scholarly journals On the impact of forced roll convection on vertical turbulent transport in cold air outbreaks

2014 ◽  
Vol 119 (22) ◽  
pp. 12,513-12,532 ◽  
Author(s):  
Micha Gryschka ◽  
Jens Fricke ◽  
Siegfried Raasch
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 12049-12067
Author(s):  
Florian Tornow ◽  
Andrew S. Ackerman ◽  
Ann M. Fridlind

Abstract. Marine cold air outbreaks (CAOs) commonly form overcast cloud decks that transition into broken cloud fields downwind, dramatically altering the local radiation budget. In this study, we investigate the impact of frozen hydrometeors on these transitions. We focus on a CAO case in the NW Atlantic, the location of the multi-year flight campaign ACTIVATE (Aerosol Cloud meTeorology Interactions oVer the western ATlantic Experiment). We use MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2) reanalysis fields to drive large eddy simulations with mixed-phase two-moment microphysics in a Lagrangian framework. We find that transitions are triggered by substantial rain (rainwater paths >25 g m−2), and only simulations that allow for aerosol depletion result in sustained breakups, as observed. Using a range of diagnostic ice nucleating particle concentrations, Ninp, we find that increasing ice progressively accelerates transitions, thus abbreviating the overcast state. Ice particles affect the cloud-topped boundary layer evolution, primarily through riming-related processes prior to substantial rain, leading to (1) a reduction in cloud liquid water, (2) early consumption of cloud condensation nuclei, and (3) early and light precipitation cooling and moistening below cloud. We refer to these three effects collectively as “preconditioning by riming”. Greater boundary layer aerosol concentrations available as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) delay the onset of substantial rain. However, cloud breakup and low CCN concentration final stages are found to be inevitable in this case, due, primarily, to liquid water path buildup. An ice-modulated cloud transition speed suggests the possibility of a negative cloud–climate feedback. To address prevailing uncertainties in the model representation of mixed-phase processes, the magnitude of ice formation and riming impacts and, thereby, the strength of an associated negative cloud–climate feedback process, requires further observational evaluation by targeting riming hot spots with in situ imaging probes that allow for both the characterization of ice particles and abundance of supercooled droplets.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Tornow ◽  
Andrew S. Ackerman ◽  
Ann M. Fridlind

Abstract. Marine cold air outbreaks (CAOs) commonly form overcast cloud decks that transition into broken cloud fields downwind, dramatically altering the local radiation budget. In this study, we investigate the impact of frozen hydrometeors on these transitions. We focus on a CAO case in the NW Atlantic, the location of the multi-year flight campaign ACTIVATE. We use MERRA-2 reanalysis fields to drive large-eddy simulations with mixed-phase two-moment microphysics in a Lagrangian framework. We find that transitions are triggered by substantial rain (rainwater paths > 25 g m−2) and only simulations that allow for aerosol depletion result in sustained breakups as observed. Using a range of diagnostic ice nucleating particle concentrations, Ninp, we find that increasing ice progressively accelerates transitions, thus abbreviating the overcast state. Ice particles affect the cloud-topped boundary layer evolution primarily through riming-related processes prior to substantial rain, leading to (1) reduction in cloud liquid water, (2) early consumption of cloud condensation nuclei, and (3) early and light precipitation cooling and moistening below cloud. We refer to these three effects collectively as preconditioning by riming. Greater boundary layer aerosol concentrations delay the onset of substantial rain. However, cloud breakup and low-aerosol concentration final stages are found to be inevitable in this case owing primarily to liquid water path buildup. To address prevailing uncertainties in the model representation of mixed-phase processes, the magnitude of ice formation and riming impacts and, thereby, the strength of an associated negative cloud-climate feedback process, requires further observational evaluation by targeting riming hotspots with in situ imaging probes that allow both for characterization of ice particles and abundance of supercooled droplets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 824
Author(s):  
Dongxue Mo ◽  
Jian Li ◽  
Yijun Hou

Storm surges and disastrous waves induced by cold air outbreaks, a type of severe weather system, often impact the coastal economic development. Using the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis wind product and the Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere–Wave–Sediment Transport model, we developed a coupled numerical model and applied it to examine the interaction between surface gravity waves and ocean currents during cold air outbreaks in two case studies in the northern East China Sea. The results revealed that wave–current interactions improved the simulation accuracy, especially the water level, as verified by tidal station measurements. We conducted sensitivity experiments to explore the spatiotemporal variation of the impact of wave–current interactions on storm surges and waves in the northern East China Sea, away from the coastline. The wave-induced surge (up to 0.4 m) and the wave-induced current (up to 0.5 m/s) were found to be related to the difference between wave direction and current direction. The significant wave height difference (up to 0.5 m) was sensitive to the storm surge nearshore and sensitive to the current field offshore, while the mean wave direction change (up to 40°) was more sensitive to the current field than to the storm surge. Additionally, the wave–current interaction regulated the momentum balance and wave action balance, respectively. By comparison, the momentum residuals of pressure gradient, Coriolis force, Coriolis–Stokes force, and bottom stress, which were pronounced in different areas, were modulated more significantly by the wave effect than other terms. The dominant mechanisms of wave–current interactions on waves included the current-induced modification of energy generation caused by wind input, the current-induced modification of energy dissipation caused by whitecapping, and the current-induced wave advection.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik T. Smith ◽  
Scott Sheridan

Abstract Historical and future simulated temperature data from five climate models in the Coupled Model Intercomparing Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) are used to understand how climate change might alter cold air outbreaks (CAOs) in the future. Three different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), SSP 1 – 2.6, SSP 2 – 4.5, and SSP 5 – 8.5 are examined to identify potential fluctuations in CAOs across the globe between 2015 and 2054. Though CAOs may remain persistent or even increase in some regions through 2040, all five climate models show CAOs disappearing by 2054 based on current climate percentiles. Climate models were able to accurately simulate the spatial distribution and trends of historical CAOs, but there were large errors in the simulated interannual frequency of CAOs in the North Atlantic and North Pacific. Fluctuations in complex processes, such as Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, may be contributing to each model’s inability to simulate historical CAOs in these regions.


2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 1999-2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Fletcher ◽  
Shannon Mason ◽  
Christian Jakob

Abstract A comparison of marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs) in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres is presented, with attention to their seasonality, frequency of occurrence, and strength as measured by a cold air outbreak index. When considered on a gridpoint-by-gridpoint basis, MCAOs are more severe and more frequent in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) than the Southern Hemisphere (SH) in winter. However, when MCAOs are viewed as individual events regardless of horizontal extent, they occur more frequently in the SH. This is fundamentally because NH MCAOs are larger and stronger than those in the SH. MCAOs occur throughout the year, but in warm seasons and in the SH they are smaller and weaker than in cold seasons and in the NH. In both hemispheres, strong MCAOs occupy the cold air sector of midlatitude cyclones, which generally appear to be in their growth phase. Weak MCAOs in the SH occur under generally zonal flow with a slight northward component associated with weak zonal pressure gradients, while weak NH MCAOs occur under such a wide range of conditions that no characteristic synoptic pattern emerges from compositing. Strong boundary layer deepening, warming, and moistening occur as a result of the surface heat fluxes within MCAOs.


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