows that foreign exchange market turbulence might be accompanied by increase in covariance between stock returns. Just after the Asian currency crisis, the relationship between stock returns and foreign exchange turbulence might have changed. For managing international portfolio risk, we should be aware of foreign exchange risk and structural change in covariance between stock returns.


2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seth Baffoe Kodom ◽  
Kingsley Opoku Appiah ◽  
Lawrence Adu Asamoah

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