scholarly journals Southern Ocean deep convection in global climate models: A driver for variability of subpolar gyres and Drake Passage transport on decadal timescales

2016 ◽  
Vol 121 (6) ◽  
pp. 3905-3925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Behrens ◽  
Graham Rickard ◽  
Olaf Morgenstern ◽  
Torge Martin ◽  
Annette Osprey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Drake Passage ◽  
Global Climate Models

Reexamining the Relationship between Climate Sensitivity and the Southern Hemisphere Radiation Budget in CMIP Models

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (23) ◽  
pp. 9298-9312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin M. Grise ◽  
Lorenzo M. Polvani ◽  
John T. Fasullo
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Sensitivity ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Net Radiation ◽  
Subtropical Clouds

Abstract Recent efforts to narrow the spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) across global climate models have focused on identifying observationally based constraints, which are rooted in empirical correlations between ECS and biases in the models’ present-day climate. This study reexamines one such constraint identified from CMIP3 models: the linkage between ECS and net top-of-the-atmosphere radiation biases in the Southern Hemisphere (SH). As previously documented, the intermodel spread in the ECS of CMIP3 models is linked to present-day cloud and net radiation biases over the midlatitude Southern Ocean, where higher cloud fraction in the present-day climate is associated with larger values of ECS. However, in this study, no physical explanation is found to support this relationship. Furthermore, it is shown here that this relationship disappears in CMIP5 models and is unique to a subset of CMIP models characterized by unrealistically bright present-day clouds in the SH subtropics. In view of this evidence, Southern Ocean cloud and net radiation biases appear inappropriate for providing observationally based constraints on ECS. Instead of the Southern Ocean, this study points to the stratocumulus-to-cumulus transition regions of the SH subtropical oceans as key to explaining the intermodel spread in the ECS of both CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. In these regions, ECS is linked to present-day cloud and net radiation biases with a plausible physical mechanism: models with brighter subtropical clouds in the present-day climate show greater ECS because 1) subtropical clouds dissipate with increasing CO2 concentrations in many models and 2) the dissipation of brighter clouds contributes to greater solar warming of the surface.

A synthesis of observations of aerosol-cloud interactions over the pristine, biologically active Southern Ocean and their implications for global climate model predictions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabel L. McCoy ◽  
Daniel T. McCoy ◽  
Robert Wood ◽  
Christopher S. Bretherton ◽  
Leighton Regayre ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Biologically Active ◽  
Aerosol Cloud ◽  
Aerosol Cloud Interactions ◽  
Industrial State

<div> <p>The change in planetary albedo due to aerosol-cloud interactions (aci) during the industrial era is the leading source of uncertainty in inferring Earth's climate sensitivity to increased greenhouse gases from the historical record. Examining pristine environments such as the Southern Ocean (SO) helps us to understand the pre-industrial state and constrain the change in cloud brightness over the industrial period associated with aci. This study presents two methods of utilizing observations of pristine environments to examine climate models and our understanding of the pre-industrial state.</p> </div><div> <p>First, cloud droplet number concentration (<em>N<sub>d</sub></em>) is used as an indicator of aci. Global climate models (GCMs) show that the hemispheric contrast in liquid cloud <em>N<sub>d</sub></em> between the pristine SO and the polluted Northern Hemisphere observed in the present-day can be used<strong> </strong>as a proxy for the increase in <em>N<sub>d</sub></em> from the pre-industrial. A hemispheric difference constraint developed from MODIS satellite observations indicates that pre-industrial <em>N<sub>d</sub></em> may have been higher than previously thought and provides an estimate of radiative forcing associated with aci between -1.2 and -0.6 Wm<sup>-2</sup>. Comparisons with MODIS <em>N<sub>d  </sub></em>highlight significant GCM discrepancies in pristine, biologically active regions.</p> </div><div> <p>Second, aerosol and cloud microphysical observations from a recent SO aircraft campaign are used to identify two potentially important mechanisms that are incomplete or missing in GCMs: i) production of new aerosol particles through synoptic uplift, and ii) buffering of <em>N<sub>d</sub></em> against precipitation removal by small, Aitken mode aerosols entrained from the free troposphere. The latter may significantly contribute to the high, summertime SO <em>N<sub>d</sub></em> levels which persist despite precipitation depletion associated with mid-latitude storm systems. Observational comparisons with nudged Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) hindcasts show low-biased SO <em>N<sub>d  </sub></em>is linked to under-production of free-tropospheric Aitken aerosol which drives low-biases in cloud condensation nuclei number and likely discrepancies in composition. These results have important implications for the ability of current GCMs to capture aci in pristine environments.</p> </div>

scholarly journals Impacts of Vertical Structure of Convection in Global Warming: The Role of Shallow Convection

