Design-Based and Model-Based Methods for Estimating Model Parameters

2003 ◽  
pp. 29-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A. Binder ◽  
Georgia R. Roberts
Keyword(s):  
Model Parameters ◽  
Model Based

scholarly journals A Model-Based Tool for Assessing the Impact of Land Use Change Scenarios on Flood Risk in Small-Scale River Systems—Part 1: Pre-Processing of Scenario Based Flood Characteristics for the Current State of Land Use

Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 102
Author(s):  
Frauke Kachholz ◽  
Jens Tränckner
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Small Rivers ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Ungauged Catchments ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Current State ◽  
The Impact

Land use changes influence the water balance and often increase surface runoff. The resulting impacts on river flow, water level, and flood should be identified beforehand in the phase of spatial planning. In two consecutive papers, we develop a model-based decision support system for quantifying the hydrological and stream hydraulic impacts of land use changes. Part 1 presents the semi-automatic set-up of physically based hydrological and hydraulic models on the basis of geodata analysis for the current state. Appropriate hydrological model parameters for ungauged catchments are derived by a transfer from a calibrated model. In the regarded lowland river basins, parameters of surface and groundwater inflow turned out to be particularly important. While the calibration delivers very good to good model results for flow (Evol =2.4%, R = 0.84, NSE = 0.84), the model performance is good to satisfactory (Evol = −9.6%, R = 0.88, NSE = 0.59) in a different river system parametrized with the transfer procedure. After transferring the concept to a larger area with various small rivers, the current state is analyzed by running simulations based on statistical rainfall scenarios. Results include watercourse section-specific capacities and excess volumes in case of flooding. The developed approach can relatively quickly generate physically reliable and spatially high-resolution results. Part 2 builds on the data generated in part 1 and presents the subsequent approach to assess hydrologic/hydrodynamic impacts of potential land use changes.

Study On Automatic Adaptation for Control-Oriented Model of Advanced Diesel Engine

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shunki Nishii ◽  
Yudai Yamasaki
Keyword(s):  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Training Methods ◽  
Model Based Control ◽  
Practical Applications ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Automatic Adaptation ◽  
Automobile Engines ◽  
Adaptation Method

Abstract To achieve high thermal efficiency and low emission in automobile engines, advanced combustion technologies using compression autoignition of premixtures have been studied, and model-based control has attracted attention for their practical applications. Although simplified physical models have been developed for model-based control, appropriate values for their model parameters vary depending on the operating conditions, the engine driving environment, and the engine aging. Herein, we studied an onboard adaptation method of model parameters in a heat release rate (HRR) model. This method adapts the model parameters using neural networks (NNs) considering the operating conditions and can respond to the driving environment and the engine aging by training the NNs onboard. Detailed studies were conducted regarding the training methods. Furthermore, the effectiveness of this adaptation method was confirmed by evaluating the prediction accuracy of the HRR model and model-based control experiments.

scholarly journals Calibration and evaluation of a semi-distributed watershed model of Sub-Saharan Africa using GRACE data

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. 3083-3099 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Xie ◽  
L. Longuevergne ◽  
C. Ringler ◽  
B. R. Scanlon
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Total Water ◽  
Discharge Data ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Grace Data ◽  
Sub Saharan

Abstract. Irrigation development is rapidly expanding in mostly rainfed Sub-Saharan Africa. This expansion underscores the need for a more comprehensive understanding of water resources beyond surface water. Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites provide valuable information on spatio-temporal variability in water storage. The objective of this study was to calibrate and evaluate a semi-distributed regional-scale hydrologic model based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) code for basins in Sub-Saharan Africa using seven-year (July 2002–April 2009) 10-day GRACE data and multi-site river discharge data. The analysis was conducted in a multi-criteria framework. In spite of the uncertainty arising from the tradeoff in optimising model parameters with respect to two non-commensurable criteria defined for two fluxes, SWAT was found to perform well in simulating total water storage variability in most areas of Sub-Saharan Africa, which have semi-arid and sub-humid climates, and that among various water storages represented in SWAT, water storage variations in soil, vadose zone and groundwater are dominant. The study also showed that the simulated total water storage variations tend to have less agreement with GRACE data in arid and equatorial humid regions, and model-based partitioning of total water storage variations into different water storage compartments may be highly uncertain. Thus, future work will be needed for model enhancement in these areas with inferior model fit and for uncertainty reduction in component-wise estimation of water storage variations.

scholarly journals Improving probabilistic flood forecasting through a data assimilation scheme based on genetic programming

