scholarly journals Coupling centennial-scale shoreline change to sea-level rise and coastal morphology in the Gulf of Mexico using a Bayesian network

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 143-158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathaniel G. Plant ◽  
E. Robert Thieler ◽  
Davina L. Passeri
2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 159-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davina L. Passeri ◽  
Scott C. Hagen ◽  
Nathaniel G. Plant ◽  
Matthew V. Bilskie ◽  
Stephen C. Medeiros ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 45-53
Author(s):  
Vinh Trong Bui ◽  
Tin Trung Huynh ◽  
Trinh Nguyen Doan Le ◽  
Hoang Minh Ly ◽  
Phong Thanh Le ◽  
...  

Locating on the domestic and international navigation routes (Long Tau-Tac Dinh Cau route, Soai Rap route) the Can Gio area is impacted by waterway traffic activities. The seasonal movement of sand bars on the Can Gio is significantly impacted by hydrodynamic of the river mouth. With the important roles of the area, the authors consider the coastal morphology processes under the hydrodynamic. In this paper, the authors has inherited previous studies combined the satellite image analysis to detect the shoreline changes from 1973 to 2013. Besides, numerical modeling was also applied to predict the shoreline changes under impacts of the sea level rise. Results show that, the Can Gio shoreline prolonging from Can Thanh to Dong Hoa is seriously eroded, with average of 7-10 m/year, maximum to 15 m/year. It is found that, beach erosion at Can Gio is a kind of surface erosion impacted by human trigger (shrimp ponds, beach encroachment…). In addition, natural factors (wave, long-shore current, littoral materials) also contribute to increase the erosion rate. Predicted results with sea level rise scenarios show that, the Dong Hoa and Can Thanh will be seriously eroded while the 30-4 beach will be annually deposited.


2020 ◽  
Vol 644 ◽  
pp. 33-45
Author(s):  
JM Hill ◽  
PS Petraitis ◽  
KL Heck

Salt marshes face chronic anthropogenic impacts such as relative sea level rise and eutrophication, as well as acute disturbances from tropical storms that can affect the productivity of these important communities. However, it is not well understood how marshes already subjected to eutrophication and sea level rise will respond to added effects of episodic storms such as hurricanes. We examined the interactive effects of nutrient addition, sea level rise, and a hurricane on the growth, biomass accumulation, and resilience of the saltmarsh cordgrass Spartina alterniflora in the Gulf of Mexico. In a microtidal marsh, we manipulated nutrient levels and submergence using marsh organs in which cordgrasses were planted at differing intertidal elevations and measured the impacts of Hurricane Isaac, which occurred during the experiment. Prior to the hurricane, grasses at intermediate and high elevations increased in abundance. After the hurricane, all treatments lost approximately 50% of their shoots, demonstrating that added nutrients and elevation did not provide resistance to hurricane disturbance. At the end of the experiment, only the highest elevations had been resilient to the hurricane, with increased above- and belowground growth. Added nutrients provided a modest increase in above- and belowground growth, but only at the highest elevations, suggesting that only elevation will enhance resilience to hurricane disturbance. These results empirically demonstrate that S. alterniflora in microtidal locations already subjected to submergence stress is less able to recover from storm disturbance and suggests we may be underestimating the loss of northern Gulf Coast marshes due to relative sea level rise.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 974
Author(s):  
Maurizio D’Anna ◽  
Deborah Idier ◽  
Bruno Castelle ◽  
Sean Vitousek ◽  
Goneri Le Cozannet

Long-term (>decades) coastal recession due to sea-level rise (SLR) has been estimated using the Bruun Rule for nearly six decades. Equilibrium-based shoreline models have been shown to skillfully predict short-term wave-driven shoreline change on time scales of hours to decades. Both the Bruun Rule and equilibrium shoreline models rely on the equilibrium beach theory, which states that the beach profile shape equilibrates with its local wave and sea-level conditions. Integrating these two models into a unified framework can improve our understanding and predictive skill of future shoreline behavior. However, given that both models account for wave action, but over different time scales, a critical re-examination of the SLR-driven recession process is needed. We present a novel physical interpretation of the beach response to sea-level rise, identifying two main contributing processes: passive flooding and increased wave-driven erosion efficiency. Using this new concept, we analyze the integration of SLR-driven recession into equilibrium shoreline models and, with an idealized test case, show that the physical mechanisms underpinning the Bruun Rule are explicitly described within our integrated model. Finally, we discuss the possible advantages of integrating SLR-driven recession models within equilibrium-based models with dynamic feedbacks and the broader implications for coupling with hybrid shoreline models.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 350
Author(s):  
Guoquan Wang ◽  
Xin Zhou ◽  
Kuan Wang ◽  
Xue Ke ◽  
Yongwei Zhang ◽  
...  