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (12) ◽  
pp. 4665-4684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao-An Chen ◽  
Jia-Yuh Yu ◽  
Chia Chou
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Detailed Examination ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Shallow Convection ◽  
Tropical Circulation ◽  
Heavy Structure

Abstract Global-warming-induced changes in regional tropical precipitation are usually associated with changes in the tropical circulation, which is a dynamic contribution. This study focuses on the mechanisms of the dynamic contribution that is related to the partition of shallow convection in tropical convection. To understand changes in tropical circulation and its associated mechanisms, 32 coupled global climate models from CMIP3 and CMIP5 were investigated. The study regions are convection zones with positive precipitation anomalies, where both enhanced and reduced ascending motions are found. Under global warming, an upward-shift structure of ascending motion is observed in the entire domain, implying a deepening of convection and a more stable atmosphere, which leads to a weakening of the tropical circulation. In a more detailed examination, areas with enhanced (weakened) ascending motion are associated with more (less) import of moist static energy by a climatologically bottom-heavy (top heavy) structure of vertical velocity, which is similar to a “rich get richer” mechanism. In a warmer climate, different climatological vertical profiles tend to induce different changes in atmospheric stability: the bottom-heavy (top heavy) structure brings a more (less) unstable condition and is favorable (unfavorable) to the strengthening of the convective circulation. The bottom-heavy structure is associated with shallow convection, while the top-heavy structure is usually related to deep convection. This study suggests a hypothesis and a possible linkage for projecting and understanding future circulation change from the current climate: shallow convection will tend to strengthen tropical circulation and enhance upward motion in a future warmer climate.

scholarly journals A Hybrid Cloud Regime Methodology Used to Evaluate Southern Ocean Cloud and Shortwave Radiation Errors in ACCESS

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (15) ◽  
pp. 6001-6018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shannon Mason ◽  
Jennifer K. Fletcher ◽  
John M. Haynes ◽  
Charmaine Franklin ◽  
Alain Protat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Evaluation Studies ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Extratropical Cyclones ◽  
Hybrid Cloud ◽  
Cloud Parameterization ◽  
Cloud Regimes

AbstractA deficit of shortwave cloud forcing over the Southern Ocean is persistent in many global climate models. Cloud regimes have been widely used in model evaluation studies to make a process-oriented diagnosis of cloud parameterization errors, but cloud regimes have some limitations in resolving both observed and simulated cloud behavior. A hybrid methodology is developed for identifying cloud regimes from observed and simulated cloud simultaneously.Through this methodology, 11 hybrid cloud regimes are identified in the ACCESS1.3 model for the high-latitude Southern Ocean. The hybrid cloud regimes resolve the features of observed cloud and characterize cloud errors in the model. The simulated properties of the hybrid cloud regimes, and their occurrence over the Southern Ocean and in the context of extratropical cyclones, are evaluated, and their contributions to the shortwave radiation errors are quantified.Three errors are identified: an overall deficit of cloud fraction, a tendency toward optically thin low and midtopped cloud, and an absence of a shallow frontal-type cloud at high latitudes and in the warm fronts of extratropical cyclones.To demonstrate the utility of the hybrid cloud regimes for the evaluation of changes to the model, the effects of selected changes to the model microphysics are investigated.

scholarly journals Examining Southern Ocean Cloud Controlling Factors on Daily Time Scales and Their Connections to Midlatitude Weather Systems

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (16) ◽  
pp. 5145-5160 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mitchell K. Kelleher ◽  
Kevin M. Grise
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
Vertical Velocity ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Controlling Factors ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Model Errors ◽  
Radiative Effects ◽  
Daily Time