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 3719-3732 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Mediero ◽  
L. Garrote ◽  
A. Chavez-Jimenez
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Genetic Programming ◽  
Real Time ◽  
High Performance ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Flood Forecasting ◽  
Distribution Functions ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Hydrological Process ◽  
Model Based

Abstract. Opportunities offered by high performance computing provide a significant degree of promise in the enhancement of the performance of real-time flood forecasting systems. In this paper, a real-time framework for probabilistic flood forecasting through data assimilation is presented. The distributed rainfall-runoff real-time interactive basin simulator (RIBS) model is selected to simulate the hydrological process in the basin. Although the RIBS model is deterministic, it is run in a probabilistic way through the results of calibration developed in a previous work performed by the authors that identifies the probability distribution functions that best characterise the most relevant model parameters. Adaptive techniques improve the result of flood forecasts because the model can be adapted to observations in real time as new information is available. The new adaptive forecast model based on genetic programming as a data assimilation technique is compared with the previously developed flood forecast model based on the calibration results. Both models are probabilistic as they generate an ensemble of hydrographs, taking the different uncertainties inherent in any forecast process into account. The Manzanares River basin was selected as a case study, with the process being computationally intensive as it requires simulation of many replicas of the ensemble in real time.

scholarly journals ONLINE PARAMETER IDENTIFICATION OF RICE TRANSPLANTER MODEL BASED ON IPSO-EKF ALGORITHM

2020 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 25-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yibo Li ◽  
Hang Li ◽  
Xiaonan Guo
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Identification ◽  
Measured Data ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Identification Algorithm ◽  
Output Data ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
Filtering Effect ◽  
Ipso Algorithm

In order to improve the accuracy of rice transplanter model parameters, an online parameter identification algorithm for the rice transplanter model based on improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) algorithm and extended Kalman filter (EKF) algorithm was proposed. The dynamic model of the rice transplanter was established to determine the model parameters of the rice transplanter. Aiming at the problem that the noise matrices in EKF algorithm were difficult to select and affected the best filtering effect, the proposed algorithm used the IPSO algorithm to optimize the noise matrices of the EKF algorithm in offline state. According to the actual vehicle tests, the IPSO-EKF was used to identify the cornering stiffness of the front and rear tires online, and the identified cornering stiffness value was substituted into the model to calculate the output data and was compared with the measured data. The simulation results showed that the accuracy of parameter identification for the rice transplanter model based on the IPSO-EKF algorithm was improved, and established an accurate rice transplanter model.

scholarly journals Model-Based Autonomous Navigation with Moment of Inertia Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (11) ◽  
pp. 2467 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hery Mwenegoha ◽  
Terry Moore ◽  
James Pinchin ◽  
Mark Jabbal
Keyword(s):  
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles ◽  
Navigation System ◽  
Process Model ◽  
Unscented Kalman Filter ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Moment Of Inertia ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Main Process ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Aerial Vehicles

The dominant navigation system for low-cost, mass-market Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) is based on an Inertial Navigation System (INS) coupled with a Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). However, problems tend to arise during periods of GNSS outage where the navigation solution degrades rapidly. Therefore, this paper details a model-based integration approach for fixed wing UAVs, using the Vehicle Dynamics Model (VDM) as the main process model aided by low-cost Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS) inertial sensors and GNSS measurements with moment of inertia calibration using an Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF). Results show that the position error does not exceed 14.5 m in all directions after 140 s of GNSS outage. Roll and pitch errors are bounded to 0.06 degrees and the error in yaw grows slowly to 0.65 degrees after 140 s of GNSS outage. The filter is able to estimate model parameters and even the moment of inertia terms even with significant coupling between them. Pitch and yaw moment coefficient terms present significant cross coupling while roll moment terms seem to be decorrelated from all of the other terms, whilst more dynamic manoeuvres could help to improve the overall observability of the parameters.

Arch Dam Deformation Prediction Model Based on PSO-SVM

2013 ◽  
Vol 351-352 ◽  
pp. 1306-1311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Yang Liu ◽  
He Zhi Liu
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Arch Dam ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Deformation Prediction ◽  
Dam Foundation ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Dam Deformation

Arch dam has gradually evolved as one of dam type as main large-scale hydraulic project, dam deformation prediction is an important part of dam safety monitoring, and it is difficult to forecast because of the complicated nonlinear characteristics of the monitoring data. Support Vector Machine (SVM) could solve the small sample, nonlinear high dimension problem due to the excellent generalization ability, and hence it has been widely used in the forecast of arch dam deformation. However, the forecast results considerably depend on the choice of SVM model parameters. In this paper, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), which has the characteristic of fast global optimization, was applied to optimize the parameters in SVM, and then the dam deformation prediction model based on PSO-SVM could be established. The model is applied to a certain arch dam foundation prediction. The accuracy of this employed approach was examined by comparing it with multiple regression method. In a word, the experimental results indicate that the proposed method based on PSO-SVM can be used in arch dam deformation prediction.