We have established a stable regional geodetic reference frame using long-history (13.5 years on average) observations from 55 continuously operated Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations adjacent to the Gulf of Mexico (GOM). The regional reference frame, designated as GOM20, is aligned in origin and scale with the International GNSS Reference Frame 2014 (IGS14). The primary product from this study is the seven-parameters for transforming the Earth-Centered-Earth-Fixed (ECEF) Cartesian coordinates from IGS14 to GOM20. The frame stability of GOM20 is approximately 0.3 mm/year in the horizontal directions and 0.5 mm/year in the vertical direction. The regional reference frame can be confidently used for the time window from the 1990s to 2030 without causing positional errors larger than the accuracy of 24-h static GNSS measurements. Applications of GOM20 in delineating rapid urban subsidence, coastal subsidence and faulting, and sea-level rise are demonstrated in this article. According to this study, subsidence faster than 2 cm/year is ongoing in several major cities in central Mexico, with the most rapid subsidence reaching to 27 cm/year in Mexico City; a large portion of the Texas and Louisiana coasts are subsiding at 3 to 6.5 mm/year; the average sea-level-rise rate (with respect to GOM20) along the Gulf coast is 2.6 mm/year with a 95% confidence interval of ±1 mm/year during the past five decades. GOM20 provides a consistent platform to integrate ground deformational observations from different remote sensing techniques (e.g., GPS, InSAR, LiDAR, UAV-Photogrammetry) and ground surveys (e.g., tide gauge, leveling surveying) into a unified geodetic reference frame and enables multidisciplinary and cross-disciplinary research.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andy Emery ◽  
David Hodgson ◽  
Natasha Barlow ◽  
Carol Cotterill

<p>Coastal landforms such as barriers are crucial in protecting coastlines and reducing the rate of erosion and retreat. Sea-level rise threatens to change the baseline in which such landforms exist, therefore changing sediment fluxes and hydrodynamics at coastlines. Understanding the stability of landforms under changing conditions is crucial to protect and mitigate against the influence of future sea-level rise on coastal infrastructure, ecology and populations. By studying past periods of sea-level rise with rates similar to those projected for the future, we can begin to understand how coastlines may evolve over the next few centuries.</p><p>Dogger Bank, in the southern North Sea, experienced marine transgression during the Early Holocene. Over a period of 800 years, sea level rose by 7-8 m. This rate of ~10 mm/yr is similar to that projected within the next century. Our study area is located on the southeastern side of the former Dogger Bank island. Between 9.5 and 8.7 ka BP, two phases of coastal barriers were present, retreating with different mechanisms at different time periods due to antecedent topographic changes and evolving hydrodynamics. Barrier phase A was drowned in place due to a low-angle topography and little reworking of the barrier. Barrier phase B retreated by continuous overstepping, which occurred due to a higher-angle topography and an increase in wave energy. Complete inundation of the study area occurred by 8.7 ka, with the barrier phase B first becoming an isolated barrier, then breaking down completely. The subsequent wave ravinement transitioned the landform from barrier to offshore sand bar. At this time, the rate of sea-level rise had increased to as much as 20 mm/yr during the pre-8.2 ka sea-level jump, causing the final barrier breakdown and inundation of Dogger Bank. The coastal morphology in the study area is now buried beneath up to 20 m of shallow marine sand, deposited as the dominant tidal current transported sediment from west to east.</p><p>The unique landform preservation at Dogger Bank allows unprecedented spatial and temporal resolution into the investigation of coastal response to sea-level rise. This study adds evidence to the growing body of work that sea-level rise is the driver of, but not necessarily the controlling factor in, barrier retreat mechanism. Furthermore, a rarely-preserved landform, the isolated barrier, is presented. The results of the study provide valuable insights into the transition from coastal to fully marine during transgression of low-relief coastal areas, which provides an analogue for future sea-level rise scenarios.</p>


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