ABSTRACTClouds and their associated radiative effects are a large source of uncertainty in global climate models. One region with particularly large model biases in shortwave cloud radiative effects (CRE) is the Southern Ocean. Previous research has shown that many dynamical “cloud controlling factors” influence shortwave CRE on monthly time scales and that two important cloud controlling factors over the Southern Ocean are midtropospheric vertical velocity and estimated inversion strength (EIS). Model errors may thus arise from biases in representing cloud controlling factors (atmospheric dynamics) or in representing how clouds respond to those cloud controlling factors (cloud parameterizations), or some combination thereof. This study extends previous work by examining cloud controlling factors over the Southern Ocean on daily time scales in both observations and global climate models. This allows the cloud controlling factors to be examined in the context of transient weather systems. Composites of EIS and midtropospheric vertical velocity are constructed around extratropical cyclones and anticyclones to examine how the different dynamical cloud controlling factors influence shortwave CRE around midlatitude weather systems and to assess how models compare to observations. On average, models tend to produce a realistic cyclone and anticyclone, when compared to observations, in terms of the dynamical cloud controlling factors. The difference between observations and models instead lies in how the models’ shortwave CRE respond to the dynamics. In particular, the models’ shortwave CRE are too sensitive to perturbations in midtropospheric vertical velocity and, thus, they tend to produce clouds that excessively brighten in the frontal region of the cyclone and excessively dim in the center of the anticyclone.

scholarly journals What rainfall rates are most important to wet removal of different aerosol types?

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (22) ◽  
pp. 16797-16816
Author(s):  
Yong Wang ◽  
Wenwen Xia ◽  
Guang J. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Precipitation Frequency ◽  
Light Rain ◽  
Community Atmosphere Model ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Aerosol Types ◽  
Wet Removal

Abstract. Both frequency and intensity of rainfall affect aerosol wet deposition. With a stochastic deep convection scheme implemented into two state-of-the-art global climate models (GCMs), a recent study found that aerosol burdens are increased globally by reduced climatological mean wet removal of aerosols due to suppressed light rain. Motivated by their work, a novel approach is developed in this study to detect what rainfall rates are most efficient for wet removal (scavenging amount mode) of different aerosol species of different sizes in GCMs and applied to the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) with and without the stochastic convection cases. Results show that in the standard CAM5, no obvious differences in the scavenging amount mode are found among different aerosol types. However, the scavenging amount modes differ in the Aitken, accumulation and coarse modes, showing around 10–12, 8–9 and 7–8 mm d−1, respectively, over the tropics. As latitude increases poleward, the scavenging amount mode in each aerosol mode is decreased substantially. The scavenging amount mode is generally smaller over land than over ocean. With stochastic convection, the scavenging amount mode for all aerosol species in each mode is systematically increased, which is the most prominent along the Intertropical Convergence Zone, exceeding 20 mm d−1 for small particles. The scavenging amount modes in the two cases are both smaller than individual rainfall rates associated with the most accumulated rain (rainfall amount mode), further implying precipitation frequency is more important than precipitation intensity for aerosol wet removal. The notion of the scavenging amount mode can be applied to other GCMs to better understand the relation between rainfall and aerosol wet scavenging, which is important to better simulate aerosols.

Human-Induced Change in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (15) ◽  
pp. 3068-3073 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Fyfe ◽  
Oleg A. Saenko
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Antarctic Circumpolar Current ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Oceanic Response ◽  
Poleward Shift ◽  
Circumpolar Current ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract Global climate models indicate that the poleward shift of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current observed over recent decades may have been significantly human induced. The poleward shift, along with a significant increase in the transport of water around Antarctica, is predicted to continue into the future. To appreciate the magnitude of the poleward shift it is noted that by century’s end the concomitant shrinking of the Southern Ocean is predicted to displace a volume of water close to that in the entire Arctic Ocean. A simple theory, balancing surface Ekman drift and ocean eddy mixing, explains these changes as the oceanic response to changing wind stress.

Extreme Events in High Resolution CMCC Regional and Global Climate Models

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Scoccimarro ◽  
Silvio Gualdi ◽  
Antonella Sanna ◽  
Edoardo Bucchignani ◽  
Myriam Montesarchio
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Models
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document