Prediction of bottom dynamic conditions in coastal waters

1995 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 359 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Persson ◽  
L Hakanson
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Direct Connection ◽  
Digital Technique ◽  
Computer Data ◽  
Dynamic Conditions ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Open Sea ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Impact

Bottom dynamic conditions (areas of accumulation, erosion or transportation) in aquatic ecosystems influence the dispersal, sedimentation and recirculation of most substances, such as metals, organic toxins and nutrients. The aim of the present work was to establish a simple and general method to predict sediment types/bottom dynamic conditions in Baltic coastal areas. As a working hypothesis, it is proposed that the morphometry and the absence or presence of an archipelago outside a given coastal area regulate what factors determine the prevailing bottom dynamic conditions. Empirical data on the proportion of accumulation bottoms (BA) were collected from 38 relatively small (1-14 km²) and enclosed coastal areas in the Baltic Sea. Morphometric data were obtained by using a digital technique to transfer information from standard bathymetric maps into a computer. Data were processed by means of multivariate statistical methods. In the first model, based on data from all 38 areas, 55% of the variation in BA among the areas was statistically explained by five morphometric parameters. The data set was then divided into two parts: areas in direct connection with the open sea, and areas inside an archipelago. In the second model, based on data from 15 areas in direct connection with the open sea, 77% of the variation in BA was statistically explained by the mean depth of the deep water (the water mass below 10 m) and the mean slope. In the third model, based on data from 23 areas inside an archipelago, 70% of the variation in BA was statistically explained by the mean slope, the topographic form factor, the proportion of islands and the mean filter factor (which is a relative measure of the impact of winds and waves from outside the area). The model parameters describe the sediment trapping capacity of the areas investigated.

Model-Based EEG Analysis: Proposal and Verification of Mathematical Model for Application to Neurotechnology

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenyu Uehara ◽  
Takashi Saito
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Binary Classification ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Mental Condition ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Eeg Analysis ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Proposed Model

Abstract We have modeled dynamics of EEG with one degree of freedom nonlinear oscillator and examined the relationship between mental state of humans and model parameters simulating behavior of EEG. At the IMECE conference last year, Our analysis method identified model parameters sequentially so as to match the waveform of experimental EEG data of the alpha band using one second running window. Results of temporal variation of model parameters suggested that the mental condition such as degree of concentration could be directly observed from the dynamics of EEG signal. The method of identifying the model parameters in accordance with the EEG waveform is effective in examining the dynamics of EEG strictly, but it is not suitable for practical use because the analysis (parameter identification) takes a long time. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to test the proposed model-based analysis method for general application as a neurotechnology. The mathematical model used in neuroscience was improved for practical use, and the test was conducted with the cooperation of four subjects. model parameters were experimentally identified approximately every one second by using least square method. We solved a binary classification problem of model parameters using Support Vector Machine. Results show that our proposed model-based EEG analysis is able to discriminate concentration states in various tasks with an accuracy of over 80%.

scholarly journals Experimental Validation of Gaussian Process-Based Air-to-Ground Communication Quality Prediction in Urban Environments

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (14) ◽  
pp. 3221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pawel Ladosz ◽  
Jongyun Kim ◽  
Hyondong Oh ◽  
Wen-Hua Chen
Keyword(s):  
Gaussian Process ◽  
Urban Environment ◽  
Urban Environments ◽  
World City ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Communication Model ◽  
Channel Prediction ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Communication Signal ◽  
Prediction Approach

This paper presents a detailed experimental assessment of Gaussian Process (GP) regression for air-to-ground communication channel prediction for relay missions in urban environment. Considering restrictions from outdoor urban flight experiments, a way to simulate complex urban environments at an indoor room scale is introduced. Since water significantly absorbs wireless communication signal, water containers are utilized to replace buildings in a real-world city. To evaluate the performance of the GP-based channel prediction approach, several indoor experiments in an artificial urban environment were conducted. The performance of the GP-based and empirical model-based prediction methods for a relay mission was evaluated by measuring and comparing the communication signal strength at the optimal relay position obtained from each method. The GP-based prediction approach shows an advantage over the model-based one as it provides a reasonable performance without a need for a priori information of the environment (e.g., 3D map of the city and communication model parameters) in dynamic urban environments.

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